inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 111 Excitement8.2 [214] MVPCarmelo Anthony (DEN): +54.2%
Memphis Grizzlies 109 Comeback24.5 [79] LVPO.J. Mayo (MEM): -31.4%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony0.540,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.29,0.18,0.540.160.390.012365%0.613-0.078100%0.14
Nene0.090,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.020.02968%0.111-0.031070%-0.01
J.R. Smith0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.09-0.010.021666%0.112-0.0400%0.00
Chris Andersen0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.010.001100%0.041-0.032100%0.01
Dahntay Jones0.000,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.01-0.01250%0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Linas Kleiza-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.02-0.01623%-0.0100.001100%0.01
Kenyon Martin-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.01440%-0.0300.002100%0.01
Anthony Carter-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.0010%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Chauncey Billups-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.12,-0.12-0.00-0.12-0.001062%0.196-0.31978%0.01
Renaldo Balkman-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.06-0.100.00450%-0.073-0.0800%0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Hakim Warrick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.060.080.01959%0.151-0.02989%0.06
Rudy Gay0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.10.100.17-0.070.002165%0.131-0.04475%-0.01
Marko Jaric0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.030.02-0.03475%0.091-0.0200%0.00
Quinton Ross0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.000.00570%0.0500.0000%0.00
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.01-0.00950%0.0400.002100%0.01
Mike Conley0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.030.03-0.021136%0.0200.0000%0.00
Hamed Haddadi0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00-0.00558%0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Marc Gasol0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03-0.030.01-0.020.01460%0.052-0.08771%-0.01
O.J. Mayo0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.18,-0.29,-0.31-0.31-0.09-0.230.001843%-0.214-0.111100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.22.428.215.725.62.441.5144.0
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +21.9%
DEN +38.7%
DEN +10.5%
MEM -19.2%
MEM -2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENMEMNBADENMEMNBA
this game13.616.215.5116.8111.2106.4
season14.416.1109.5101.7
opponent15.315.7107.6105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN13.214.214.112.913.6
MEM15.016.415.218.416.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Carmelo Anthony69720.54-0.040.580.4820214.112.31.7116.315.90.45
Chauncey Billups77790.54-0.040.580.5402-213.812.61.2116.116.8-0.71
Nene69740.53-0.030.550.55-13-413.713.40.2316.714.81.83
J.R. Smith60600.460.040.43-0.0317-153213.513.7-0.1116.216.3-0.08
Renaldo Balkman46460.400.100.310.149-71613.613.60.0817.015.51.44
Anthony Carter31320.280.220.070.2511012.714.0-1.3517.115.81.35
Kenyon Martin49520.100.40-0.290.31-79-1613.613.6-0.0815.517.0-1.44
Chris Andersen2624-0.030.53-0.55-0.113-1413.413.7-0.2314.816.7-1.83
Linas Kleiza2626-0.040.54-0.58-0.0402-212.314.1-1.7115.916.3-0.45
Dahntay Jones2225-0.290.79-1.090.12-1416-3014.213.40.7715.616.4-0.88

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hakim Warrick42410.29-0.791.080.290-2215.616.7-1.0813.213.9-0.61
Darrell Arthur51500.13-0.630.76-0.2212-142616.815.61.2714.412.71.71
Hamed Haddadi38380.03-0.530.570.12-31-416.316.20.0812.214.5-2.30
Marko Jaric19190.03-0.530.570.030-2216.516.10.3912.313.9-1.59
Rudy Gay8985-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.501-3416.414.32.0713.811.72.11
Mike Conley7976-0.530.03-0.57-0.47-20-216.116.5-0.3913.912.31.59
O.J. Mayo8783-0.540.04-0.58-0.42-42-615.918.9-3.0413.911.22.68
Quinton Ross3435-0.700.20-0.89-0.55-53-816.716.00.7512.614.1-1.52
Marc Gasol5148-0.740.24-0.99-0.48-97-1616.016.4-0.4513.913.30.54


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.62,0.59,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.72,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.59,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.94,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.9,0.71,0.57,0.58,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 110, WAS 1090.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.7,0.6,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.55,0.42,091.7%
NJN 102, GSW 1000.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.75,0.64,0.57,0.42,091.5%
UTA 112, MIN 1070.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.87,0.75,0.93,0.77,0.72,091.3%