NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	99		Excitement	8.6 [128]		MVP	Steve Nash (DAL): +23.0%
Seattle SuperSonics	95		Comeback	16.1 [38]		LVP	Gary Payton (SEA): -35.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.23	0.04	0.19	0.01	10	64%	0.27	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	0.14	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.23,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.06	0.01	19	64%	0.20	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Michael Finley	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.06,0.07,0.11	-0.03	0.14	0.01	23	54%	0.24	5	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Bradley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	10	64%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Loy Vaught	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	7	31%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Greg Buckner	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	7	44%	-0.04	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ruben Wolkowyski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	2	78%	0.06	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	120%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pervis Ellison	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.02	-0.02	0.09	-0.11	0.00	13	70%	0.04	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	0.05	-0.01	13	51%	0.11	5	-0.17	9	89%	0.05
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.09	-0.01	11	54%	0.05	3	-0.16	2	50%	-0.01
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.23	-0.23	-0.08	-0.15	-0.01	9	17%	-0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.15	-0.12	0.00	13	25%	-0.23	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Payton	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.35	-0.35	-0.12	-0.23	-0.00	25	40%	-0.15	3	-0.21	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	49.4	2.4	29.6	15.7	25.2	2.4	29.7	154.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +97.0%

SEA -26.8%

SEA -41.0%

DAL +22.7%

SEA -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SEA	NBA	DAL	SEA	NBA
this game	14.7	15.6	15.5	105.3	99.0	100.9
season	15.2	15.2		104.6	103.8
opponent	15.7	15.3		103.5	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.0	16.4	14.2	15.1	14.7
SEA	16.9	12.4	15.8	17.6	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	74	78	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.49	13	-9	22	13.9	17.6	-3.68	16.4	12.1	4.37
Shawn Bradley	69	72	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.40	14	-10	24	14.1	16.4	-2.37	16.3	13.4	2.97
Steve Nash	76	79	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.34	16	-12	28	13.8	18.4	-4.56	16.0	13.6	2.38
Michael Finley	84	85	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.46	11	-7	18	14.3	17.9	-3.58	15.9	13.6	2.22
Hubert Davis	43	43	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.49	1	3	-2	15.1	14.3	0.81	14.9	16.2	-1.35
Loy Vaught	7	7	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.00	-4	8	-12	20.7	14.2	6.50	14.4	15.7	-1.27
Christian Laettner	5	5	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.02	-8	12	-20	20.6	14.4	6.23	10.4	15.9	-5.49
Howard Eisley	29	27	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	-0.00	-10	14	-24	15.9	14.2	1.78	13.6	16.4	-2.80
Greg Buckner	61	64	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.25	-2	6	-8	15.2	13.8	1.41	15.5	15.8	-0.31
Eduardo Najera	22	20	-0.35	0.85	-1.21	-0.03	-11	15	-26	16.7	14.1	2.58	13.3	16.2	-2.85

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ruben Wolkowyski	52	53	0.21	-0.71	0.93	0.16	2	-6	8	15.5	15.8	-0.31	15.4	13.8	1.68
Emanual Davis	13	14	0.21	-0.71	0.93	-0.05	9	-13	22	12.5	16.1	-3.55	17.1	14.3	2.87
Desmond Mason	12	14	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.10	3	-7	10	13.6	15.9	-2.31	16.6	14.4	2.20
Jelani McCoy	8	8	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-7	10	14.2	15.7	-1.48	13.2	14.8	-1.59
Pervis Ellison	1	1	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-4	4	2.0	15.7	-13.75	16.0	14.7	1.31
Ruben Patterson	78	76	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	-3	2	15.4	16.3	-0.90	15.0	13.3	1.69
Brent Barry	40	41	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.29	2	-6	8	14.8	16.1	-1.29	14.8	14.6	0.23
Gary Payton	88	86	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.37	-7	3	-10	15.7	14.2	1.48	14.8	13.2	1.59
Patrick Ewing	63	59	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.48	-9	5	-14	16.0	14.9	1.11	14.1	15.7	-1.52
Vin Baker	73	69	-0.82	0.32	-1.13	-0.52	-10	6	-16	16.3	13.3	3.08	14.4	15.6	-1.28
Rashard Lewis	69	65	-0.88	0.38	-1.25	-0.41	-16	12	-28	16.6	13.2	3.37	13.6	17.2	-3.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.68,0.75,0.87,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.73,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.75,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.81,0.71,0.45,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 109, SEA 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.79,0.55,0.58,0	92.1%
HOU 75, UTA 72	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.86,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.9,0.88,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.55,0.43,0.42,0	91.8%
HOU 103, PHX 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.71,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.88,0.83,0.61,0.46,0.22,0.41,0	91.7%