NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	95		Excitement	7.1 [398]		MVP	Deron Williams (BKN): +40.6%
Oklahoma City Thunder	93		Comeback	30.8 [8]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BKN): -23.8%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0.41	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.38,0.41,0.41	0.17	0.23	-0.01	17	78%	0.49	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Joe Johnson	0.30	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.3	-0.03	0.32	-0.01	11	41%	0.33	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	6	62%	0.11	0	0.00	9	78%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	3	90%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jason Terry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	0	25%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.05
Kevin Garnett	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.14	-0.02	0.01	7	28%	-0.09	4	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.24	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.2,-0.14,-0.08,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.09	-0.12	0.03	18	44%	-0.11	4	-0.13	5	100%	0.02

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Serge Ibaka	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.22	0.22	-0.00	0.21	-0.01	9	53%	0.26	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	7	56%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	58%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Nick Collison	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	70%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Perry Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.04	-0.04	0.07	-0.11	0.00	7	79%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.10	-0.15	-0.01	13	77%	0.24	5	-0.29	5	100%	0.03
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.08	0.02	3	80%	0.04	4	-0.16	4	75%	-0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	13	33%	-0.05	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	1.8	31.0	15.8	28.4	0.8	33.6	138.4
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +21.6%

OKC -0.8%

BKN +4.6%

BKN +21.1%

BKN +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	OKC	NBA	BKN	OKC	NBA
this game	16.3	14.6	15.1	103.3	98.9	105.2
season	15.7	14.4		105.1	107.8
opponent	15.4	15.5		102.9	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	14.7	16.9	18.0	16.0	16.3
OKC	14.1	12.6	15.5	16.7	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	56	57	0.94	-0.44	1.38	0.47	16	-14	30	16.5	16.1	0.48	16.1	12.4	3.64
Kevin Garnett	51	51	0.89	-0.39	1.27	0.47	14	-12	26	16.4	16.3	0.01	14.4	14.9	-0.45
Deron Williams	78	80	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.45	7	-5	12	16.4	16.3	0.07	14.8	13.6	1.25
Paul Pierce	67	68	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.46	6	-4	10	16.4	16.2	0.26	14.0	16.4	-2.41
Shaun Livingston	65	65	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.55	-1	3	-4	16.9	15.0	1.96	14.0	16.1	-2.17
Andrei Kirilenko	27	29	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.11	3	-1	4	15.0	16.9	-1.96	16.1	14.0	2.17
Jason Terry	10	9	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	7	-12	17.1	16.3	0.84	12.2	14.9	-2.67
Reggie Evans	20	22	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.07	-5	7	-12	15.6	16.6	-0.96	16.0	14.2	1.72
Mason Plumlee	22	22	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.01	-8	10	-18	17.4	16.0	1.34	13.5	15.0	-1.43
Mirza Teletovic	21	22	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.07	-12	14	-26	16.4	16.3	0.04	13.3	15.1	-1.78
Alan Anderson	43	45	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.14	-5	7	-12	15.6	17.0	-1.40	14.8	14.5	0.27

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Lamb	38	39	0.61	-1.11	1.72	0.20	14	-16	30	14.4	14.8	-0.41	16.3	16.4	-0.07
Derek Fisher	43	42	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.16	-2	0	-2	16.3	13.2	3.11	16.4	16.3	0.15
Nick Collison	12	10	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.05	4	-6	10	15.8	14.5	1.37	16.1	16.4	-0.28
Steven Adams	28	28	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	0	-2	16.0	14.1	1.89	15.2	16.8	-1.63
Kendrick Perkins	33	32	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.11	-4	2	-6	15.6	14.1	1.49	16.8	16.1	0.76
Reggie Jackson	59	58	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.57	1	-3	4	13.8	16.0	-2.22	16.6	16.0	0.60
Serge Ibaka	67	65	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.54	-1	-1	0	13.8	16.7	-2.90	16.8	15.3	1.49
Kevin Durant	68	68	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.47	-6	4	-10	14.0	16.3	-2.31	16.4	16.2	0.19
Perry Jones	60	58	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.68	1	-3	4	14.4	15.0	-0.61	16.3	16.4	-0.05
Thabo Sefolosha	62	60	-0.87	0.37	-1.24	-0.43	-15	13	-28	14.9	14.2	0.68	15.9	17.2	-1.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.63,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.75,0.88,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.71,0.54,0.32,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 103, PHX 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.71,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.88,0.83,0.61,0.46,0.22,0.41,0	93.1%
IND 116, CHH 115	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.92,0.85,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.46,0.41,0.27,0	93.0%
DAL 99, SEA 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.68,0.75,0.87,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.73,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.75,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.81,0.71,0.45,0.58,0	91.5%