inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Bullets 99 Excitement7.1 [385] MVPTracy Murray (WAS): +42.7%
Miami Heat 95 Comeback46.0 [10] LVPTim Hardaway (MIA): -25.3%


Washington Bullets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tracy Murray0.430,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.4,0.4,0.430.130.300.011473%0.451-0.022100%0.03
Gheorghe Muresan0.090,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.010.01875%0.0900.0000%0.00
Chris Whitney0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.010.01775%0.0800.002100%0.01
Harvey Grant-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.010.01560%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Ben Wallace-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.02-0.050.02386%0.031-0.0710%-0.01
Calbert Cheaney-0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.00837%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Ashraf Amaya-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.0110%-0.012-0.0500%0.00
Juwan Howard-0.070,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.011839%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Jaren Jackson-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.11-0.01-0.03517%-0.052-0.0520%-0.01
Rod Strickland-0.210,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.21-0.17-0.04-0.001247%-0.095-0.121669%0.03

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
John Crotty0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.010.00480%0.0700.00250%-0.01
Keith Askins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.00-0.00383%0.0500.0000%0.00
Jamal Mashburn0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,00.00-0.040.040.011746%0.031-0.03771%0.01
Ed Pinckney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.01050%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
P.J. Brown0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01946%-0.021-0.02683%0.01
Ike Austin0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.02-0.11-0.001361%0.014-0.135100%0.03
Voshon Lenard0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.15-0.15-0.02-0.14-0.011453%-0.093-0.062100%0.01
Tim Hardaway0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.24,-0.19,-0.25-0.25-0.13-0.17-0.042236%-0.173-0.081100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.92.424.615.623.82.039.2133.5
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +61.4%
MIA -3.6%
WAS +13.4%
MIA -11.9%
MIA -9.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASMIANBAWASMIANBA
this game14.915.215.6103.1100.0104.4
season14.815.8104.3103.1
opponent16.315.898.3103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS14.816.516.611.914.9
MIA14.017.012.717.415.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Bullets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ben Wallace25260.85-0.351.190.4115-112611.416.2-4.7117.014.62.49
Juwan Howard80800.69-0.190.880.3711-71814.318.1-3.8415.016.4-1.39
Calbert Cheaney58590.67-0.170.840.438-41214.315.8-1.4714.716.2-1.51
Tracy Murray53530.63-0.130.770.3410-61614.515.4-0.8916.513.72.81
Rod Strickland78750.51-0.010.530.5104-414.616.4-1.8014.019.8-5.79
Jaren Jackson28280.010.49-0.49-0.0213-216.414.32.0216.114.91.19
Chris Whitney2930-0.030.53-0.57-0.0922015.214.80.4017.914.03.85
Gheorghe Muresan4039-0.190.69-0.89-0.08-48-1216.613.72.9515.315.20.04
Ashraf Amaya3130-0.230.73-0.950.04-913-2215.514.60.8713.616.0-2.34
Harvey Grant5855-0.410.91-1.310.00-1418-3216.412.73.6714.815.9-1.11

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ed Pinckney1090.03-0.530.560.09-2-2018.214.93.3213.015.1-2.13
John Crotty3231-0.00-0.500.500.12-40-416.914.42.5714.715.0-0.27
Keith Askins3535-0.18-0.320.130.11-106-1617.613.93.7015.014.90.16
Ike Austin7475-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.392-6815.315.00.3615.712.23.44
Tim Hardaway8083-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.493-71014.618.7-4.0814.915.1-0.17
Jamal Mashburn8283-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.552-6814.221.8-7.6614.517.9-3.47
P.J. Brown8486-0.530.03-0.56-0.41-40-414.918.1-3.2314.915.3-0.42
Voshon Lenard7878-0.600.10-0.69-0.39-73-1015.215.4-0.2215.014.50.53


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.74,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.9,0.75,0.78,0.33,0.27,0
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 113, HOU 1080.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.78,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.97,0.86,0.9,0.63,0.45,0.42,092.2%
DAL 88, PHX 860.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.69,0.64,0.32,0.28,091.6%
SAC 91, MIN 880.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.69,0.79,0.45,0.42,091.3%