inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 109 Excitement7.7 [276] MVPTracy McGrady (HOU): +29.9%
Seattle SuperSonics 107 Comeback36.0 [47] LVPNick Collison (SEA): -15.3%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tracy McGrady0.300,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.22,0.30.060.22-0.022354%0.341-0.04617%-0.15
Shane Battier0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.170.080.100.00869%0.1700.0000%0.00
Yao Ming0.110,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.100.040.021363%0.193-0.081593%0.07
Carl Landry0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.020.02489%0.0800.0010%-0.02
Rafer Alston0.080,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,0.080.040.050.001847%0.0800.00250%-0.01
Aaron Brooks0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.00275%0.0200.0000%0.00
Luther Head0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00462%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Steve Novak0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Luis Scola-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00643%-0.0100.0020%-0.03
Charles Hayes-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Bonzi Wells-0.130,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.10-0.020.01825%-0.082-0.0500%0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kurt Thomas0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.28,0.280.280.140.160.01784%0.2800.00580%-0.02
Wally Szczerbiak0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.230.150.070.001271%0.261-0.037100%0.04
Johan Petro0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.080.030.00390%0.1100.00475%0.00
Earl Watson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.010.00762%0.062-0.042100%0.01
Jeff Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00350%0.0100.002100%0.01
Damien Wilkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.02540%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Luke Ridnour0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.05-0.050.02-0.09-0.011050%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Chris Wilcox0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.010.00433%-0.051-0.02450%-0.02
Kevin Durant0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,-0.13-0.130.08-0.200.012353%-0.1300.001100%0.01
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.16-0.01-0.01719%-0.054-0.10250%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.62.529.514.628.01.838.0140.9
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +53.1%
SEA -19.2%
HOU +4.6%
HOU +7.1%
HOU +4.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUSEANBAHOUSEANBA
this game16.315.215.4119.8116.3105.7
season16.214.5104.699.1
opponent15.015.2107.9100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU15.715.018.216.716.3
SEA14.315.016.914.715.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rafer Alston73740.84-0.341.190.3417-153215.818.2-2.3215.812.73.05
Shane Battier77780.77-0.271.050.3913-112416.117.6-1.5815.513.22.31
Tracy McGrady66670.60-0.100.700.484-2616.116.8-0.6815.015.7-0.69
Charles Hayes27270.490.010.480.403-1416.716.10.5615.415.10.38
Luis Scola45450.370.130.250.70-1113-2416.416.20.2714.915.5-0.60
Yao Ming76780.280.220.05-0.0812-102216.415.80.6115.712.03.74
Bonzi Wells3636-0.050.55-0.59-0.1120215.916.6-0.6515.115.2-0.19
Carl Landry2930-0.090.59-0.68-0.00-35-816.616.20.3613.715.9-2.24
Luther Head1414-0.270.77-1.050.05-1113-2417.616.11.5813.215.5-2.31
Aaron Brooks1211-0.350.85-1.210.11-1618-3418.715.92.7213.415.4-2.06

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Damien Wilkins29280.32-0.821.130.146-81414.215.6-1.4617.115.91.21
Chris Wilcox28300.22-0.720.940.133-5814.515.5-0.9216.616.20.44
Earl Watson47470.14-0.640.770.053-5816.413.82.6015.517.1-1.60
Johan Petro31280.12-0.620.73-0.035-71214.515.5-1.0915.216.8-1.58
Jeff Green3334-0.02-0.480.460.13-53-817.014.22.8515.916.5-0.59
Wally Szczerbiak6260-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.543-5814.316.9-2.6116.016.9-0.95
Luke Ridnour4544-0.640.14-0.77-0.49-53-813.816.4-2.6017.115.51.60
Nick Collison7573-0.660.16-0.83-0.61-20-215.414.31.0816.216.7-0.52
Kurt Thomas4748-0.700.20-0.90-0.41-108-1815.614.80.7817.614.92.70
Kevin Durant6363-0.820.32-1.13-0.58-86-1415.614.21.4615.917.1-1.21


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.79,0.55,0.58,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 110, WAS 1090.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.7,0.6,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.55,0.42,092.4%
OKC 103, LAL 1000.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.73,0.83,0.87,0.83,0.89,0.82,0.87,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.67,0.42,092.4%
DAL 99, SEA 950.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.68,0.75,0.87,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.73,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.75,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.81,0.71,0.45,0.58,092.1%