NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	91		Excitement	7.6 [299]		MVP	Howard Eisley (DAL): +100.0%
Charlotte Hornets	90		Comeback	19.0 [33]		LVP	Elden Campbell (CHH): -20.6%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Howard Eisley	1.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,1	0.07	0.93	-0.01	15	62%	1.02	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.10
Shawn Bradley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	4	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Loy Vaught	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	10	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Alexander	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	9	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Hubert Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	0.04	0.00	18	37%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.06
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,-0.11	0.07	-0.16	0.01	17	64%	0.18	2	-0.28	8	100%	0.07

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.25	0.25	0.01	0.22	-0.01	9	64%	0.28	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.05
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.01	16	58%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	87%	0.06	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.07	-0.02	19	55%	0.03	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.04
Baron Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.07	-0.02	13	37%	-0.11	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,0.02,-0.13,-0.21	-0.21	-0.09	-0.11	0.01	13	43%	0.02	3	-0.23	4	75%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	1.8	23.2	15.4	27.0	2.0	37.0	127.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +58.3%

DAL +9.7%

CHH -39.1%

DAL +9.2%

DAL +11.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	CHH	NBA	DAL	CHH	NBA
this game	16.5	16.4	15.5	104.6	102.3	100.9
season	15.2	15.8		104.6	99.7
opponent	15.6	15.3		97.0	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.8	16.7	17.3	17.5	16.5
CHH	15.8	15.3	14.8	20.4	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hubert Davis	17	18	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.83	-3	4	-7	17.0	16.4	0.61	13.3	17.2	-3.87
Shawn Bradley	65	65	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.41	11	-10	21	16.5	16.5	-0.05	16.5	16.1	0.44
Howard Eisley	75	76	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.44	6	-5	11	16.3	17.6	-1.25	16.6	15.5	1.05
Dirk Nowitzki	75	75	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.56	-1	2	-3	16.7	15.2	1.55	16.5	15.8	0.66
Michael Finley	74	74	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.50	1	0	1	17.0	13.8	3.13	16.8	14.4	2.36
Loy Vaught	52	54	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.49	19	-18	37	16.4	16.7	-0.30	17.0	15.4	1.63
Courtney Alexander	46	47	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	0.01	-12	13	-25	15.5	17.6	-2.09	15.7	17.2	-1.43
Christian Laettner	31	31	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	0.09	-16	17	-33	16.7	16.4	0.32	16.4	16.4	-0.03

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Coleman	23	23	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.00	6	-7	13	14.7	17.0	-2.38	19.1	15.6	3.51
Hersey Hawkins	23	23	0.15	-0.65	0.79	0.03	4	-5	9	15.3	16.8	-1.44	19.2	15.5	3.69
Jamaal Magloire	20	19	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.09	-1	0	-1	13.6	17.2	-3.64	14.2	17.1	-2.94
Lee Nailon	9	9	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	2	-5	18.9	16.1	2.76	14.9	16.7	-1.80
Jamal Mashburn	79	78	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.51	2	-3	5	16.1	18.9	-2.76	16.7	14.9	1.80
David Wesley	73	72	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.53	0	-1	1	16.5	15.9	0.65	15.6	20.7	-5.03
Elden Campbell	68	68	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.56	0	-1	1	17.2	13.6	3.64	17.1	14.2	2.94
Baron Davis	80	79	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.44	-6	5	-11	16.6	14.4	2.24	16.5	16.5	0.01
P.J. Brown	65	64	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.48	-7	6	-13	17.0	14.7	2.38	15.6	19.1	-3.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.71,0.83,0.69,0.46,0.55,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 102, GSW 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.75,0.64,0.57,0.42,0	93.2%
MIA 98, TOR 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.73,0.9,0.86,0.82,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.75,0.54,0.65,0.27,0	93.0%
PHI 85, PHX 84	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.69,0.54,0.32,0.42,0	92.8%