NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	89		Excitement	6.7 [499]		MVP	Luol Deng (CHI): +14.1%
Chicago Bulls	94		Comeback	4.2 [468]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -23.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Bynum	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.05	-0.00	5	60%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	14	55%	0.14	2	-0.06	5	40%	-0.04
Sasha Vujacic	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	3	83%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	12	57%	0.08	4	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02
Maurice Evans	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.07	0.00	4	56%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Luke Walton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	7	56%	0.05	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	0.01	5	42%	-0.02	4	-0.09	2	0%	-0.04
Jordan Farmar	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.23,-0.23	-0.11	-0.11	0.01	19	41%	-0.08	4	-0.16	8	87%	0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.05	0.01	16	62%	0.18	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.09	0.00	8	55%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	16	61%	0.16	4	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00
Andres Nocioni	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	57%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	13	42%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	5	42%	0.02	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	6	50%	0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	4	40%	-0.03	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.5	26.3	16.6	25.3	2.4	36.5	135.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +27.0%

LAL -0.5%

CHI +2.4%

CHI +12.7%

CHI +8.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CHI	NBA	LAL	CHI	NBA
this game	15.1	15.0	15.4	92.7	98.9	104.5
season	15.3	14.5		106.3	103.1
opponent	15.9	14.9		98.1	107.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.1	13.8	16.1	15.6	15.1
CHI	15.5	14.5	14.5	15.7	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cook	12	13	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-4	3	14.1	15.3	-1.18	13.8	15.2	-1.39
Andrew Bynum	25	25	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.15	4	-9	13	13.4	15.7	-2.37	14.9	15.1	-0.17
Vladimir Radmanovic	50	51	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-1	-3	16.2	13.9	2.35	14.6	15.5	-0.90
Sasha Vujacic	20	19	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-3	1	13.3	15.6	-2.23	14.8	15.1	-0.32
Jordan Farmar	32	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.25	3	-8	11	14.3	15.5	-1.16	15.0	15.1	-0.11
Luke Walton	87	86	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.33	0	-5	5	14.8	17.9	-3.06	15.0	15.9	-0.94
Smush Parker	67	66	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.14	-7	2	-9	15.1	15.1	0.02	14.8	15.5	-0.63
Kobe Bryant	74	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.19	-6	1	-7	15.7	13.1	2.63	15.3	14.1	1.18
Kwame Brown	71	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.20	-9	4	-13	15.7	13.4	2.37	15.1	14.9	0.17
Maurice Evans	42	40	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.39	-3	-2	-1	15.0	15.2	-0.16	16.1	14.2	1.91

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luol Deng	83	84	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.33	11	-6	17	15.3	13.6	1.67	15.4	13.3	2.04
Chris Duhon	84	86	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.33	10	-5	15	15.2	13.5	1.80	15.2	14.8	0.35
Thabo Sefolosha	39	39	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.40	5	0	5	15.5	14.7	0.71	15.1	15.2	-0.11
Ben Wallace	71	72	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.21	7	-2	9	15.0	15.0	0.00	15.3	14.6	0.71
Adrian Griffin	27	27	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.08	15	-10	25	14.4	15.3	-0.89	16.3	14.7	1.59
Ben Gordon	57	57	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.39	-4	9	-13	14.0	16.6	-2.65	14.6	15.9	-1.32
Michael Sweetney	24	24	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.14	-2	7	-9	15.0	15.0	-0.00	14.6	15.3	-0.71
Malik Allen	7	7	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.06	4	1	3	14.4	15.1	-0.66	19.6	14.8	4.81
Kirk Hinrich	47	48	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.03	-3	8	-11	15.6	14.5	1.14	14.7	15.5	-0.81
Tyrus Thomas	8	8	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.06	-8	13	-21	13.9	15.1	-1.27	14.6	15.2	-0.53
Andres Nocioni	28	28	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.07	-10	15	-25	15.5	14.9	0.65	14.0	15.6	-1.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.43,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.19,0.27,0.21,0.26,0.31,0.44,0.37,0.52,0.5,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.91,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 75, TOR 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.85,0.98,1	92.9%
ATL 89, IND 97	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.25,0.19,0.25,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.34,0.41,0.52,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.97,1,1,1,1	92.9%
DET 109, DEN 118	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.3,0.23,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.98,0.96,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.99,1	92.7%