NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	110		Excitement	6.8 [437]		MVP	Danny Granger (IND): +29.4%
Indiana Pacers	103		Comeback	43.8 [11]		LVP	T.J. Ford (IND): -24.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.15,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.26	0.16	0.10	0.00	13	76%	0.30	2	-0.04	8	75%	-0.03
Larry Hughes	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.06	0.05	14	61%	0.13	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.05
Jared Jeffries	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.08	0.01	3	56%	0.10	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.05
Wilson Chandler	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.02	13	64%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Hill	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	62%	0.08	3	-0.08	8	50%	-0.04
Toney Douglas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
David Lee	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	13	53%	0.02	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.03
Nate Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	5	43%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.22	0.09	0.01	18	79%	0.36	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	10	52%	0.02	1	-0.01	7	57%	-0.02
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.04	0.00	8	58%	0.01	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.00
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.06	-0.08	0.02	15	69%	0.12	5	-0.16	6	83%	-0.02
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	9	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.04	7	22%	-0.06	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
T.J. Ford	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	5	37%	0.01	5	-0.25	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	1.7	32.2	15.7	30.0	2.7	38.5	149.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +15.6%

NYK +11.4%

NYK +0.7%

NYK +24.8%

IND -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	IND	NBA	NYK	IND	NBA
this game	12.4	15.5	15.3	104.8	101.0	106.0
season	14.7	14.2		105.9	102.2
opponent	15.1	15.5		105.3	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.6	13.3	11.1	11.6	12.4
IND	15.8	16.2	16.1	14.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Hughes	82	78	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.21	24	-17	41	12.2	12.8	-0.54	14.4	19.1	-4.73
Al Harrington	70	68	0.87	-0.37	1.23	0.22	22	-15	37	12.0	13.2	-1.21	14.5	17.5	-2.99
Jared Jeffries	65	64	0.69	-0.18	0.87	0.22	16	-9	25	11.4	13.9	-2.48	14.4	17.4	-2.96
Chris Duhon	72	71	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.47	0	7	-7	12.2	12.7	-0.44	15.9	14.6	1.33
David Lee	66	64	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.53	-4	11	-15	12.6	11.9	0.66	16.6	13.7	2.83
Eddy Curry	27	26	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.17	9	-2	11	11.8	12.6	-0.74	14.2	16.0	-1.82
Nate Robinson	27	24	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.15	7	0	7	13.1	12.1	1.06	13.9	16.0	-2.08
Wilson Chandler	52	53	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.03	-4	11	-15	13.2	11.6	1.57	16.0	14.9	1.10
Jordan Hill	7	6	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.04	-7	14	-21	13.7	12.3	1.45	17.2	15.4	1.76
Danilo Gallinari	34	32	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	0.06	-11	18	-29	13.1	12.0	1.16	17.9	14.4	3.54
Toney Douglas	23	24	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	0.08	-17	24	-41	12.8	12.2	0.54	19.1	14.4	4.73

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Rush	57	58	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.15	0	-7	7	17.1	13.4	3.70	10.7	14.5	-3.81
Luther Head	25	26	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.02	5	-12	17	12.8	16.4	-3.54	15.3	11.4	3.92
Tyler Hansbrough	45	47	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.08	-3	-4	1	14.8	16.1	-1.35	12.4	12.3	0.12
Solomon Jones	36	37	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.16	-7	0	-7	13.0	16.9	-3.92	13.0	12.0	1.03
Dahntay Jones	75	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.47	2	-9	11	15.6	15.3	0.24	12.4	12.4	-0.01
Roy Hibbert	66	68	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.45	0	-7	7	16.9	13.0	3.92	12.0	13.0	-1.03
Danny Granger	68	70	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.29	-7	0	-7	16.3	13.9	2.40	13.1	10.9	2.13
T.J. Ford	70	71	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.34	-9	2	-11	16.1	14.2	1.88	12.3	12.4	-0.07
Earl Watson	68	70	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.28	-16	9	-25	14.1	18.2	-4.09	12.0	13.2	-1.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.75,0.46,0.55,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 110, CHI 106	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.55,0.67,0.15,0	93.2%
ORL 105, CHA 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.93,0.93,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.75,0.48,0.57,0.42,0	91.4%
BKN 95, OKC 93	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.63,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.75,0.88,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.71,0.54,0.32,0.27,0	91.4%