NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	96		Excitement	8.6 [188]		MVP	Cuttino Mobley (LAC): +24.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	93		Comeback	29.6 [31]		LVP	Sam Cassell (LAC): -28.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Childress	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17	0.05	0.11	-0.00	8	72%	0.22	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0.09	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,0.09	0.03	0.08	0.02	19	54%	0.18	3	-0.09	12	67%	0.01
Salim Stoudamire	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Richardson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	14	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Speedy Claxton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	11	30%	-0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	9	45%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Josh Smith	-0.19	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.01,-0.07,-0.19	-0.02	-0.16	0.01	15	47%	-0.02	3	-0.16	10	70%	-0.03

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.20	0.03	-0.02	18	82%	0.33	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.06	0.03	6	65%	0.11	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.03
James Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Doug Christie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	14	33%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16	-0.16	-0.15	-0.03	-0.01	10	23%	-0.11	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Kaman	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,-0.19	-0.19	0.08	-0.26	0.01	13	61%	-0.16	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.11
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.14,-0.29	-0.29	-0.05	-0.24	0.00	8	42%	-0.17	2	-0.12	8	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	26.5	16.6	31.2	2.6	46.0	150.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +4.3%

ATL +20.6%

ATL +19.3%

ATL +3.2%

ATL +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	LAC	NBA	ATL	LAC	NBA
this game	15.9	15.8	15.4	106.7	101.1	104.5
season	16.1	15.7		101.1	103.3
opponent	15.4	15.3		103.6	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.9	16.7	16.2	13.8	15.9
LAC	15.8	15.3	15.8	16.2	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Smith	61	62	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.39	16	-13	29	14.8	18.2	-3.40	16.0	15.3	0.72
Zaza Pachulia	49	50	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.56	2	1	1	16.1	15.5	0.61	15.4	16.2	-0.75
Josh Childress	72	74	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.47	5	-2	7	15.9	15.6	0.32	16.1	14.7	1.39
Joe Johnson	81	83	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.39	6	-3	9	16.0	15.0	0.96	15.8	15.7	0.13
Marvin Williams	82	84	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.42	2	1	1	15.9	15.6	0.27	15.5	19.0	-3.52
Salim Stoudamire	9	8	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.09	6	-3	9	12.0	16.3	-4.30	19.0	15.5	3.52
Shelden Williams	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.02	1	2	-1	17.0	15.9	1.15	15.0	15.8	-0.79
Jeremy Richardson	1	2	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	7	-11	6.0	16.0	-9.98	9.5	15.9	-6.42
Royal Ivey	14	15	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	7	-11	15.8	15.9	-0.10	13.9	16.2	-2.29
Lorenzen Wright	32	33	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.07	-4	7	-11	17.1	15.2	1.90	16.4	15.5	0.91
Speedy Claxton	48	48	-0.40	0.90	-1.30	-0.08	-11	14	-25	16.8	14.8	1.98	15.9	15.7	0.19

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quinton Ross	37	36	0.26	-0.76	1.03	-0.06	11	-14	25	15.5	15.9	-0.40	16.5	15.4	1.10
Doug Christie	5	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-4	5	15.0	15.8	-0.83	15.2	15.9	-0.65
James Singleton	27	24	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-3	3	15.5	15.9	-0.37	14.2	16.5	-2.20
Aaron Williams	15	13	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.05	-5	2	-7	16.7	15.6	1.14	16.2	15.8	0.43
Chris Kaman	69	70	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.36	6	-9	15	15.9	15.5	0.35	16.4	13.9	2.53
Sam Cassell	52	53	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.34	5	-8	13	15.6	16.0	-0.34	16.3	15.3	1.01
Cuttino Mobley	89	87	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.20	-4	1	-5	16.2	2.7	13.56	16.3	2.0	14.34
Corey Maggette	43	43	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.11	-10	7	-17	15.6	16.0	-0.38	14.6	17.0	-2.42
Tim Thomas	73	73	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.43	-7	4	-11	15.6	16.5	-0.87	15.8	16.2	-0.38
Shaun Livingston	50	47	-0.85	0.35	-1.20	-0.50	-12	9	-21	15.6	16.0	-0.44	15.2	16.6	-1.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.88,0.79,0.85,0.73,0.69,0.45,0.68,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 112, PHX 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.7,0.74,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.89,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.67,0.78,0.75,0.64,0.55,0.16,0	91.5%
NJN 88, DET 86	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.55,0.57,0.42,0	91.3%
PHI 100, ORL 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.64,0.63,0.77,0.73,0	91.2%