NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	95		Excitement	8.2 [226]		MVP	Al Horford (ATL): +17.7%
Portland Trail Blazers	87		Comeback	2.0 [429]		LVP	Damian Lillard (POR): -36.3%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.23,0.18,0.18	-0.01	0.16	-0.03	10	62%	0.26	4	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Louis Williams	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.03	-0.04	7	55%	0.12	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.11	-0.02	0.03	8	89%	0.13	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Devin Harris	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	57%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	-0.07	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	11	46%	0.01	3	-0.08	6	83%	-0.01
Josh Smith	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15	-0.05	-0.11	-0.01	22	42%	-0.07	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.02	0.01	9	61%	0.09	1	-0.01	10	100%	0.06
JJ Hickson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	14	58%	0.09	3	-0.06	5	60%	-0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Joel Freeland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	5	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.10	-0.03	17	56%	0.08	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,-0.21,-0.25	-0.25	-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	13	40%	-0.02	5	-0.23	9	67%	-0.01
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.27,-0.27,-0.36,-0.36	-0.36	-0.15	-0.23	-0.01	18	33%	-0.27	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.8	28.0	14.8	25.2	2.5	36.4	134.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +80.4%

POR -17.9%

POR -24.0%

ATL +9.7%

ATL +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	POR	NBA	ATL	POR	NBA
this game	15.1	14.6	15.4	97.9	89.7	104.1
season	15.1	15.8		102.6	104.3
opponent	15.3	15.5		107.6	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.8	12.9	15.9	15.9	15.1
POR	14.2	15.9	14.8	13.5	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Smith	56	57	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.12	18	-10	28	14.3	16.2	-1.91	15.0	14.0	1.06
Al Horford	63	63	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.07	17	-9	26	14.9	15.4	-0.54	15.0	13.9	1.01
Jeff Teague	70	68	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.10	13	-5	18	14.6	16.3	-1.72	14.9	13.9	1.05
Kyle Korver	63	63	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.04	12	-4	16	15.0	15.3	-0.36	14.7	14.5	0.20
DeShawn Stevenson	77	77	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.25	3	5	-2	15.3	14.1	1.19	14.5	15.0	-0.57
Anthony Morrow	26	27	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.08	4	4	0	15.7	14.9	0.77	14.1	14.8	-0.73
Louis Williams	35	36	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.21	-4	12	-16	15.7	14.8	0.88	14.3	14.8	-0.42
Anthony Tolliver	21	20	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	12	-16	14.4	15.3	-0.85	14.3	14.7	-0.38
Devin Harris	17	18	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	10	-12	15.5	15.0	0.53	14.9	14.5	0.36
Ivan Johnson	11	10	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	11	-14	17.1	14.8	2.25	12.8	14.8	-2.00
Zaza Pachulia	46	46	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.19	-14	22	-36	15.7	14.5	1.23	14.1	15.0	-0.89

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronnie Price	37	38	0.17	-0.67	0.83	0.02	5	-13	18	13.6	15.2	-1.67	15.7	14.7	0.97
Sasha Pavlovic	13	13	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-5	2	14.3	14.6	-0.34	14.0	15.3	-1.26
Will Barton	8	6	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-6	4	12.4	14.8	-2.42	15.0	15.1	-0.10
Joel Freeland	24	22	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	-4	0	14.5	14.6	-0.07	14.9	15.2	-0.30
Meyers Leonard	29	29	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.15	-2	-6	4	14.2	14.8	-0.61	15.7	14.8	0.85
JJ Hickson	68	66	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.18	-4	-4	0	14.7	14.4	0.21	15.1	15.0	0.14
Wesley Matthews	76	77	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.30	0	-8	8	14.7	14.2	0.46	15.1	15.0	0.12
LaMarcus Aldridge	72	75	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.23	-4	-4	0	14.8	14.0	0.86	15.2	14.9	0.30
Nicolas Batum	80	81	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.32	-6	-2	-4	14.3	15.8	-1.41	15.5	13.2	2.28
Damian Lillard	78	78	-0.79	0.29	-1.07	-0.20	-20	12	-32	15.4	11.2	4.28	14.3	18.3	-3.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.23,0.34,0.29,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.11,0.1,0.17,0.23,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.33,0.18,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 111, SAC 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.16,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.53,0.45,0.33,0.1,0	93.9%
SAS 103, GSW 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.09,0.15,0.12,0.18,0.23,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.41,0.38,0.47,0.46,0.32,0.09,0	91.6%
POR 88, PHI 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.29,0.24,0.04,0	91.5%