NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	116		Excitement	8.2 [208]		MVP	Fred Hoiberg (IND): +83.0%
Charlotte Hornets	115		Comeback	11.1 [60]		LVP	Mark Jackson (IND): -34.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Hoiberg	0.83	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.83	0.10	0.74	0.00	6	86%	0.83	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Miller	0.42	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.33,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.42	0.27	0.15	0.00	17	89%	0.45	2	-0.03	10	90%	0.05
Antonio Davis	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	-0.00	13	66%	0.10	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Rik Smits	0.06	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.22,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.14	-0.05	0.03	14	79%	0.17	2	-0.11	6	83%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Duane Ferrell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	40%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04
Mark Jackson	-0.34	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.00	5	33%	-0.17	6	-0.17	2	100%	0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Rice	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,0.28	0.28	-0.08	0.34	-0.02	16	50%	0.38	4	-0.10	8	75%	-0.00
Ricky Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.17	0.02	0.01	9	100%	0.21	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.03	0.00	13	71%	0.13	2	-0.08	9	78%	-0.05
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.07,-0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.03	0.01	11	81%	0.13	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.07
Tom Chambers	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donald Royal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.04	0.00	11	62%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tony Delk	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Smith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.00	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.5	24.5	17.7	29.4	2.6	46.0	148.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +46.8%

CHH -2.9%

CHH -0.4%

CHH -6.7%

IND +13.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHH	NBA	IND	CHH	NBA
this game	16.3	15.4	15.6	128.9	125.0	104.4
season	15.3	15.7		103.6	108.0
opponent	16.0	16.3		106.5	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.7	17.2	15.3	15.9	16.3
CHH	15.3	16.2	14.1	16.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rik Smits	52	52	1.00	-0.50	1.50	0.50	17	-16	33	15.7	16.9	-1.20	15.6	15.1	0.49
Fred Hoiberg	54	56	0.93	-0.43	1.37	0.76	6	-5	11	17.3	14.7	2.65	14.7	16.5	-1.80
Reggie Miller	81	84	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.36	11	-10	21	15.7	21.6	-5.89	15.2	17.1	-1.89
Mark Jackson	70	71	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.36	4	-3	7	16.2	16.3	-0.12	15.4	15.6	-0.22
Antonio Davis	61	64	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.27	4	-3	7	16.9	15.0	1.85	16.1	13.7	2.43
Travis Best	24	25	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.15	-7	8	-15	16.8	16.1	0.73	15.0	15.6	-0.61
Dale Davis	51	51	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.17	-12	13	-25	16.0	16.5	-0.50	14.6	16.4	-1.78
Erick Dampier	16	16	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.02	-9	10	-19	16.3	16.2	0.07	14.9	15.5	-0.64
Duane Ferrell	41	41	-0.51	1.01	-1.52	-0.25	-9	10	-19	15.8	16.7	-0.92	16.8	14.3	2.57

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Smith	8	8	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.04	6	-7	13	12.5	15.7	-3.18	16.0	16.3	-0.28
Dell Curry	56	54	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.19	11	-12	23	14.5	16.8	-2.26	17.4	14.6	2.74
Ricky Pierce	44	44	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.17	-3	2	-5	16.0	14.9	1.15	15.3	17.1	-1.79
Tony Delk	7	5	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-3	5	15.4	15.4	0.03	15.6	16.3	-0.69
Malik Rose	17	16	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.08	-2	1	-3	13.4	15.9	-2.51	16.6	16.2	0.45
Tom Chambers	13	12	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.10	-8	7	-15	18.2	14.9	3.20	14.6	16.5	-1.93
Matt Geiger	70	70	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.64	11	-12	23	15.4	15.5	-0.13	16.6	15.0	1.61
Vlade Divac	79	78	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.51	-2	1	-3	15.3	16.1	-0.79	16.1	17.6	-1.53
Donald Royal	8	6	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.44	-5	4	-9	16.2	15.3	0.93	16.2	16.3	-0.10
Glen Rice	81	80	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.45	-6	5	-11	15.7	13.0	2.73	16.1	17.6	-1.51
Muggsy Bogues	77	77	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.43	-9	8	-17	15.7	13.9	1.83	16.3	15.8	0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.92,0.85,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.46,0.41,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 95, OKC 93	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.63,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.75,0.88,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.71,0.54,0.32,0.27,0	93.0%
DEN 107, DAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.62,0.54,0.45,0.08,0	92.4%
HOU 75, UTA 72	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.86,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.9,0.88,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.55,0.43,0.42,0	92.1%