NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	105		Excitement	6.1 [599]		MVP	Willie Green (ORL): +31.1%
Charlotte Hornets	100		Comeback	76.5 [15]		LVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): -19.4%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willie Green	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.31	0.07	0.22	-0.02	6	75%	0.31	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.22,0.07	0.04	0.04	0.01	11	57%	0.08	1	-0.00	6	33%	-0.24
Evan Fournier	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.01	0.04	12	64%	0.09	3	-0.06	9	67%	-0.01
Luke Ridnour	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	8	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Harkless	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nicholson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.04	8	58%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Tobias Harris	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	0.07	16	42%	-0.09	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Nikola Vucevic	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.11	-0.04	-0.08	-0.02	15	44%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.03

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.09	0.01	20	56%	0.18	0	0.00	3	67%	0.05
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.00	0.04	5	92%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.01	0.02	11	65%	0.05	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	6	21%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Lance Stephenson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.16	-0.16	-0.06	-0.12	-0.02	15	37%	-0.13	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.09	-0.13	-0.02	19	39%	-0.14	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.8	30.8	15.0	23.6	1.8	39.4	137.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +37.8%

CHA -10.0%

ORL +28.5%

CHA -4.4%

CHA -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	CHA	NBA	ORL	CHA	NBA
this game	15.0	15.2	15.1	110.5	104.2	104.2
season	14.9	15.6		100.4	98.9
opponent	15.1	15.3		102.6	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.0	16.3	16.4	11.4	15.0
CHA	13.4	15.7	14.2	17.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Gordon	33	34	0.99	-0.49	1.47	0.19	27	-22	49	11.5	16.9	-5.34	16.1	14.7	1.40
Willie Green	36	37	0.97	-0.47	1.43	0.26	24	-19	43	12.6	16.5	-3.85	15.8	14.8	0.98
Elfrid Payton	54	56	0.83	-0.33	1.17	0.28	19	-14	33	13.7	16.8	-3.09	15.5	14.7	0.74
Tobias Harris	78	79	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.42	4	1	3	15.3	13.8	1.43	14.8	17.0	-2.24
Nikola Vucevic	68	69	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.58	-2	7	-9	15.7	13.3	2.43	14.9	15.9	-1.07
Andrew Nicholson	6	5	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.04	2	3	-1	16.2	14.9	1.25	15.0	15.2	-0.16
Maurice Harkless	21	23	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	6	-7	16.4	14.6	1.77	12.9	15.9	-2.95
Dewayne Dedmon	8	8	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.04	-5	10	-15	15.7	14.9	0.82	14.0	15.3	-1.26
Luke Ridnour	14	14	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.06	-7	12	-19	14.9	15.0	-0.08	15.6	15.1	0.57
Channing Frye	47	47	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	-0.13	-6	11	-17	14.8	15.2	-0.34	15.7	14.7	0.99
Victor Oladipo	47	46	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	0.09	-16	21	-37	17.1	13.0	4.13	14.6	15.7	-1.13
Evan Fournier	63	62	-0.39	0.89	-1.27	0.03	-14	19	-33	16.2	12.7	3.53	15.8	14.0	1.84

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Henderson	51	50	0.35	-0.85	1.20	-0.03	13	-18	31	15.1	15.3	-0.21	16.9	12.9	3.97
Bismack Biyombo	26	27	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.05	5	-10	15	13.1	15.9	-2.80	14.5	15.2	-0.67
Cody Zeller	30	30	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.11	-1	-4	3	12.9	16.2	-3.33	15.4	14.8	0.63
Brian Roberts	27	27	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.19	-4	-1	-3	16.2	14.8	1.43	14.3	15.3	-0.98
Jason Maxiell	8	7	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.12	-8	3	-11	20.9	14.6	6.24	11.4	15.3	-3.86
Marvin Williams	67	65	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.43	-5	0	-5	16.0	13.2	2.84	14.8	15.4	-0.63
Kemba Walker	75	74	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.49	-4	-1	-3	15.2	15.0	0.26	15.0	14.9	0.12
Lance Stephenson	77	76	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.47	-5	0	-5	14.4	18.2	-3.74	15.0	14.9	0.07
Al Jefferson	60	59	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.54	-3	-2	-1	15.5	14.5	1.05	15.7	13.9	1.74
Gary Neal	59	60	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.28	-13	8	-21	15.6	14.5	1.09	13.7	17.3	-3.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.93,0.93,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.75,0.48,0.57,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 102, GSW 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.75,0.64,0.57,0.42,0	93.8%
PHI 110, CHI 106	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.55,0.67,0.15,0	92.8%
DET 96, PHI 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.69,0.79,0.77,0.58,0	91.9%