NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	110		Excitement	6.5 [479]		MVP	Rodney Carney (PHI): +32.2%
Chicago Bulls	106		Comeback	67.0 [4]		LVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): -9.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Carney	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.32,0.32	0.09	0.25	0.01	11	64%	0.35	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2	0.05	0.16	0.02	17	54%	0.22	1	-0.02	12	83%	0.06
Samuel Dalembert	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.00	0.08	-0.02	8	55%	0.14	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Lou Williams	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,0.17,0.08	-0.03	0.09	-0.03	11	44%	0.10	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.03
Kevin Ollie	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	60%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Jason Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	4	57%	0.00	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Calvin Booth	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	0.04	13	56%	0.01	4	-0.09	6	100%	0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Drew Gooden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.21	0.21	0.02	0.18	-0.01	12	62%	0.26	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.07	-0.02	21	48%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	64%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0	0.00	0.06	-0.05	0.00	7	67%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	10	32%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.10	-0.13	-0.01	13	69%	0.16	2	-0.17	3	67%	-0.01
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.06	-0.01	10	58%	0.19	2	-0.22	6	100%	0.07
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.05	-0.06	8	37%	-0.01	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	2.4	30.3	15.7	30.2	1.7	41.2	149.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI -6.1%

PHI +20.4%

CHI -0.8%

PHI +34.7%

PHI +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHI	NBA	PHI	CHI	NBA
this game	14.7	14.9	15.4	113.4	108.2	105.7
season	15.2	15.0		104.0	102.2
opponent	15.5	16.2		105.4	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.5	17.2	12.9	14.4	14.7
CHI	14.3	14.8	14.3	16.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	76	77	0.86	-0.36	1.23	0.31	19	-15	34	13.9	17.5	-3.66	15.0	14.5	0.45
Rodney Carney	48	49	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.37	14	-10	24	14.6	14.7	-0.07	15.3	14.5	0.78
Lou Williams	41	42	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.49	10	-6	16	15.1	14.4	0.72	15.1	14.7	0.38
Kevin Ollie	36	36	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.46	10	-6	16	14.3	14.9	-0.52	14.6	15.0	-0.47
Samuel Dalembert	52	53	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.63	-7	11	-18	14.5	14.9	-0.43	13.6	16.4	-2.73
Jason Smith	36	37	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.16	6	-2	8	15.2	14.3	0.89	16.2	14.1	2.15
Calvin Booth	24	24	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.10	2	2	0	14.2	14.8	-0.54	16.8	14.3	2.53
Thaddeus Young	47	46	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.06	-5	9	-14	14.8	14.5	0.29	15.0	14.7	0.27
Reggie Evans	59	60	-0.38	0.88	-1.27	-0.00	-13	17	-30	14.9	14.3	0.65	14.1	16.1	-2.01
Andre Miller	66	66	-0.50	1.00	-1.51	-0.03	-16	20	-36	15.2	13.5	1.63	14.7	15.3	-0.65

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joakim Noah	46	45	0.29	-0.79	1.08	0.05	8	-12	20	14.5	15.2	-0.63	14.6	14.7	-0.15
Tyrus Thomas	33	33	0.24	-0.74	0.99	0.01	8	-12	20	14.8	14.9	-0.09	14.9	14.5	0.38
Aaron Gray	18	17	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.01	4	-8	12	14.0	15.1	-1.08	16.5	14.3	2.27
Andres Nocioni	42	43	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.17	4	-8	12	14.5	15.1	-0.58	15.0	14.4	0.65
Ben Gordon	28	31	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.27	-2	-2	0	15.3	14.7	0.57	12.9	15.5	-2.53
Larry Hughes	68	67	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.53	2	-6	8	14.4	16.0	-1.67	14.6	14.7	-0.06
Thabo Sefolosha	45	43	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.09	-14	10	-24	14.9	14.9	0.02	14.7	14.6	0.11
Kirk Hinrich	66	62	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.25	-9	5	-14	15.1	14.4	0.75	14.9	14.3	0.59
Drew Gooden	66	66	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.29	-9	5	-14	15.3	14.0	1.26	14.9	14.1	0.83
Luol Deng	78	78	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.37	-12	8	-20	15.2	13.5	1.67	14.3	16.3	-1.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.55,0.67,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 110, IND 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.75,0.46,0.55,0.02,0	93.2%
ORL 105, CHA 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.93,0.93,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.75,0.48,0.57,0.42,0	92.8%
NJN 102, GSW 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.75,0.64,0.57,0.42,0	92.5%