NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	112		Excitement	7.5 [344]		MVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): +49.1%
Atlanta Hawks	106		Comeback	187.7 [15]		LVP	Marvin Williams (ATL): -24.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0.49	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.3,0.49	0.16	0.36	0.03	17	77%	0.60	4	-0.11	5	80%	-0.03
Derek Fisher	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.08,0.07	0.11	0.01	0.05	8	75%	0.20	2	-0.12	8	50%	-0.05
Gordan Giricek	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	71%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.02	0.04	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Matt Harpring	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	48%	0.04	1	-0.02	7	43%	-0.05
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	7	63%	0.10	3	-0.11	5	80%	0.03
Dee Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Carlos Boozer	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.08	-0.01	10	52%	0.06	3	-0.15	5	60%	-0.02
Deron Williams	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.09	-0.02	11	57%	0.04	6	-0.18	1	100%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.01	0.07	-0.04	9	55%	0.14	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Salim Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.02	8	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.03	7	70%	0.10	3	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	64%	0.04	2	-0.04	8	87%	-0.00
Royal Ivey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.07	-0.07	0.02	16	59%	0.09	3	-0.12	7	71%	-0.04
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	3	67%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.17,-0.11	-0.11	0.02	-0.10	0.04	18	55%	0.08	3	-0.20	13	62%	-0.04
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.21,-0.24	-0.24	-0.13	-0.15	-0.04	11	32%	-0.17	4	-0.07	6	83%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	1.8	31.5	14.8	28.7	1.8	37.4	142.4
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +69.6%

UTA +4.4%

UTA +2.6%

ATL -25.4%

ATL -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	ATL	NBA	UTA	ATL	NBA
this game	14.3	14.8	15.4	113.1	107.1	104.5
season	15.9	16.1		107.4	101.1
opponent	15.3	15.0		106.1	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.3	14.4	15.5	11.1	14.3
ATL	14.4	14.4	12.6	17.7	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mehmet Okur	74	74	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.19	15	-9	24	14.1	15.0	-0.91	15.3	13.3	1.94
Andrei Kirilenko	71	73	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.21	14	-8	22	14.0	15.2	-1.29	15.2	13.7	1.46
Derek Fisher	55	56	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.20	14	-8	22	14.2	14.4	-0.20	15.5	13.9	1.60
Carlos Boozer	66	66	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.28	9	-3	12	13.7	15.5	-1.83	15.6	13.1	2.47
Deron Williams	77	75	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.61	-12	18	-30	14.7	13.0	1.70	13.7	18.0	-4.32
Ronnie Brewer	23	23	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.23	15	-9	24	13.7	14.5	-0.82	18.2	13.7	4.44
Dee Brown	9	10	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	6	-6	12.8	14.5	-1.70	14.5	14.8	-0.30
Paul Millsap	33	33	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	9	-12	15.5	13.7	1.83	13.1	15.6	-2.47
Gordan Giricek	19	18	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.02	-3	9	-12	15.6	14.0	1.62	14.1	14.9	-0.87
Jarron Collins	25	25	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.13	-9	15	-24	15.0	14.1	0.91	13.3	15.3	-1.94
Matt Harpring	43	42	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.16	-10	16	-26	14.4	14.2	0.21	13.5	15.7	-2.12

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shelden Williams	53	53	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.12	-3	-3	0	13.9	15.7	-1.77	14.9	13.6	1.33
Salim Stoudamire	32	32	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.09	-3	-3	0	13.9	15.2	-1.23	14.9	14.1	0.82
Solomon Jones	6	6	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-5	4	13.0	14.9	-1.88	12.3	14.5	-2.12
Royal Ivey	2	2	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-3	0	3.5	15.0	-11.50	3.0	14.6	-11.56
Lorenzen Wright	16	18	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.17	-9	3	-12	14.4	14.8	-0.47	16.7	13.8	2.93
Joe Johnson	84	84	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.42	3	-9	12	14.6	15.8	-1.22	14.5	13.3	1.25
Josh Smith	85	86	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.49	3	-9	12	14.9	13.9	0.98	14.3	14.4	-0.07
Speedy Claxton	88	88	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.42	-1	-5	4	15.0	12.8	2.19	14.3	14.5	-0.15
Marvin Williams	81	78	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.37	-4	-2	-2	15.1	13.4	1.62	14.3	14.4	-0.13
Zaza Pachulia	48	48	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.31	-12	6	-18	16.2	13.4	2.76	12.9	15.7	-2.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.5,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.34,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 88, PHX 86	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.69,0.64,0.32,0.28,0	93.4%
LAC 112, PHX 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.7,0.74,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.89,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.67,0.78,0.75,0.64,0.55,0.16,0	91.5%
WAS 99, MIA 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.74,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.9,0.75,0.78,0.33,0.27,0	90.9%