NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	123		Excitement	9.1 [122]		MVP	Jusuf Nurkic (POR): +53.2%
Memphis Grizzlies	119		Comeback	2.1 [226]		LVP	CJ Elleby (POR): -10.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jusuf Nurkic	0.53	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.29,0.53,0.53	0.22	0.31	0.00	17	73%	0.56	1	-0.03	10	70%	0.02
Anfernee Simons	0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.11,0.11,0.24	0.18	0.08	0.02	18	77%	0.34	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.04
Josh Hart	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.06	0.00	12	71%	0.26	4	-0.13	7	71%	-0.01
Ben McLemore	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.00	10	70%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trendon Watford	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Justise Winslow	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0.02	0.03	-0.02	-0.01	13	52%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Greg Brown III	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	40%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Elijah Hughes	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Elleby	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	6	7%	-0.10	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ja Morant	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.14,0.21,0.14,0.24,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.22	0.05	0.05	20	68%	0.31	2	-0.09	25	84%	-0.00
Desmond Bane	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.23,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.2,0.18	0.18	0.17	0.02	0.01	19	70%	0.34	2	-0.16	5	100%	0.04
John Konchar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	1	150%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	69%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	4	40%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Brandon Clarke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.02	0.01	14	43%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ziaire Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.05
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.02	-0.01	10	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Steven Adams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.5	29.3	14.7	34.5	1.0	39.8	148.4
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +31.3%

POR +5.9%

MEM -3.8%

POR +14.7%

POR +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MEM	NBA	POR	MEM	NBA
this game	15.0	14.5	14.5	124.2	124.0	110.8
season	14.6	14.1		106.9	112.9
opponent	14.3	14.5		107.8	115.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.3	13.7	15.5	16.6	15.0
MEM	15.7	15.7	13.2	13.4	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Hart	76	71	0.97	-0.47	1.44	0.41	19	-15	34	14.5	16.7	-2.16	15.4	12.0	3.42
Jusuf Nurkic	68	67	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.39	6	-2	8	16.0	13.0	2.92	14.8	13.8	1.00
Justise Winslow	63	63	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.34	2	2	0	16.4	12.6	3.77	15.1	13.3	1.76
Greg Brown III	34	33	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.04	9	-5	14	14.1	15.6	-1.50	14.5	14.5	0.09
CJ Elleby	60	60	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.35	-4	8	-12	16.4	12.9	3.54	14.7	14.2	0.52
Anfernee Simons	76	75	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.36	-5	9	-14	15.4	13.8	1.58	14.5	14.3	0.20
Elijah Hughes	38	37	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	2	0	12.4	16.7	-4.25	13.5	15.1	-1.68
Trendon Watford	34	32	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	8	-12	12.9	16.2	-3.24	13.5	15.0	-1.48
Ben McLemore	53	50	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	-0.06	-7	11	-18	14.6	15.5	-0.90	13.1	16.0	-2.86

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
De'Anthony Melton	35	39	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.10	6	-10	16	13.2	15.2	-1.98	14.1	15.6	-1.51
Kyle Anderson	16	19	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-3	2	12.0	15.0	-2.99	12.5	15.6	-3.18
Ziaire Williams	36	35	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.05	0	-4	4	16.4	13.3	3.08	16.0	14.5	1.48
Jaren Jackson Jr.	52	54	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	0	-4	14.9	14.0	0.99	14.9	15.3	-0.41
Brandon Clarke	53	57	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.36	3	-7	10	13.6	15.5	-1.89	14.6	15.7	-1.09
John Konchar	33	34	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.11	-7	3	-10	13.3	15.1	-1.76	14.7	15.2	-0.55
Ja Morant	75	77	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.35	1	-5	6	14.3	15.0	-0.71	15.1	14.9	0.17
Desmond Bane	72	74	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.32	-2	-2	0	15.0	13.0	2.04	15.0	15.0	0.00
Steven Adams	70	68	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.30	-7	3	-10	15.2	12.5	2.68	16.3	12.3	4.00
Tyus Jones	38	38	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.26	-9	5	-14	14.4	14.5	-0.07	15.3	14.9	0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.2,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.3,0.37,0.31,0.38,0.27,0.36,0.4,0.52,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 97, MEM 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.25,0.3,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.38,0.32,0.43,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.57,0.08,0	91.9%
POR 97, ATL 90	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.23,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.39,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.28,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.22,0.04,0	91.6%
ATL 95, POR 87	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.23,0.34,0.29,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.11,0.1,0.17,0.23,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.33,0.18,0	91.2%