NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	102		Excitement	6.3 [439]		MVP	Gerald Green (NJN): +32.1%
Golden State Warriors	100		Comeback	38.1 [14]		LVP	Deron Williams (NJN): -16.1%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Green	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.32	0.13	0.23	0.04	12	77%	0.34	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0.10	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.07	0.01	16	59%	0.17	4	-0.07	9	89%	0.03
DeShawn Stevenson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.03	0.02	12	67%	0.08	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.07
Sundiata Gaines	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Dennis Horner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	10	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	6	8%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	6	57%	0.01	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Deron Williams	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16	-0.17	-0.01	-0.02	13	28%	-0.03	4	-0.13	6	67%	-0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	3	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickell Gladness	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.01	4	67%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Charles Jenkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.18,0.18,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	12	62%	0.16	3	-0.10	5	100%	0.02
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	70%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Jeremy Tyler	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	33%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.09	-0.02	8	69%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	-0.09	0.00	16	75%	0.25	7	-0.30	4	75%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.06	-0.08	0.05	13	54%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.02	5	0%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.5	27.5	15.4	28.5	2.3	33.5	134.5
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +6.3%

NJN +3.0%

NJN +25.3%

NJN +15.2%

NJN +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	GSW	NBA	NJN	GSW	NBA
this game	14.7	15.6	15.6	107.4	105.3	102.8
season	16.2	15.2		101.3	103.6
opponent	15.4	15.2		106.8	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.1	15.3	15.7	13.0	14.7
GSW	14.3	15.4	15.0	17.8	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Green	57	55	0.89	-0.39	1.29	0.37	18	-16	34	13.8	16.2	-2.41	16.3	14.6	1.65
DeShawn Stevenson	49	49	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.50	8	-6	14	14.6	14.9	-0.30	16.0	15.2	0.83
Kris Humphries	79	79	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.41	8	-6	14	14.8	14.4	0.44	15.8	14.4	1.37
Deron Williams	78	78	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.44	5	-3	8	14.6	15.3	-0.68	16.0	13.5	2.50
Gerald Wallace	85	86	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.45	3	-1	4	15.0	12.4	2.61	15.9	12.6	3.34
Anthony Morrow	24	24	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.06	0	2	-2	13.1	15.3	-2.16	14.9	15.8	-0.89
Dennis Horner	4	4	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	6	-10	12.2	14.8	-2.60	11.2	15.8	-4.52
Sundiata Gaines	20	20	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.03	-7	9	-16	16.7	14.2	2.55	13.5	16.1	-2.63
Johan Petro	50	51	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.01	-9	11	-20	15.0	14.4	0.56	15.0	16.2	-1.17
MarShon Brooks	29	29	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.05	-12	14	-26	16.0	14.2	1.87	14.3	16.1	-1.78

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dorell Wright	32	32	0.32	-0.82	1.14	-0.06	13	-15	28	15.4	15.7	-0.21	15.8	14.2	1.62
Jeremy Tyler	32	32	0.32	-0.82	1.14	-0.06	13	-15	28	15.4	15.7	-0.21	15.8	14.2	1.62
Nate Robinson	22	23	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.01	5	-7	12	15.1	15.7	-0.64	14.6	14.8	-0.23
Mickell Gladness	24	25	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.05	0	-2	2	15.4	15.6	-0.27	13.6	15.1	-1.54
Richard Jefferson	40	41	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.16	-7	5	-12	15.2	15.8	-0.61	14.4	15.0	-0.52
Klay Thompson	52	52	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.56	0	-2	2	15.8	15.3	0.42	15.0	14.5	0.50
David Lee	78	78	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.48	-3	1	-4	15.5	16.1	-0.58	14.9	13.8	1.11
Charles Jenkins	73	72	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.45	-7	5	-12	15.7	15.1	0.64	14.8	14.6	0.23
Brandon Rush	66	65	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.42	-10	8	-18	15.7	15.3	0.44	14.2	15.9	-1.65
Dominic McGuire	56	55	-0.81	0.31	-1.11	-0.40	-14	12	-26	15.9	15.1	0.76	14.3	15.3	-0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.75,0.64,0.57,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 105, CHA 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.93,0.93,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.75,0.48,0.57,0.42,0	93.8%
DAL 91, CHH 90	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.71,0.83,0.69,0.46,0.55,0.42,0	93.2%
PHI 85, PHX 84	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.69,0.54,0.32,0.42,0	92.7%