NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	85		Excitement	7.5 [315]		MVP	Amal McCaskill (PHI): +9.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	87		Comeback	4.2 [559]		LVP	Walter McCarty (BOS): -16.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.13,-0.08,-0.16,-0.23,-0.25,-0.18,0.05,0.04	-0.05	0.08	-0.01	29	52%	0.18	5	-0.14	6	83%	-0.01
Vin Baker	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	15	56%	0.05	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.02
Eric Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mike James	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kedrick Brown	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	5	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jiri Welsch	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Mark Blount	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	1	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Battie	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	10	41%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Marcus Banks	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.04	0.01	3	37%	-0.07	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Walter McCarty	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.17	-0.05	-0.12	-0.00	3	0%	-0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amal McCaskill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	4	100%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.06	0.11	0.00	5	56%	0.14	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	100%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	7	60%	0.03	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.05
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	9	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	11	50%	0.00	2	-0.08	6	67%	-0.02
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.27,-0.31,-0.25,-0.25,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16	-0.16	-0.16	0.00	0.00	25	42%	-0.04	5	-0.12	7	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	483.1	3.4	30.4	15.0	29.0	2.8	35.3	598.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +39.6%

PHI +5.8%

BOS -6.5%

PHI +3.8%

PHI +7.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHI	NBA	BOS	PHI	NBA
this game	15.8	16.0	15.7	93.4	96.7	100.5
season	14.4	16.2		99.5	96.7
opponent	15.8	15.9		99.5	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.0	15.8	16.6	17.1	15.8
PHI	14.8	17.0	15.4	17.2	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kedrick Brown	61	60	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.38	12	-14	26	15.6	16.3	-0.73	16.5	15.1	1.37
Walter McCarty	18	17	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.16	0	-2	2	15.6	15.9	-0.32	16.5	15.9	0.64
Mike James	62	60	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.26	2	-4	6	16.0	15.4	0.59	15.6	16.9	-1.28
Tony Battie	70	68	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.34	3	-5	8	15.8	15.8	0.00	15.9	16.4	-0.47
Paul Pierce	77	77	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.48	7	-9	16	15.9	15.4	0.54	15.9	16.5	-0.53
Eric Williams	28	28	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	8	-18	15.5	16.0	-0.45	15.6	16.2	-0.53
Mark Blount	11	11	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.03	-11	9	-20	15.8	15.8	0.01	13.0	16.4	-3.43
Marcus Banks	29	30	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.18	-4	2	-6	15.4	16.0	-0.59	16.9	15.6	1.28
Jiri Welsch	24	25	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	10	-22	16.0	15.7	0.25	15.6	16.2	-0.62
Vin Baker	75	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.48	3	-5	8	16.0	14.7	1.29	16.4	14.0	2.45

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Thomas	73	74	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.44	12	-10	22	14.9	20.7	-5.79	15.7	16.2	-0.52
Allen Iverson	85	85	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.38	11	-9	20	15.6	22.8	-7.19	15.9	14.0	1.94
Aaron McKie	49	49	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.28	1	1	0	16.4	15.6	0.78	15.7	16.0	-0.30
John Salmons	35	37	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.19	4	-2	6	16.8	15.5	1.24	15.7	15.9	-0.14
Samuel Dalembert	34	33	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.15	1	1	0	15.2	16.5	-1.25	16.2	15.6	0.58
Eric Snow	71	71	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.43	-9	11	-20	16.0	15.9	0.08	16.0	15.2	0.79
Marc Jackson	72	72	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.30	-6	8	-14	16.1	15.7	0.36	15.2	17.9	-2.70
Amal McCaskill	26	28	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.03	5	-3	8	18.2	15.1	3.01	17.0	15.3	1.71
Willie Green	5	6	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.06	-9	11	-20	22.8	15.6	7.19	14.0	15.9	-1.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.25,0.3,0.36,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.52,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.85,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 75, SAC 81	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.85,1	93.7%
MIA 87, ORL 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.41,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.29,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.31,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.73,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.83,1	92.3%
NYK 105, TOR 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.39,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.33,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.73,1	92.1%