NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	75		Excitement	8.0 [210]		MVP	Jon Barry (SAC): +10.8%
Sacramento Kings	81		Comeback	2.7 [526]		LVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): -47.6%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Daniels	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	6	58%	0.09	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.04	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Terry Porter	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	11	27%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Elliott	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	10	45%	-0.01	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.03
Avery Johnson	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	9	22%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	-0.29	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.15,-0.19,-0.32,-0.32,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.14	-0.15	0.00	12	48%	-0.08	6	-0.21	7	100%	0.08
Tim Duncan	-0.48	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.33,-0.4,-0.48	-0.18	-0.30	0.00	25	41%	-0.30	5	-0.18	6	50%	-0.05

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	5	75%	0.11	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	12	46%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Webber	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	28	48%	0.05	3	-0.09	6	67%	0.01
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	8	25%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	11	29%	-0.14	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.32,-0.32	-0.32	-0.22	-0.12	-0.02	15	22%	-0.20	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	3.4	27.6	20.5	24.3	2.5	36.5	137.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +22.2%

SAS -1.6%

SAS -5.5%

SAC +35.1%

SAS -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	SAC	NBA	SAS	SAC	NBA
this game	14.7	14.4	15.5	75.8	81.8	100.9
season	15.9	14.4		103.4	103.1
opponent	15.5	15.5		97.8	96.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	13.4	14.6	15.5	15.4	14.7
SAC	15.5	13.7	12.8	15.9	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Ferry	26	26	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	-5	4	14.1	14.9	-0.80	13.9	14.5	-0.62
Malik Rose	31	31	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.11	2	-8	10	13.5	15.2	-1.73	14.6	14.3	0.38
Terry Porter	30	28	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-5	4	13.6	15.2	-1.59	15.0	14.1	0.91
Antonio Daniels	37	38	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.08	-5	-1	-4	14.8	14.6	0.17	14.2	14.5	-0.24
Avery Johnson	62	61	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.24	-1	-5	4	14.6	14.8	-0.17	14.5	14.2	0.24
David Robinson	74	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.24	-5	-1	-4	14.9	14.2	0.73	14.4	14.4	-0.08
Derek Anderson	69	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.24	-5	-1	-4	15.2	13.6	1.59	14.1	15.0	-0.91
Sean Elliott	73	73	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.33	-5	-1	-4	14.9	14.1	0.80	14.5	13.9	0.62
Tim Duncan	93	93	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.31	-9	3	-12	15.0	10.8	4.12	14.3	15.5	-1.19

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Webber	90	90	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.32	9	-3	12	14.1	16.8	-2.63	14.7	14.4	0.29
Doug Christie	75	75	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.24	11	-5	16	14.1	15.3	-1.25	14.6	15.0	-0.33
Jason Williams	68	69	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.23	10	-4	14	14.3	14.5	-0.19	14.7	14.6	0.11
Scot Pollard	40	40	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.31	7	-1	8	15.0	13.9	1.08	15.0	14.5	0.58
Peja Stojakovic	84	84	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.30	5	1	4	14.7	12.6	2.10	15.2	12.1	3.11
Jon Barry	39	39	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.11	-4	10	-14	14.3	14.4	-0.17	13.8	15.3	-1.42
Vlade Divac	59	59	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	7	-8	13.9	15.0	-1.08	14.5	15.0	-0.58
Bobby Jackson	31	30	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	10	-14	14.5	14.3	0.19	14.6	14.7	-0.11
Lawrence Funderburke	9	9	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	9	-12	16.8	14.1	2.63	14.4	14.7	-0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 75, CHH 84	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.98,1	93.8%
BOS 85, PHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.25,0.3,0.36,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.52,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.85,0.73,1	93.7%
VAN 78, HOU 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.25,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.72,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.9,0.84,0.94,0.99,1	93.6%