NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	106		Excitement	8.8 [126]		MVP	Trenton Hassell (CHI): +18.9%
Charlotte Hornets	112		Comeback	2.5 [743]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (CHI): -16.7%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trenton Hassell	0.19	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.19,0.19	0.05	0.14	0.00	11	62%	0.24	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Fred Hoiberg	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalibor Bagaric	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	3	87%	0.10	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Travis Best	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	71%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	62%	0.06	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.03
Eddy Curry	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	9	48%	0.03	1	-0.02	5	60%	0.01
A.J. Guyton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	13	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Norman Richardson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Jalen Rose	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.15	-0.04	-0.11	-0.00	18	63%	0.18	7	-0.33	7	86%	0.02
Jamal Crawford	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.04	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	5	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.16	0.16	0.04	0.13	0.00	7	60%	0.16	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.06	0.00	6	56%	0.06	0	0.00	6	67%	0.02
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.06	0.01	11	61%	0.10	2	-0.04	11	91%	0.09
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
David Wesley	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	13	48%	0.06	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	5	45%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	14	56%	0.01	2	-0.07	8	75%	-0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	5	76%	0.11	4	-0.18	7	71%	-0.03
Baron Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	19	43%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	29.0	14.8	24.8	1.6	37.4	132.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI -44.3%

CHH +30.4%

CHH +26.7%

CHH +31.3%

CHH +5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CHH	NBA	CHI	CHH	NBA
this game	14.2	15.8	15.6	110.4	116.7	102.3
season	15.6	15.9		96.3	102.2
opponent	15.6	15.6		101.1	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.0	13.6	14.6	15.6	14.2
CHH	15.8	16.4	15.4	15.7	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Norman Richardson	11	12	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.01	2	-8	10	12.9	14.3	-1.43	18.9	15.4	3.54
Jamal Crawford	46	45	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-4	2	13.8	14.5	-0.63	16.2	15.5	0.63
A.J. Guyton	2	1	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-6	6	12.0	14.2	-2.22	2.0	16.0	-13.97
Dalibor Bagaric	35	35	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.02	-3	-3	0	14.2	14.2	-0.01	15.7	15.9	-0.13
Marcus Fizer	45	46	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.26	1	-7	8	14.8	13.6	1.13	16.4	15.3	1.13
Fred Hoiberg	32	32	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-1	-4	14.2	14.1	0.11	14.9	16.3	-1.38
Tyson Chandler	49	49	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.04	-7	1	-8	13.7	14.7	-0.95	15.6	16.1	-0.56
Jalen Rose	79	79	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.22	-3	-3	0	13.9	15.5	-1.64	15.6	16.9	-1.29
Eddy Curry	57	58	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.30	-1	-5	4	14.5	13.8	0.69	16.6	14.6	1.97
Travis Best	50	51	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.36	-4	-2	-2	14.5	13.8	0.63	15.5	16.2	-0.63
Trenton Hassell	74	72	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.35	-8	2	-10	14.4	13.3	1.11	15.4	17.2	-1.79

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baron Davis	87	88	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.29	11	-5	16	15.4	19.4	-4.00	14.2	13.9	0.33
Stacey Augmon	44	43	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.42	4	2	2	15.2	16.4	-1.18	14.0	14.3	-0.24
George Lynch	66	66	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.33	4	2	2	15.0	17.5	-2.49	14.2	14.2	-0.03
Elden Campbell	53	52	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.18	9	-3	12	17.9	13.3	4.61	14.1	14.2	-0.09
Jamal Mashburn	76	76	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.27	3	3	0	15.7	16.3	-0.67	14.0	14.8	-0.85
Lee Nailon	25	26	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.03	6	0	6	16.2	15.7	0.56	14.1	14.2	-0.08
Jamaal Magloire	44	46	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	7	-8	15.1	16.5	-1.39	14.9	13.5	1.45
David Wesley	64	63	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	6	-6	16.1	15.3	0.81	14.0	14.4	-0.38
Robert Traylor	21	20	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.02	-6	12	-18	16.7	15.6	1.14	13.9	14.2	-0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.34,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.43,0.52,0.63,0.59,0.84,0.54,0.75,0.84,0.94,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 75, SAC 81	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.85,1	93.5%
MIL 81, UTA 84	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.69,0.6,0.47,0.61,0.79,0.95,0.99,1	93.1%
NJN 93, DET 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.41,0.38,0.26,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.62,0.53,0.67,0.77,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.81,0.92,1,1,1	93.0%