NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	91		Excitement	6.5 [514]		MVP	Mike Miller (MEM): +26.8%
Utah Jazz	87		Comeback	11.7 [253]		LVP	Trey Burke (UTA): -23.2%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.28,0.28,0.27	0.06	0.21	-0.00	6	69%	0.27	0	0.00	1	100%	0.03
Marc Gasol	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1	0.08	0.03	0.01	12	62%	0.14	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.02
Nick Calathes	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	75%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	18	52%	0.15	3	-0.13	6	100%	0.05
Jon Leuer	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.08	-0.00	14	59%	0.04	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Courtney Lee	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	5	0%	-0.08	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	4	25%	-0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.02	0.00	6	83%	0.15	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	12	55%	0.14	4	-0.10	9	78%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,-0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	-0.08	-0.00	16	63%	0.18	2	-0.17	3	67%	-0.01
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	11	42%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Diante Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.05	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.23	-0.23	-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	14	37%	-0.13	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	3.0	27.3	16.5	23.4	3.6	41.4	141.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +12.8%

MEM +6.7%

MEM +10.6%

MEM +11.7%

MEM +8.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	UTA	NBA	MEM	UTA	NBA
this game	17.4	15.9	15.1	104.6	101.2	105.2
season	16.4	16.2		104.5	102.1
opponent	14.8	15.2		109.6	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	19.2	17.1	17.3	15.9	17.4
UTA	14.1	18.0	17.0	14.7	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Courtney Lee	37	36	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.61	1	3	-2	17.9	16.9	0.98	14.4	17.0	-2.65
Zach Randolph	67	65	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.40	8	-4	12	18.1	14.7	3.38	15.3	18.0	-2.74
Mike Conley	59	61	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.41	7	-3	10	16.9	18.2	-1.32	16.0	15.7	0.35
Marc Gasol	62	63	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.43	4	0	4	17.5	17.1	0.33	15.7	16.6	-0.87
Mike Miller	51	48	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.43	3	1	2	17.5	17.2	0.32	16.4	15.3	1.10
Tayshaun Prince	35	35	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.06	1	3	-2	17.6	17.2	0.36	16.2	15.7	0.50
Tony Allen	18	20	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	8	-12	16.4	17.6	-1.15	15.5	16.1	-0.56
James Johnson	33	32	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.23	6	-2	8	16.8	17.7	-0.92	17.2	15.2	2.00
Jon Leuer	13	14	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.00	-2	6	-8	14.2	17.9	-3.67	18.4	15.5	2.90
Nick Calathes	28	26	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.04	-3	7	-10	18.2	16.9	1.32	15.3	16.2	-0.89
Kosta Koufos	32	30	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.11	-1	5	-6	16.8	17.7	-0.86	16.7	15.5	1.23

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	56	55	0.17	-0.67	0.83	0.02	5	-9	14	15.8	16.1	-0.26	17.2	17.7	-0.47
Diante Garrett	35	35	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.08	2	-6	8	16.7	15.4	1.23	17.2	17.5	-0.26
Jeremy Evans	14	16	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.07	-3	-1	-2	16.6	15.8	0.77	15.3	17.8	-2.50
Derrick Favors	64	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.47	3	-7	10	15.6	16.9	-1.32	18.5	14.2	4.33
Gordon Hayward	81	82	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.43	-1	-3	2	15.5	23.2	-7.72	17.5	15.2	2.29
Trey Burke	61	62	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.45	-5	1	-6	15.9	16.0	-0.04	17.7	16.4	1.29
Marvin Williams	48	48	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.40	-9	5	-14	15.9	16.0	-0.12	16.3	18.6	-2.28
Enes Kanter	71	73	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.34	-12	8	-20	16.4	13.8	2.58	17.2	18.1	-0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.91,0.8,0.75,0.82,0.91,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.71,0.32,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 114, PHI 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.81,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.75,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.86,0.75,0.84,0.45,0.16,0	92.3%
ORL 102, DAL 100	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.86,0.75,0.55,0.22,0.15,0	92.3%
SEA 102, MEM 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.53,0.73,0.87,0.76,0.86,0.69,0.63,0.23,0.15,0	91.6%