NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	102		Excitement	7.8 [300]		MVP	Matisse Thybulle (PHI): +17.3%
Sacramento Kings	94		Comeback	9.0 [135]		LVP	Tyrese Haliburton (SAC): -16.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matisse Thybulle	0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.13	0.05	0.01	8	83%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Joe	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.00	8	58%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Shake Milton	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	12	62%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Furkan Korkmaz	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	10	46%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.07
Tyrese Maxey	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	22	46%	0.01	0	0.00	8	100%	0.02
Paul Reed	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Georges Niang	-0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	13	43%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Charles Bassey	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	0.02	0.03	8	41%	-0.01	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.06

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.03	0.01	10	82%	0.17	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	0.00	6	57%	0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Marvin Bagley III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.01,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.05	-0.00	15	57%	0.04	3	-0.04	10	80%	0.01
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.04,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.08	-0.11	-0.02	16	62%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Davion Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.03	-0.00	9	22%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	4	29%	-0.05	1	-0.03	6	33%	-0.05
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	8	48%	0.01	4	-0.11	5	100%	0.03
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.07	-0.00	5	0%	-0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.0	27.2	14.6	27.2	1.6	34.2	133.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +24.8%

PHI +0.0%

PHI +1.2%

PHI +18.6%

PHI +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	SAC	NBA	PHI	SAC	NBA
this game	17.1	13.9	14.5	109.7	101.1	110.8
season	15.2	14.0		112.4	109.2
opponent	14.6	14.6		114.4	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.3	17.5	17.4	17.1	17.1
SAC	11.3	13.8	14.7	16.3	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Drummond	61	61	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.31	19	-11	30	16.7	17.8	-1.14	14.0	13.6	0.42
Georges Niang	75	75	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.24	18	-10	28	16.4	19.8	-3.43	14.5	11.6	2.91
Tyrese Maxey	66	67	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.42	7	1	6	17.3	16.5	0.82	13.8	14.2	-0.45
Matisse Thybulle	64	64	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.35	7	1	6	16.8	17.7	-0.86	13.7	14.4	-0.79
Shake Milton	69	67	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.20	12	-4	16	17.5	15.7	1.77	14.4	12.5	1.95
Isaiah Joe	32	33	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.10	-2	10	-12	18.3	16.4	1.90	14.3	13.7	0.62
Charles Bassey	29	29	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.01	-7	15	-22	17.2	17.0	0.21	13.5	14.1	-0.61
Furkan Korkmaz	56	56	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.10	-4	12	-16	16.7	17.5	-0.79	13.8	14.1	-0.30
Paul Reed	13	13	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	-0.00	-10	18	-28	18.4	16.8	1.53	9.5	14.6	-5.16

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marvin Bagley III	24	22	0.32	-0.82	1.13	0.05	9	-17	26	14.2	13.8	0.41	17.3	17.0	0.27
Tristan Thompson	20	20	0.29	-0.79	1.08	0.11	6	-14	20	16.5	13.2	3.37	17.2	17.0	0.24
Alex Len	20	20	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.12	-4	-4	0	11.7	14.5	-2.74	16.8	17.1	-0.27
Tyrese Haliburton	66	65	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.31	9	-17	26	13.3	15.4	-2.17	17.2	16.8	0.35
Davion Mitchell	48	47	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	-4	0	14.5	13.3	1.15	16.8	17.3	-0.52
Maurice Harkless	35	37	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.16	-3	-5	2	13.5	14.1	-0.58	17.2	17.0	0.25
Buddy Hield	61	60	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.02	-9	1	-10	14.3	13.2	1.14	16.7	17.8	-1.07
Richaun Holmes	53	52	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.49	-10	2	-12	13.7	14.1	-0.43	17.4	16.7	0.73
De'Aaron Fox	69	71	-0.81	0.31	-1.13	-0.32	-17	9	-26	14.0	13.7	0.21	17.2	16.8	0.38
Harrison Barnes	69	71	-0.82	0.32	-1.13	-0.32	-17	9	-26	13.8	14.2	-0.41	17.0	17.3	-0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.79,0.86,0.77,0.64,0.76,0.61,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.07,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 106, ORL 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.52,0.64,0.78,0.86,0.82,0.79,0.91,0.79,0.59,0.46,0.25,0.45,0.33,0.08,0	92.0%
SAC 96, BOS 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.24,0.02,0	91.2%
IND 101, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.34,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.87,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.62,0.46,0.14,0.16,0	91.2%