inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 116 Excitement8.2 [208] MVPFred Hoiberg (IND): +83.0%
Charlotte Hornets 115 Comeback11.1 [60] LVPMark Jackson (IND): -34.0%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Fred Hoiberg0.830,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.830.100.740.00686%0.8300.002100%0.01
Reggie Miller0.420,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.33,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.420.270.150.001789%0.452-0.031090%0.05
Antonio Davis0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.090.01-0.001366%0.1000.00683%0.01
Rik Smits0.060,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.22,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.14-0.050.031479%0.172-0.11683%0.00
Erick Dampier0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.01-0.01-0.02550%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Travis Best-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.010.002100%0.042-0.0500%0.00
Duane Ferrell-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.010.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Dale Davis-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.00440%-0.032-0.0520%-0.04
Mark Jackson-0.340,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.00533%-0.176-0.172100%0.01

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Glen Rice0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,0.280.28-0.080.34-0.021650%0.384-0.10875%-0.00
Ricky Pierce0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.170.020.019100%0.211-0.031100%0.00
Matt Geiger0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.050.050.08-0.030.001371%0.132-0.08978%-0.05
Vlade Divac0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.07,-0.03,0.02,0.020.020.07-0.030.011181%0.134-0.114100%0.07
Tom Chambers0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.011100%0.0100.0000%0.00
Donald Royal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.000100%0.0100.002100%0.01
Dell Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,00.000.05-0.040.001162%0.031-0.032100%0.01
Tony Delk00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tony Smith00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00260%0.011-0.021100%0.01
Muggsy Bogues0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.020.00367%0.001-0.03667%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.02.524.517.729.42.646.0148.7
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +46.8%
CHH -2.9%
CHH -0.4%
CHH -6.7%
IND +13.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDCHHNBAINDCHHNBA
this game16.315.415.6128.9125.0104.4
season15.315.7103.6108.0
opponent16.016.3106.5101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND16.717.215.315.916.3
CHH15.316.214.116.115.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rik Smits52521.00-0.501.500.5017-163315.716.9-1.2015.615.10.49
Fred Hoiberg54560.93-0.431.370.766-51117.314.72.6514.716.5-1.80
Reggie Miller81840.69-0.190.870.3611-102115.721.6-5.8915.217.1-1.89
Mark Jackson70710.480.020.460.364-3716.216.3-0.1215.415.6-0.22
Antonio Davis61640.390.110.280.274-3716.915.01.8516.113.72.43
Travis Best2425-0.050.55-0.610.15-78-1516.816.10.7315.015.6-0.61
Dale Davis5151-0.180.68-0.860.17-1213-2516.016.5-0.5014.616.4-1.78
Erick Dampier1616-0.250.75-1.000.02-910-1916.316.20.0714.915.5-0.64
Duane Ferrell4141-0.511.01-1.52-0.25-910-1915.816.7-0.9216.814.32.57

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Smith880.13-0.630.76-0.046-71312.515.7-3.1816.016.3-0.28
Dell Curry56540.13-0.630.76-0.1911-122314.516.8-2.2617.414.62.74
Ricky Pierce44440.09-0.590.670.17-32-516.014.91.1515.317.1-1.79
Tony Delk750.06-0.560.620.002-3515.415.40.0315.616.3-0.69
Malik Rose17160.02-0.520.550.08-21-313.415.9-2.5116.616.20.45
Tom Chambers1312-0.14-0.360.220.10-87-1518.214.93.2014.616.5-1.93
Matt Geiger7070-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.6411-122315.415.5-0.1316.615.01.61
Vlade Divac7978-0.570.07-0.64-0.51-21-315.316.1-0.7916.117.6-1.53
Donald Royal86-0.580.08-0.67-0.44-54-916.215.30.9316.216.3-0.10
Glen Rice8180-0.630.13-0.76-0.45-65-1115.713.02.7316.117.6-1.51
Muggsy Bogues7777-0.690.19-0.89-0.43-98-1715.713.91.8316.315.80.48


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.92,0.85,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.46,0.41,0.27,0
GameSimilarity Score
BKN 95, OKC 930.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.63,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.75,0.88,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.71,0.54,0.32,0.27,093.0%
DEN 107, DAL 1020.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.62,0.54,0.45,0.08,092.4%
HOU 75, UTA 720.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.86,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.9,0.88,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.55,0.43,0.42,092.1%