NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	123		Excitement	10.9 [41]		MVP	Cody Martin (CHA): +45.9%
Charlotte Hornets	124		Comeback	5.3 [230]		LVP	Harrison Barnes (SAC): -14.6%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Aaron Fox	0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.17	0.16	0.06	0.06	17	70%	0.30	2	-0.13	10	80%	-0.48
Tyrese Haliburton	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.00	9	83%	0.14	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Davion Mitchell	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	10	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terence Davis	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.14,0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.04	17	51%	0.07	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Alex Len	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Bagley III	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.01	0.08	-0.06	0.00	12	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	4	67%	0.08	4	-0.12	1	0%	-0.03
Buddy Hield	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	19	38%	-0.07	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.05	-0.08	0.02	9	40%	-0.08	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cody Martin	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.46	0.46	0.06	0.41	0.00	12	66%	0.54	3	-0.08	5	80%	-0.06
James Bouknight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39	0.39	0.22	0.16	-0.01	14	86%	0.39	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.09,0.18,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.08	0.00	15	64%	0.29	4	-0.17	6	67%	0.02
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	17	65%	0.17	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Vernon Carey Jr.	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	64%	0.04	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Kai Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Arnoldas Kulboka	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JT Thor	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.09	0.02	16	53%	-0.02	4	-0.11	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.7	28.3	14.7	22.9	1.8	45.3	138.2
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +60.3%

CHA +28.1%

SAC -42.8%

SAC -4.0%

CHA +8.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	CHA	NBA	SAC	CHA	NBA
this game	14.5	14.0	14.5	121.8	122.8	110.8
season	14.0	14.0		109.2	112.9
opponent	14.5	14.6		112.8	114.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.8	14.4	15.5	14.6	14.5
CHA	13.4	12.8	14.5	15.4	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Len	29	28	0.25	-0.75	1.01	0.11	5	-6	11	13.3	15.0	-1.72	14.4	13.8	0.52
Tyrese Haliburton	74	75	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.18	9	-10	19	15.1	13.0	2.04	14.2	13.4	0.80
Harrison Barnes	58	56	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.16	-8	7	-15	14.1	15.2	-1.13	13.9	14.0	-0.08
Maurice Harkless	8	7	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.02	-3	2	-5	11.9	14.8	-2.89	12.1	14.1	-1.97
Terence Davis	49	48	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.25	5	-6	11	12.8	16.2	-3.42	14.6	13.4	1.19
Tristan Thompson	40	42	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.18	-5	4	-9	16.4	13.3	3.13	14.1	13.9	0.24
Marvin Bagley III	55	57	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.66	6	-7	13	15.4	13.5	1.82	13.8	14.3	-0.52
De'Aaron Fox	75	74	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.20	-10	9	-19	13.9	16.5	-2.59	13.9	14.2	-0.33
Davion Mitchell	53	53	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.56	-1	0	-1	14.7	14.3	0.38	13.8	14.2	-0.36
Buddy Hield	64	65	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.61	-3	2	-5	15.3	13.2	2.12	13.7	14.5	-0.81

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miles Bridges	85	85	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.39	12	-11	23	13.9	14.3	-0.39	14.6	14.4	0.19
JT Thor	58	59	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.24	9	-8	17	13.1	15.1	-2.02	14.5	14.5	-0.02
Gordon Hayward	89	90	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.39	1	0	1	13.8	15.2	-1.35	14.2	17.0	-2.77
James Bouknight	52	52	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.26	5	-4	9	13.6	14.4	-0.75	15.7	13.3	2.35
Kelly Oubre Jr.	87	88	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.35	1	0	1	14.4	11.5	2.88	14.1	17.5	-3.45
Kai Jones	11	10	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.15	7	-6	13	15.6	13.8	1.86	18.5	14.1	4.40
Cody Martin	90	90	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.41	-4	5	-9	14.0	14.2	-0.23	14.7	12.8	1.93
Arnoldas Kulboka	6	6	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.07	-8	9	-17	12.5	14.1	-1.57	16.0	14.4	1.56
Vernon Carey Jr.	27	25	-0.44	0.94	-1.37	0.09	-18	19	-37	15.7	13.4	2.35	12.0	15.4	-3.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.42,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.52,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.41,0.34,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.32,0.16,0.22,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.18,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.73,0.86,0.71,0.89,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 89, CHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.43,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.19,0.27,0.21,0.26,0.31,0.44,0.37,0.52,0.5,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.91,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.98,1	90.7%
CHI 106, CHH 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.34,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.43,0.52,0.63,0.59,0.84,0.54,0.75,0.84,0.94,0.84,1	90.5%
BOS 109, POR 116	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.24,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.15,0.26,0.44,0.42,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.93,0.97,0.81,0.91,0.9,0.79,0.84,0.58,1	90.4%