NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	124		Excitement	8.4 [215]		MVP	Jordan Poole (GSW): +40.5%
San Antonio Spurs	120		Comeback	54.0 [23]		LVP	Juan Toscano-Anderson (GSW): -11.5%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Poole	0.41	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.41	0.10	0.32	0.02	24	54%	0.42	1	-0.02	9	100%	0.05
Damion Lee	0.25	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.01,0.22,0.22,0.25	0.11	0.14	0.01	15	66%	0.28	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Moses Moody	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.09,0.09	0.15	-0.05	0.00	12	77%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jonathan Kuminga	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	15	61%	0.18	3	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	8	67%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Quinndary Weatherspoon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	5	50%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Gary Payton II	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Chiozza	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05	0.04	-0.08	0.00	7	64%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Juan Toscano-Anderson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	9	33%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.13	0.08	-0.01	10	87%	0.29	3	-0.07	4	50%	0.01
Dejounte Murray	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02,-0.16,0,0.18	0.18	0.01	0.14	-0.03	21	60%	0.44	6	-0.25	3	67%	-0.01
Derrick White	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	10	80%	0.12	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	7	71%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joshua Primo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Keita Bates-Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	70%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Lonnie Walker IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Devin Vassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.02	-0.02	0.09	-0.11	-0.00	10	64%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jock Landale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.6	32.5	14.4	27.5	2.3	34.8	135.6
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS -12.1%

GSW +11.3%

GSW +56.8%

SAS -3.2%

SAS -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	SAS	NBA	GSW	SAS	NBA
this game	15.5	13.0	14.5	121.6	120.0	110.8
season	14.2	13.9		112.2	111.3
opponent	14.6	14.9		111.0	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.4	15.6	17.4	13.5	15.5
SAS	11.8	13.8	11.9	14.8	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonathan Kuminga	61	60	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.37	15	-11	26	14.8	16.5	-1.73	13.7	12.1	1.57
Chris Chiozza	57	57	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.17	17	-13	30	14.6	16.5	-1.82	13.8	12.0	1.78
Damion Lee	78	75	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.45	6	-2	8	15.9	14.1	1.73	13.2	12.5	0.75
Moses Moody	80	77	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.51	1	3	-2	15.4	15.6	-0.24	12.6	14.4	-1.81
Jordan Poole	71	70	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.52	-6	10	-16	16.4	13.3	3.15	12.3	14.7	-2.32
Quinndary Weatherspoon	33	32	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.17	10	-6	16	13.4	16.4	-3.09	14.2	12.5	1.78
Juan Toscano-Anderson	46	44	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.19	-11	15	-26	16.1	14.9	1.20	11.8	14.0	-2.14
Gary Payton II	36	37	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.15	0	4	-4	14.4	16.0	-1.64	13.6	12.7	0.97
Kevon Looney	48	48	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	0.01	-12	16	-28	16.9	14.2	2.73	12.6	13.5	-0.92

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jakob Poeltl	27	26	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.06	8	-12	20	12.0	13.4	-1.42	16.7	15.0	1.67
Doug McDermott	41	42	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-7	10	11.7	13.9	-2.22	16.5	14.7	1.74
Drew Eubanks	10	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-4	4	10.7	13.3	-2.60	18.5	15.1	3.37
Jock Landale	18	18	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-2	0	12.8	13.1	-0.32	14.4	15.7	-1.22
Joshua Primo	41	42	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.13	-6	2	-8	14.1	12.3	1.79	14.0	16.4	-2.39
Keita Bates-Diop	24	24	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	1	-6	13.6	12.9	0.71	14.3	15.8	-1.46
Lonnie Walker IV	54	56	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.26	-4	0	-4	13.6	12.4	1.20	14.5	16.6	-2.11
Keldon Johnson	72	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.52	1	-5	6	12.9	13.5	-0.64	16.3	13.1	3.18
Devin Vassell	62	64	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.39	-5	1	-6	13.6	12.1	1.47	15.0	16.3	-1.34
Dejounte Murray	78	80	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.43	-5	1	-6	12.8	14.0	-1.23	15.9	13.7	2.20
Derrick White	73	73	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.45	-5	1	-6	13.4	12.2	1.17	15.2	16.2	-1.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.77,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.83,0.61,0.72,0.22,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 111, MEM 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.62,0.59,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.72,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.59,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.94,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.9,0.71,0.57,0.58,0	91.2%
DAL 88, PHX 86	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.69,0.64,0.32,0.28,0	91.0%
UTA 116, PHX 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.69,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.73,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.81,0.76,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.78,0.61,0.46,0.33,0.28,0	90.2%