NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	109		Excitement	9.0 [144]		MVP	Al-Farouq Aminu (POR): +33.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	116		Comeback	5.9 [355]		LVP	Isaiah Thomas (BOS): -33.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jae Crowder	0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0.24,0.24	0.02	0.21	-0.00	11	52%	0.27	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Evan Turner	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.02	8	64%	0.10	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Kelly Olynyk	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	57%	0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jared Sullinger	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	8	56%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jonas Jerebko	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	4	40%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Amir Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	75%	0.12	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	18	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Marcus Smart	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	6	43%	0.01	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Thomas	-0.34	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.07,-0.17,-0.34	-0.10	-0.23	0.01	21	43%	-0.08	5	-0.26	9	67%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.34	0.34	0.20	0.13	-0.01	19	72%	0.37	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.09	-0.00	11	62%	0.18	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.00	6	79%	0.14	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	3	117%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.08	0.14	0.01	19	45%	0.13	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	6	55%	0.06	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.06
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	45%	0.01	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	0.02	16	35%	-0.10	3	-0.09	8	87%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.7	31.0	15.5	25.2	2.4	37.6	138.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +41.0%

BOS -10.1%

POR +3.8%

POR +15.8%

BOS -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	POR	NBA	BOS	POR	NBA
this game	13.3	14.1	14.9	102.8	111.5	105.1
season	13.9	15.0		104.5	107.1
opponent	14.6	15.0		106.7	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	11.5	15.8	13.3	12.9	13.3
POR	14.2	13.7	15.0	13.7	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Johnson	60	61	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.09	11	-18	29	12.9	13.8	-0.90	15.0	12.9	2.07
Isaiah Thomas	76	73	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.13	7	-14	21	12.8	14.6	-1.78	14.1	14.2	-0.07
Jared Sullinger	45	46	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-10	13	14.0	12.8	1.23	15.2	13.3	1.81
Jonas Jerebko	27	26	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.18	4	-11	15	13.9	13.1	0.75	14.2	14.1	0.06
Avery Bradley	80	78	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-6	5	12.7	15.0	-2.31	14.0	14.7	-0.68
Jae Crowder	76	74	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.31	-5	-2	-3	13.8	12.1	1.71	14.1	14.1	0.02
Evan Turner	68	65	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.39	-8	1	-9	13.1	13.6	-0.49	13.8	14.7	-0.96
Marcus Smart	58	58	-0.77	0.27	-1.05	-0.10	-23	16	-39	13.4	13.1	0.27	13.7	14.7	-0.95
Kelly Olynyk	40	39	-0.79	0.29	-1.07	-0.11	-23	16	-39	14.0	12.9	1.14	13.2	14.7	-1.54

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al-Farouq Aminu	79	80	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.26	15	-8	23	14.1	14.2	-0.13	13.4	13.0	0.39
Ed Davis	49	50	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.21	15	-8	23	14.1	14.2	-0.12	13.1	13.5	-0.40
Allen Crabbe	64	63	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.34	10	-3	13	13.7	14.8	-1.15	13.2	13.4	-0.13
CJ McCollum	76	78	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.22	8	-1	9	14.2	13.9	0.39	13.9	11.5	2.44
Gerald Henderson	53	54	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.30	5	2	3	14.0	14.3	-0.37	13.4	13.1	0.31
Damian Lillard	79	82	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.13	-3	10	-13	14.4	13.5	0.87	12.5	16.0	-3.45
Maurice Harkless	47	49	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.15	5	2	3	14.1	14.2	-0.03	13.2	13.4	-0.20
Mason Plumlee	53	54	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.13	-10	17	-27	14.5	13.8	0.71	13.7	12.9	0.80
Noah Vonleh	20	20	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.05	-10	17	-27	14.2	14.1	0.07	13.1	13.3	-0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.24,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.15,0.26,0.44,0.42,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.93,0.97,0.81,0.91,0.9,0.79,0.84,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 89, LAC 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.46,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.72,0.85,0.73,1	91.1%
GSW 75, TOR 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.85,0.98,1	90.1%
NYK 111, DAL 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.36,0.37,0.26,0.37,0.27,0.39,0.39,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.91,0.81,0.89,0.96,0.58,1	90.0%