NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	111		Excitement	7.7 [299]		MVP	Vince Carter (DAL): +26.6%
Dallas Mavericks	114		Comeback	3.3 [247]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): -46.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0.27	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.27	0.17	0.10	0.01	8	94%	0.27	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Tyson Chandler	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2	0.16	0.06	0.02	9	84%	0.25	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	-0.00	9	61%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	13	48%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Ronnie Brewer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Raymond Felton	-0.11	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11	-0.03	-0.07	0.02	17	53%	-0.00	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.47	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.06,-0.47	-0.03	-0.42	0.01	16	57%	-0.08	7	-0.39	8	87%	0.02

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.18	0.08	-0.01	17	68%	0.27	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.17	0.07	0.01	17	69%	0.25	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.09	-0.01	6	86%	0.20	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.00	3	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Darren Collison	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.03	0.01	11	73%	0.10	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	6	58%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dominique Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	9	22%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	10	48%	-0.06	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.3	28.3	16.4	24.6	2.4	40.4	136.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +17.9%

NYK -2.3%

DAL +24.4%

DAL +9.6%

DAL +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DAL	NBA	NYK	DAL	NBA
this game	15.6	14.6	15.4	115.6	120.0	104.1
season	16.2	14.5		107.9	104.3
opponent	15.6	15.5		105.0	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.9	13.8	17.7	15.1	15.6
DAL	14.7	15.0	11.8	17.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	73	71	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.42	12	-15	27	15.2	16.8	-1.62	14.8	14.0	0.80
Ronnie Brewer	44	45	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.06	-2	-1	-1	16.0	15.2	0.83	13.8	15.3	-1.52
Tyson Chandler	79	79	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.23	2	-5	7	15.2	17.2	-1.99	14.9	12.6	2.32
Carmelo Anthony	80	79	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.31	3	-6	9	15.8	14.4	1.39	14.7	13.6	1.12
Rasheed Wallace	36	35	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.18	-2	-1	-1	15.8	15.5	0.29	13.6	15.1	-1.52
Raymond Felton	77	76	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.30	0	-3	3	15.9	14.4	1.46	14.7	14.0	0.70
Steve Novak	28	27	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.22	-9	6	-15	15.3	15.7	-0.38	13.8	14.9	-1.09
J.R. Smith	63	63	-0.91	0.41	-1.31	-0.35	-19	16	-35	15.5	15.7	-0.16	14.9	13.9	0.94

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dahntay Jones	27	28	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.54	6	-3	9	13.7	14.9	-1.25	14.5	16.0	-1.54
Jae Crowder	44	43	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.13	14	-11	25	13.3	15.7	-2.39	16.7	14.7	2.00
Vince Carter	45	45	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.36	1	2	-1	14.7	14.5	0.21	14.5	16.6	-2.08
Elton Brand	40	40	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.05	14	-11	25	14.4	14.7	-0.23	15.4	15.7	-0.29
Dominique Jones	29	29	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.13	7	-4	11	14.4	14.6	-0.26	15.9	15.5	0.38
Shawn Marion	66	66	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.24	3	0	3	15.0	13.6	1.45	15.9	14.9	1.01
O.J. Mayo	70	71	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.26	-2	5	-7	14.5	14.6	-0.11	15.7	15.2	0.48
Darren Collison	66	67	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.28	-4	7	-11	14.6	14.4	0.26	15.5	15.9	-0.38
Troy Murphy	34	35	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.03	-10	13	-23	15.6	14.0	1.60	15.4	15.7	-0.30
Chris Kaman	54	56	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	0.14	-14	17	-31	14.9	14.1	0.81	15.9	15.2	0.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.36,0.37,0.26,0.37,0.27,0.39,0.39,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.91,0.81,0.89,0.96,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 86, MIL 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.32,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.64,0.62,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.98,0.94,0.92,1	91.5%
SAS 75, NYK 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.48,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.82,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	91.4%
WAS 105, SAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.77,0.7,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.69,0.89,0.91,0.75,0.79,0.83,0.73,1	91.2%