NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	96		Excitement	7.3 [378]		MVP	Delonte West (BOS): +33.3%
Boston Celtics	91		Comeback	3.0 [516]		LVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (SAC): -14.1%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0.33	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.33	0.15	0.19	0.01	17	64%	0.36	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.00
Brad Miller	0.27	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.27,0.27	0.08	0.16	-0.03	12	64%	0.28	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.04
Metta World Peace	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.08	0.16	-0.01	12	59%	0.26	0	0.00	8	87%	0.06
Mike Bibby	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	11	48%	0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Francisco Garcia	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	40%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Quincy Douby	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	6	58%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	8	22%	-0.09	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.05

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Delonte West	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.16	0.17	0.00	16	74%	0.37	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.10	0.09	0.00	16	64%	0.23	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.03
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	16	49%	0.14	2	-0.10	3	100%	0.03
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	62%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allan Ray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.02	2	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	43%	-0.01	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	11	32%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	6	42%	0.01	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.4	29.3	15.6	22.8	1.8	31.4	124.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +8.5%

SAC +12.8%

SAC +0.6%

SAC +27.5%

SAC +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	BOS	NBA	SAC	BOS	NBA
this game	16.8	16.9	15.4	111.6	107.1	104.5
season	14.7	15.5		104.7	101.7
opponent	15.3	15.1		105.2	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	18.1	18.4	15.9	14.9	16.8
BOS	15.3	16.7	18.4	17.1	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brad Miller	72	73	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.39	11	-6	17	16.9	16.5	0.36	16.8	17.1	-0.23
Francisco Garcia	23	22	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.41	10	-5	15	14.9	17.5	-2.58	17.1	16.8	0.34
Metta World Peace	76	74	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.36	11	-6	17	16.6	18.3	-1.69	16.4	20.5	-4.10
Mike Bibby	59	58	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.36	2	3	-1	16.3	17.9	-1.53	16.1	18.6	-2.56
Kevin Martin	74	74	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.18	-2	7	-9	17.0	15.3	1.71	16.6	18.8	-2.22
John Salmons	45	44	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.16	-2	7	-9	16.3	17.3	-0.98	18.7	14.9	3.87
Quincy Douby	7	6	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	2	1	17.1	16.8	0.37	19.3	16.7	2.64
Corliss Williamson	21	22	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.11	3	2	1	18.0	16.4	1.65	20.2	15.7	4.45
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	39	39	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	10	-15	17.5	16.2	1.30	14.9	18.6	-3.72
Justin Williams	14	13	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.02	-6	11	-17	18.9	16.4	2.54	17.9	16.7	1.23

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Olowokandi	21	20	0.20	-0.70	0.89	0.05	5	-10	15	18.3	16.4	1.86	19.0	16.1	2.86
Allan Ray	6	8	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.03	1	-6	7	19.5	16.7	2.82	12.2	17.3	-5.02
Leon Powe	13	13	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-4	3	20.6	16.2	4.41	19.0	16.4	2.59
Kendrick Perkins	43	42	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.01	-2	-3	1	16.2	17.5	-1.32	17.2	16.4	0.85
Sebastian Telfair	19	20	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.09	-7	2	-9	20.5	15.8	4.69	16.6	16.8	-0.20
Rajon Rondo	34	35	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.31	0	-5	5	18.5	15.8	2.75	17.0	16.6	0.38
Delonte West	72	73	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.41	0	-5	5	16.0	22.0	-6.04	16.4	19.3	-2.95
Ryan Gomes	85	86	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	16.9	0.0	16.88	16.8	0.0	16.80
Al Jefferson	71	71	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.42	-5	0	-5	16.1	20.9	-4.76	16.8	16.7	0.16
Gerald Green	61	62	-0.77	0.27	-1.05	-0.45	-11	6	-17	15.8	19.7	-4.00	16.3	18.0	-1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.24,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 102, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.59,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.73,0.64,0.46,0.54,0.47,0.37,0.05,0.04,0	92.5%
DET 108, ORL 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.79,0.67,0.58,0.74,0.7,0.6,0.69,0.29,0.14,0.08,0	92.3%
MIN 96, VAN 94	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.52,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.68,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.45,0.27,0	92.2%