NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	106		Excitement	7.5 [319]		MVP	Damjan Rudez (IND): +40.4%
Orlando Magic	99		Comeback	9.8 [138]		LVP	Victor Oladipo (ORL): -10.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damjan Rudez	0.40	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.01,0.09,0.14,0.27,0.27,0.36,0.36,0.4	0.15	0.25	0.00	10	90%	0.43	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.24,0.22	0.05	0.15	-0.02	15	52%	0.22	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	5	80%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	7	61%	0.07	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Roy Hibbert	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	12	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
David West	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.05	-0.07	0.01	15	59%	0.08	2	-0.11	4	100%	0.03
Rodney Stuckey	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	10	68%	0.10	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Luis Scola	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	5	31%	-0.04	1	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05
Solomon Hill	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.18	0.07	0.02	17	69%	0.24	0	0.00	5	100%	0.07
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	5	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.05	-0.00	8	48%	0.07	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.08
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	5	58%	0.09	2	-0.06	9	67%	-0.05
Devyn Marble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	7	36%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.08	-0.02	10	43%	0.07	2	-0.16	1	100%	0.01
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.10	0.01	17	51%	0.03	3	-0.14	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	1.6	29.4	16.5	24.5	2.3	33.4	131.5
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +44.0%

ORL -12.9%

IND +18.9%

IND +0.7%

ORL -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ORL	NBA	IND	ORL	NBA
this game	15.6	14.4	15.1	109.3	104.2	104.2
season	16.0	14.9		102.3	100.4
opponent	15.3	15.0		105.9	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.3	14.2	16.1	14.8	15.6
ORL	12.0	17.1	13.9	14.6	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damjan Rudez	59	57	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.30	13	-6	19	14.9	16.7	-1.80	15.0	13.4	1.58
David West	68	66	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.42	9	-2	11	16.5	13.6	2.90	14.0	15.2	-1.26
CJ Watson	72	71	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.39	9	-2	11	16.3	13.6	2.72	14.5	14.0	0.49
George Hill	43	40	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.23	6	1	5	14.3	16.6	-2.32	13.8	14.8	-0.94
Roy Hibbert	48	45	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.22	5	2	3	16.4	14.8	1.62	13.9	14.8	-0.87
Ian Mahinmi	49	50	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.08	2	5	-3	14.8	16.4	-1.62	14.8	13.9	0.87
Rodney Stuckey	56	57	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.11	0	7	-7	16.0	15.0	0.99	13.9	15.1	-1.14
Solomon Hill	61	60	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.07	-7	14	-21	16.0	15.0	1.03	14.4	14.3	0.13
Luis Scola	29	29	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.12	-2	9	-11	13.6	16.5	-2.90	15.2	14.0	1.26

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle O'Quinn	28	28	0.33	-0.83	1.15	0.12	7	-14	21	14.1	14.5	-0.32	14.8	15.9	-1.12
Willie Green	36	35	0.27	-0.77	1.03	0.12	5	-12	17	14.2	14.5	-0.28	14.5	16.3	-1.82
Devyn Marble	22	21	0.11	-0.61	0.71	0.05	2	-9	11	12.9	14.8	-1.96	14.6	15.9	-1.28
Aaron Gordon	41	42	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.02	2	-9	11	14.4	14.4	-0.00	17.1	14.5	2.65
Channing Frye	63	65	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.07	-2	-5	3	14.0	15.1	-1.05	16.1	14.6	1.48
Evan Fournier	35	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.18	-1	-6	5	14.7	14.2	0.50	14.6	16.2	-1.55
Tobias Harris	59	61	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.32	-8	1	-9	14.8	13.6	1.26	14.6	17.4	-2.77
Elfrid Payton	59	62	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.41	-12	5	-17	14.5	14.2	0.28	16.3	14.5	1.82
Victor Oladipo	65	67	-0.79	0.29	-1.07	-0.38	-14	7	-21	14.6	13.8	0.78	16.0	14.8	1.14
Nikola Vucevic	67	69	-0.83	0.33	-1.15	-0.41	-14	7	-21	14.5	14.1	0.32	15.9	14.8	1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.52,0.64,0.78,0.86,0.82,0.79,0.91,0.79,0.59,0.46,0.25,0.45,0.33,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 91, VAN 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.86,0.77,0.79,0.59,0.61,0.45,0.45,0.22,0.08,0	91.8%
CHH 105, ATL 99	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.67,0.62,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.48,0.46,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.7,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.68,0.69,0.59,0.61,0.31,0.21,0.16,0.08,0	90.9%
MIL 84, SAC 79	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.65,0.59,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.81,0.7,0.54,0.39,0.31,0.11,0.16,0.08,0	90.5%