NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	107		Excitement	7.1 [396]		MVP	Rodney White (DEN): +19.1%
Dallas Mavericks	102		Comeback	21.5 [22]		LVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): -30.1%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney White	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.04,0.19,0.19	0.07	0.11	-0.01	7	78%	0.29	1	-0.10	4	75%	0.02
Andre Miller	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.10	-0.00	0.05	15	76%	0.13	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Nene	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	8	62%	0.06	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.02
Francisco Elson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.03	0.01	20	54%	0.06	4	-0.08	8	87%	0.01
Earl Boykins	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	10	41%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.07	-0.09	0.02	7	50%	-0.05	3	-0.13	4	25%	-0.06

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.22	-0.07	0.01	25	73%	0.23	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Josh Howard	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	6	64%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	-0.05	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.05	0.04	13	54%	-0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	14	52%	-0.06	4	-0.09	3	67%	-0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.14,-0.24,-0.3	-0.30	-0.14	-0.18	-0.02	23	35%	-0.24	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	2.6	27.4	15.6	25.5	2.0	38.6	133.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +56.4%

DEN +5.8%

DAL -6.7%

DAL -6.9%

DEN +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	DAL	NBA	DEN	DAL	NBA
this game	13.3	14.9	15.7	105.9	99.0	100.5
season	14.9	14.6		101.6	109.2
opponent	15.6	15.4		105.0	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	14.0	16.0	11.6	11.8	13.3
DAL	14.3	14.0	16.1	15.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney White	44	46	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.41	13	-8	21	12.9	13.6	-0.71	14.8	15.0	-0.15
Marcus Camby	83	85	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.50	4	1	3	12.6	16.4	-3.77	14.9	15.1	-0.22
Andre Miller	82	85	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.34	9	-4	13	12.6	16.4	-3.86	15.1	14.3	0.79
Nene	79	80	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.34	6	-1	7	13.1	13.8	-0.68	15.6	12.5	3.16
Carmelo Anthony	74	74	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.42	1	4	-3	12.9	14.4	-1.58	14.6	15.7	-1.05
Chris Andersen	32	33	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	8	-11	14.9	12.5	2.42	15.1	14.9	0.19
Francisco Elson	6	5	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	8	-11	20.0	12.9	7.14	10.4	15.2	-4.76
Earl Boykins	71	72	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.15	-3	8	-11	13.8	12.0	1.88	14.6	15.8	-1.20

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Fortson	32	32	0.28	-0.78	1.06	-0.01	10	-15	25	16.1	14.4	1.69	15.5	12.2	3.28
Travis Best	33	31	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.02	5	-10	15	12.9	15.9	-2.93	13.6	13.1	0.47
Antawn Jamison	42	43	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.09	-4	-1	-3	15.5	14.5	0.96	14.8	12.2	2.58
Josh Howard	47	44	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.17	-7	2	-9	15.4	14.6	0.83	12.5	13.9	-1.48
Antoine Walker	79	77	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.38	-1	-4	3	14.7	15.5	-0.79	13.4	13.0	0.43
Michael Finley	91	91	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.48	1	-6	7	14.7	16.9	-2.25	13.4	11.9	1.54
Dirk Nowitzki	92	89	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.30	-7	2	-9	14.9	15.0	-0.08	12.7	18.0	-5.35
Steve Nash	74	73	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.35	-10	5	-15	15.3	14.0	1.25	12.6	15.0	-2.37
Shawn Bradley	25	25	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.49	-12	7	-19	14.8	15.0	-0.17	12.2	13.6	-1.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.62,0.54,0.45,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 116, CHH 115	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.92,0.85,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.46,0.41,0.27,0	92.4%
MEM 91, UTA 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.91,0.8,0.75,0.82,0.91,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.71,0.32,0.09,0	90.7%
POR 98, OKC 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.75,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.66,0.53,0.28,0.24,0.17,0	90.6%