NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	88		Excitement	6.6 [478]		MVP	Michael Finley (DAL): +13.3%
Phoenix Suns	86		Comeback	38.1 [2]		LVP	Mark Bryant (PHX): -24.5%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,0.13	0.00	0.11	-0.02	20	50%	0.17	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.13	-0.05	0.17	-0.00	13	45%	0.18	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Samaki Walker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
A.C. Green	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	64%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.04	-0.00	17	50%	0.07	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Martin Muursepp	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	5	57%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Ed O'Bannon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	7	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Greg Dreiling	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	-0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19	-0.09	-0.10	0.01	8	39%	-0.12	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.01	2	75%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.05	0.02	20	52%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Kevin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	67%	0.08	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.04	-0.01	13	52%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Hot Rod Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayman Tisdale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	10	50%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Loren Meyer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.08	-0.17	-0.01	11	42%	-0.06	3	-0.18	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.6	2.3	23.3	14.7	25.2	2.5	33.3	121.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +29.4%

PHX -1.0%

DAL +35.4%

PHX -12.6%

PHX -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHX	NBA	DAL	PHX	NBA
this game	17.4	15.7	15.6	101.1	98.9	104.4
season	15.9	14.6		99.1	106.8
opponent	15.6	15.7		106.5	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.7	18.4	19.4	15.2	17.4
PHX	14.0	13.5	15.8	20.0	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Finley	80	79	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.41	7	-5	12	17.3	18.1	-0.79	15.9	13.2	2.69
Erick Strickland	76	75	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.54	-1	3	-4	17.7	15.5	2.14	16.0	13.6	2.44
Shawn Bradley	56	56	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.59	-3	5	-8	18.4	15.6	2.75	15.7	15.6	0.17
Khalid Reeves	68	68	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.46	-1	3	-4	17.4	17.4	-0.01	14.8	18.9	-4.10
A.C. Green	57	56	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.42	0	2	-2	17.3	17.7	-0.44	15.8	15.5	0.32
Martin Muursepp	19	20	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.08	10	-8	18	14.6	18.2	-3.63	16.9	15.3	1.57
Greg Dreiling	15	16	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	3	-4	17.3	17.4	-0.18	14.0	16.1	-2.07
Ed O'Bannon	34	35	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	2	-2	17.0	17.7	-0.68	16.1	15.4	0.76
Samaki Walker	30	30	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.08	-1	3	-4	17.7	17.3	0.44	15.5	15.8	-0.34

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Loren Meyer	9	8	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.02	4	-6	10	13.8	15.9	-2.13	19.2	17.2	2.02
Hot Rod Williams	36	35	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.06	3	-5	8	15.2	16.1	-0.89	18.1	17.0	1.12
Wayman Tisdale	20	20	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-4	6	14.4	16.1	-1.61	18.2	17.2	1.02
Steve Nash	16	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.17	-6	4	-10	17.1	15.4	1.68	14.5	18.0	-3.48
Danny Manning	38	38	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	0	-2	15.6	15.8	-0.15	17.0	17.7	-0.69
Jason Kidd	64	64	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.36	5	-7	12	15.7	15.8	-0.13	17.8	16.3	1.57
Cedric Ceballos	72	72	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.44	6	-8	14	15.2	18.3	-3.11	17.7	16.1	1.63
Kevin Johnson	67	67	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.51	-4	2	-6	16.0	14.5	1.48	17.5	17.2	0.21
Mark Bryant	61	63	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.43	-7	5	-12	16.4	14.1	2.30	17.3	17.7	-0.35
Wesley Person	52	53	-0.77	0.27	-1.05	-0.45	-11	9	-20	16.0	15.2	0.87	16.7	18.6	-1.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.69,0.64,0.32,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 112, ATL 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.5,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.34,0.15,0	93.4%
POR 110, GSW 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.53,0.61,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.51,0.62,0.72,0.8,0.76,0.84,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.66,0.55,0.46,0.24,0.16,0	91.7%
WAS 99, MIA 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.74,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.9,0.75,0.78,0.33,0.27,0	91.6%