NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	89		Excitement	7.0 [490]		MVP	Aaron Holiday (IND): +17.6%
Indiana Pacers	97		Comeback	6.1 [635]		LVP	Cory Joseph (IND): -22.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kent Bazemore	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	14	43%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dewayne Dedmon	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.01	5	92%	0.13	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Omari Spellman	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	3	25%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
John Collins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	63%	0.07	3	-0.07	7	86%	0.01
Alex Poythress	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	8	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jeremy Lin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.05	11	73%	0.11	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	7	28%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
DeAndre' Bembry	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	10	36%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Dorsey	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.11	-0.08	-0.00	9	26%	-0.11	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.03
Trae Young	-0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.11	-0.08	-0.01	11	35%	-0.09	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.07	0.09	-0.02	6	86%	0.22	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	11	41%	0.04	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.03
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.10	-0.01	0.05	12	76%	0.12	4	-0.08	5	100%	0.01
Darren Collison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	10	55%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	7	60%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
TJ Leaf	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	8	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	12	42%	-0.03	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Myles Turner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	12	38%	-0.05	3	-0.09	2	0%	-0.03
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.20	-0.10	-0.07	8	25%	-0.09	7	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	2.3	29.6	14.4	29.2	2.7	31.5	137.4
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +32.4%

ATL -5.7%

IND +28.1%

ATL -3.6%

ATL -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	IND	NBA	ATL	IND	NBA
this game	12.8	13.8	14.3	82.4	89.8	109.3
season	13.6	14.5		107.2	108.4
opponent	14.6	13.9		105.7	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.7	11.5	14.1	11.3	12.8
IND	12.5	15.8	14.2	13.0	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kent Bazemore	67	66	0.32	-0.82	1.14	-0.15	16	-24	40	12.3	13.8	-1.47	14.9	12.1	2.79
John Collins	26	26	0.28	-0.78	1.06	-0.13	14	-22	36	13.0	12.8	0.21	15.9	13.2	2.71
Alex Poythress	27	26	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.08	1	-9	10	13.9	12.5	1.44	12.2	14.3	-2.15
Alex Len	48	46	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.15	6	-14	20	13.0	12.7	0.28	12.9	14.5	-1.66
Jeremy Lin	55	55	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.21	6	-14	20	12.0	13.7	-1.68	14.6	13.1	1.51
DeAndre' Bembry	53	52	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.06	-6	-2	-4	12.3	13.4	-1.14	13.7	13.9	-0.25
Dewayne Dedmon	47	47	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.02	-14	6	-20	14.0	12.0	2.05	15.1	12.9	2.23
Tyler Dorsey	32	36	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.17	-9	1	-10	12.6	13.0	-0.40	12.8	14.3	-1.53
Vince Carter	35	35	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.10	-12	4	-16	12.0	13.3	-1.29	15.5	13.0	2.42
Trae Young	53	53	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.05	-14	6	-20	13.7	12.0	1.68	13.1	14.6	-1.51
Omari Spellman	30	32	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.15	-13	5	-18	11.3	13.4	-2.14	11.9	14.6	-2.77
Kevin Huerter	67	66	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.21	-15	7	-22	13.7	11.4	2.30	13.1	15.0	-1.92

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Domantas Sabonis	64	62	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.36	9	-1	10	14.4	13.0	1.39	12.5	13.2	-0.69
Aaron Holiday	37	36	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.30	10	-2	12	12.8	14.4	-1.62	11.9	13.3	-1.39
Doug McDermott	60	58	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.36	5	3	2	14.0	13.6	0.32	11.9	13.9	-2.01
Cory Joseph	69	66	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.39	2	6	-4	14.2	13.2	0.97	12.0	14.2	-2.17
Thaddeus Young	57	59	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.11	11	-3	14	13.4	14.3	-0.82	14.1	11.4	2.70
Myles Turner	53	54	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.09	13	-5	18	13.8	13.8	0.01	14.2	11.5	2.72
Bojan Bogdanovic	64	66	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.04	6	2	4	13.2	14.7	-1.52	12.9	12.8	0.09
Darren Collison	58	59	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.11	6	2	4	13.8	13.9	-0.07	13.5	12.0	1.54
Victor Oladipo	11	11	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.01	2	6	-4	10.5	14.2	-3.75	14.8	12.6	2.20
Tyreke Evans	50	52	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.00	-7	15	-22	15.2	12.6	2.60	13.3	12.4	0.90
TJ Leaf	10	10	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.01	-7	15	-22	13.3	13.9	-0.58	9.6	13.2	-3.57
Kyle O'Quinn	7	7	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.00	-10	18	-28	14.7	13.8	0.95	6.9	13.3	-6.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.25,0.19,0.25,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.34,0.41,0.52,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 85, ORL 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.54,0.54,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.42,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.5%
UTA 75, HOU 84	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.32,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.23,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.74,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.3%
IND 94, ATL 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.36,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.27,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.37,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	93.2%