NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	89		Excitement	8.2 [170]		MVP	Eric Piatkowski (LAC): +21.7%
Los Angeles Clippers	90		Comeback	3.7 [106]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): -39.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Smith	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.18	0.02	0.17	0.00	12	62%	0.25	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	12	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.02	12	52%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Greg Anthony	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.07	0.00	15	61%	0.04	3	-0.10	6	67%	-0.01
Stacey Augmon	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	-0.04	1	-0.03	8	50%	-0.05
Shawn Kemp	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	6	33%	-0.04	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.39	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.39	-0.01	-0.38	-0.00	12	54%	-0.34	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.18	0.06	0.02	16	81%	0.28	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.09	-0.00	7	50%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.10
Derek Strong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	62%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	6	43%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	9	33%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	3	25%	-0.05	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.1	-0.10	0.01	-0.09	0.01	14	59%	0.09	3	-0.19	1	100%	0.01
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	18	44%	-0.04	2	-0.07	5	60%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	2.4	30.4	17.4	25.5	1.6	36.2	135.6
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +43.0%

LAC +33.7%

POR -16.0%

POR -11.9%

LAC +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAC	NBA	POR	LAC	NBA
this game	16.3	18.4	15.5	107.2	108.4	100.9
season	15.8	16.1		103.9	99.5
opponent	15.5	15.8		102.6	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.3	19.7	13.1	20.5	16.3
LAC	16.7	19.2	19.6	18.4	18.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stacey Augmon	50	50	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.05	3	-4	7	14.8	18.6	-3.80	18.0	19.1	-1.13
Detlef Schrempf	19	19	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	1	-3	21.8	14.6	7.20	19.1	18.2	0.90
Damon Stoudamire	59	59	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.30	4	-5	9	14.8	19.8	-4.99	17.9	19.6	-1.65
Arvydas Sabonis	49	48	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.41	4	-5	9	15.8	17.0	-1.15	18.5	18.3	0.26
Greg Anthony	24	24	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.17	-5	4	-9	19.8	14.8	4.99	19.6	17.9	1.65
Bonzi Wells	65	65	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.41	3	-4	7	14.5	22.8	-8.36	18.3	18.8	-0.47
Dale Davis	72	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.44	2	-3	5	16.0	18.1	-2.08	18.1	20.2	-2.04
Shawn Kemp	31	32	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.13	-9	8	-17	16.3	16.3	0.05	18.9	18.1	0.81
Steven Smith	46	46	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.47	-5	4	-9	19.1	12.8	6.32	18.7	18.0	0.69

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Strong	37	37	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.49	5	-4	9	19.1	17.9	1.21	18.3	14.7	3.62
Lamar Odom	77	78	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.47	3	-2	5	18.4	19.0	-0.64	16.1	19.8	-3.74
Eric Piatkowski	75	74	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.51	1	0	1	18.1	21.4	-3.28	16.2	16.8	-0.55
Keyon Dooling	13	13	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.15	4	-3	7	19.0	18.3	0.70	22.1	15.2	6.86
Michael Olowokandi	48	47	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.39	-4	5	-9	17.9	19.1	-1.22	14.7	18.4	-3.76
Sean Rooks	34	36	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	-4	9	19.6	17.6	2.00	18.4	14.7	3.76
Jeff McInnis	70	70	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.32	-3	4	-7	18.3	19.0	-0.70	15.2	22.1	-6.86
Quentin Richardson	9	9	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.04	0	1	-1	19.3	18.3	1.04	16.8	16.2	0.55
Darius Miles	6	5	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	3	-5	19.0	18.4	0.64	19.8	16.1	3.74
Cherokee Parks	46	46	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.00	-4	5	-9	17.9	19.1	-1.21	14.7	18.3	-3.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.46,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.72,0.85,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 74, PHX 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.48,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.89,0.8,0.91,1	92.5%
CHI 95, MIN 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.22,0.19,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.3,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.67,0.58,0.68,0.83,0.91,0.83,0.61,0.72,0.91,0.84,1	92.3%
PHI 82, DET 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.3,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.8,0.83,0.75,0.79,0.94,0.98,1	92.3%