NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	85		Excitement	7.5 [293]		MVP	Derrick Coleman (PHI): +47.8%
Phoenix Suns	84		Comeback	61.5 [7]		LVP	Rex Chapman (PHX): -30.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Coleman	0.48	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.3,0.48	-0.18	0.65	-0.01	21	40%	0.58	6	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01
Mark Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	6	47%	-0.03	1	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01
Joe Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	8	44%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	3	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,-0.07	-0.04	-0.06	-0.02	20	53%	-0.02	3	-0.06	11	91%	0.08
Aaron McKie	-0.08	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	10	60%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.27	-0.07	-0.23	-0.03	8	35%	-0.27	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.1	0.10	-0.03	0.12	-0.01	5	67%	0.15	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	9	55%	0.03	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.08	-0.06	19	46%	-0.09	3	-0.03	8	62%	-0.06
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.10	0.01	9	58%	-0.06	2	-0.07	8	87%	0.01
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.04	-0.02	4	20%	-0.09	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.11	-0.16	-0.04	7	37%	-0.16	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Rex Chapman	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.31	-0.31	-0.06	-0.23	0.01	7	53%	-0.01	4	-0.30	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	27.3	15.3	27.6	2.4	37.6	135.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +24.0%

PHI +13.0%

PHI +2.2%

PHI +17.6%

PHX -6.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	PHX	NBA	PHI	PHX	NBA
this game	16.1	13.9	15.6	87.6	88.4	102.5
season	15.4	15.0		99.7	105.3
opponent	15.9	15.5		100.0	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.8	20.5	13.5	14.0	16.1
PHX	12.0	12.9	14.2	16.7	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	71	69	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.40	13	-12	25	15.5	17.6	-2.14	14.3	13.0	1.28
Derrick Coleman	83	81	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.45	7	-6	13	16.0	16.2	-0.19	13.8	14.6	-0.76
Allen Iverson	84	82	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.40	7	-6	13	15.5	19.8	-4.29	14.2	12.3	1.88
Theo Ratliff	70	69	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.62	-1	2	-3	15.6	17.2	-1.57	14.0	13.7	0.38
Tim Thomas	49	50	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.47	-6	7	-13	16.6	15.5	1.05	11.8	16.2	-4.40
Eric Snow	33	33	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.02	8	-7	15	16.0	16.1	-0.03	16.8	12.4	4.38
Mark Davis	26	27	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.04	-5	6	-11	16.8	15.8	0.98	14.2	13.8	0.41
Brian Shaw	21	19	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.10	-11	12	-23	18.5	15.4	3.09	12.4	14.3	-1.88
Joe Smith	48	45	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	-0.03	-7	8	-15	16.6	15.5	1.14	13.6	14.2	-0.54

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George McCloud	20	20	0.26	-0.76	1.02	-0.06	11	-12	23	12.6	14.3	-1.62	19.2	15.2	3.97
Steve Nash	30	32	0.20	-0.70	0.91	0.06	5	-6	11	13.8	14.0	-0.14	19.3	14.5	4.82
Kevin Johnson	43	46	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.00	4	-5	9	14.6	13.4	1.15	18.1	14.2	3.91
Dennis Scott	20	21	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.12	-5	4	-9	15.9	13.4	2.50	18.2	15.4	2.79
Clifford Robinson	85	87	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.40	6	-7	13	13.7	15.7	-1.98	15.9	17.0	-1.06
Mark Bryant	55	54	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.10	-15	14	-29	14.3	13.4	0.91	15.1	17.3	-2.25
Danny Manning	55	57	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.30	-5	4	-9	13.8	14.1	-0.39	16.3	15.7	0.64
Rex Chapman	55	56	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.55	-3	2	-5	13.5	14.5	-1.03	14.2	18.5	-4.26
Antonio McDyess	47	47	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.78	3	-4	7	13.7	14.2	-0.49	14.9	17.1	-2.25
Jason Kidd	65	65	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.53	-6	5	-11	14.0	13.8	0.14	14.5	19.3	-4.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.69,0.54,0.32,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 103, CHH 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.81,0.55,0.33,0.27,0	93.7%
MIA 95, NJN 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.83,0.69,0.55,0.22,0.16,0	93.4%
DAL 91, CHH 90	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.71,0.83,0.69,0.46,0.55,0.42,0	92.8%