NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	112		Excitement	7.8 [287]		MVP	Jared Dudley (LAC): +17.2%
Phoenix Suns	108		Comeback	32.7 [26]		LVP	Goran Dragic (PHX): -8.2%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Dudley	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.17	0.05	0.12	-0.01	5	75%	0.22	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.07
Chris Paul	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.25,0.13	0.03	0.11	0.00	17	51%	0.20	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
Darren Collison	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	16	66%	0.15	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Matt Barnes	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05	-0.01	0.06	0.01	16	53%	0.13	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Willie Green	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.02	15	57%	0.08	3	-0.09	10	90%	0.03
Reggie Bullock	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.02	-0.02	11	58%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	7	87%	0.13	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	12	55%	0.09	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.02	-0.02	7	52%	0.03	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.00
Ish Smith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.25,0.1,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.08	-0.10	-0.00	9	70%	0.10	1	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	9	74%	0.11	5	-0.16	1	100%	0.01
PJ Tucker	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	12	40%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	11	44%	0.05	4	-0.13	12	92%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.5	2.6	34.4	15.7	31.1	2.4	40.9	157.5
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +30.7%

LAC +1.3%

LAC +7.3%

LAC +15.5%

PHX -4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	PHX	NBA	LAC	PHX	NBA
this game	15.9	15.0	15.1	121.7	114.9	105.2
season	14.3	14.7		111.0	107.7
opponent	14.9	15.4		105.0	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.5	17.0	17.1	15.2	15.9
PHX	14.9	13.0	15.6	16.7	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Dudley	49	49	0.98	-0.48	1.47	0.43	19	-15	34	15.1	16.9	-1.85	14.6	15.5	-0.96
Chris Paul	67	69	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.36	5	-1	6	16.1	15.6	0.53	14.8	15.6	-0.83
Darren Collison	79	82	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.38	3	1	2	16.2	14.5	1.73	15.4	12.2	3.19
Matt Barnes	72	73	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.45	-1	5	-6	16.3	14.6	1.72	14.1	18.1	-4.01
Blake Griffin	62	64	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.50	-6	10	-16	16.8	14.2	2.54	14.8	15.4	-0.59
Hedo Turkoglu	12	13	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.08	8	-4	12	12.8	16.4	-3.58	19.9	14.2	5.68
Glen Davis	21	21	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.16	10	-6	16	14.3	16.4	-2.15	16.5	14.6	1.86
Willie Green	35	34	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.03	5	-1	6	15.4	16.3	-0.93	14.9	15.1	-0.14
Reggie Bullock	8	8	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.01	-3	7	-10	17.2	15.8	1.43	15.2	15.0	0.24
DeAndre Jordan	55	57	-0.53	1.03	-1.56	0.06	-20	24	-44	16.3	15.5	0.77	14.8	15.3	-0.48

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miles Plumlee	51	50	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.03	6	-10	16	15.3	14.7	0.57	15.6	16.4	-0.76
Gerald Green	47	46	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.07	-2	-2	0	14.9	15.1	-0.23	15.0	16.8	-1.80
Ish Smith	8	9	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-2	0	10.9	15.4	-4.54	14.8	16.1	-1.29
Marcus Morris	42	39	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	1	-6	13.3	16.5	-3.20	15.0	16.6	-1.60
Eric Bledsoe	55	56	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.43	4	-8	12	15.1	14.9	0.14	17.1	14.2	2.88
Channing Frye	56	56	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.35	1	-5	6	16.6	12.7	3.85	16.6	14.9	1.74
Goran Dragic	81	78	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.41	-6	2	-8	15.6	11.2	4.41	15.9	16.3	-0.40
PJ Tucker	68	68	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.38	-7	3	-10	15.4	14.2	1.16	15.9	16.0	-0.13
Markieff Morris	62	58	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.39	-9	5	-14	14.0	17.0	-2.94	16.1	15.6	0.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.7,0.74,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.89,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.67,0.78,0.75,0.64,0.55,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 91, ATL 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.85,0.9,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.84,0.78,0.95,0.79,0.55,0.08,0	91.6%
UTA 112, ATL 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.5,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.34,0.15,0	91.5%
ATL 96, LAC 93	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.88,0.79,0.85,0.73,0.69,0.45,0.68,0.42,0	91.5%