NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	103		Excitement	7.9 [244]		MVP	Moochie Norris (HOU): +39.8%
Phoenix Suns	100		Comeback	47.8 [13]		LVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): -18.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Moochie Norris	0.40	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.4	0.06	0.35	0.02	5	90%	0.42	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.35,0.35,0.23	0.14	0.09	0.00	16	76%	0.29	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Willis	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.06,0.19,0.19	0.03	0.17	0.01	9	57%	0.19	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Walt Williams	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.01	0.14	0.00	5	50%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oscar Torres	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	54%	0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Kenny Thomas	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	11	57%	0.04	2	-0.04	6	33%	-0.05
Glen Rice	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	11	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	11	48%	-0.03	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.3,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.08	-0.02	23	61%	0.28	3	-0.12	5	80%	0.04
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.04	0.01	8	56%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	43%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	18	60%	0.03	4	-0.08	9	56%	-0.12
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.12	-0.12	0.03	-0.15	-0.00	6	69%	-0.08	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.06	-0.14	-0.02	12	32%	-0.19	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	25.5	15.7	27.2	2.7	30.0	126.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +96.4%

PHX -3.0%

PHX -43.8%

HOU +7.7%

PHX -7.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	PHX	NBA	HOU	PHX	NBA
this game	16.8	15.5	15.6	115.7	112.4	102.3
season	16.8	15.1		100.9	101.0
opponent	15.8	15.2		102.1	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.9	17.0	18.0	16.5	16.8
PHX	14.1	15.7	16.2	16.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Francis	71	72	0.82	-0.32	1.13	0.32	17	-14	31	16.6	17.7	-1.03	15.6	15.2	0.42
Moochie Norris	34	34	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.55	3	0	3	17.1	16.7	0.35	16.4	15.0	1.40
Cuttino Mobley	80	79	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.37	6	-3	9	16.9	16.1	0.81	15.2	18.3	-3.14
Walt Williams	40	40	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.53	-1	4	-5	17.0	16.7	0.33	15.8	15.3	0.56
Kevin Willis	41	40	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.52	-1	4	-5	17.0	16.7	0.25	16.1	15.0	1.15
Kelvin Cato	48	49	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.11	4	-1	5	16.7	17.0	-0.25	15.0	16.1	-1.15
Glen Rice	49	49	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	-1	5	16.7	17.0	-0.33	15.3	15.8	-0.56
Oscar Torres	9	10	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.04	-3	6	-9	16.1	16.9	-0.81	18.3	15.2	3.14
Eddie Griffin	10	9	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.03	-8	11	-19	18.4	16.6	1.75	11.0	16.0	-5.03
Kenny Thomas	63	63	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.07	-6	9	-15	16.7	17.2	-0.44	15.6	15.3	0.30

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jud Buechler	22	23	0.47	-0.97	1.45	-0.08	19	-22	41	13.5	16.2	-2.62	16.8	16.9	-0.08
John Wallace	44	44	0.08	-0.58	0.67	0.02	2	-5	7	15.4	15.6	-0.21	16.6	17.1	-0.54
Rodney Rogers	12	11	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.05	1	-4	5	18.5	15.1	3.45	18.8	16.6	2.25
Charlie Bell	8	8	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-4	5	20.6	15.0	5.61	16.0	16.9	-0.93
Jake Voskuhl	21	20	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.04	-1	-2	1	15.2	15.6	-0.36	15.7	17.2	-1.41
Jake Tsakalidis	48	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.49	7	-10	17	15.4	15.7	-0.35	17.8	15.6	2.14
Stephon Marbury	84	83	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	1	-5	15.5	15.0	0.55	17.0	15.3	1.62
Anfernee Hardaway	86	87	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.43	-3	0	-3	15.0	30.0	-14.99	16.8	18.0	-1.18
Tom Gugliotta	52	52	-0.92	0.42	-1.35	-0.43	-17	14	-31	15.0	16.2	-1.15	16.5	17.4	-0.87
Shawn Marion	68	67	-0.93	0.43	-1.35	-0.34	-20	17	-37	16.3	13.1	3.17	16.6	17.5	-0.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.71,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.88,0.83,0.61,0.46,0.22,0.41,0
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 95, OKC 93	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.63,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.75,0.88,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.71,0.54,0.32,0.27,0	93.1%
IND 116, CHH 115	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.92,0.85,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.46,0.41,0.27,0	92.0%
DAL 99, SEA 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.68,0.75,0.87,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.73,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.75,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.81,0.71,0.45,0.58,0	91.7%