NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	123		Excitement	6.8 [486]		MVP	Kevin Huerter (ATL): +26.6%
Atlanta Hawks	115		Comeback	1.8 [747]		LVP	Javonte Green (BOS): -6.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jayson Tatum	0.21	0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.22	0.15	0.09	0.02	20	65%	0.23	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Grant Williams	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14	0.05	0.08	-0.00	9	68%	0.19	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Gordon Hayward	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.06	0.02	16	67%	0.20	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Daniel Theis	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	4	90%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brad Wanamaker	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	9	73%	0.10	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Enes Kanter	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	7	53%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Carsen Edwards	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.01	17	58%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Semi Ojeleye	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tremont Waters	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Javonte Green	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.09	0.11	-0.07	21	55%	0.27	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.16	-0.01	0.05	12	92%	0.16	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Damian Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Brandon Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.04	0.01	20	67%	0.20	9	-0.20	11	91%	0.03
Treveon Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.06	-0.00	14	56%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.3	31.3	14.8	24.3	2.5	33.2	132.7
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +37.5%

ATL -13.8%

BOS +14.7%

BOS +3.4%

BOS +8.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ATL	NBA	BOS	ATL	NBA
this game	14.3	13.8	14.2	119.4	112.7	109.6
season	14.5	13.8		112.0	106.6
opponent	14.0	14.4		113.9	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.2	14.5	15.0	12.6	14.3
ATL	13.0	14.9	15.6	12.2	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jayson Tatum	72	72	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.19	19	-11	30	14.5	13.6	0.96	14.5	12.2	2.28
Brad Wanamaker	59	60	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.08	15	-7	22	13.6	15.2	-1.62	14.2	13.3	0.99
Jaylen Brown	70	70	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.16	12	-4	16	14.1	14.5	-0.34	14.1	13.2	0.86
Gordon Hayward	74	72	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.26	5	3	2	14.4	14.0	0.40	13.5	14.7	-1.17
Daniel Theis	40	38	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.02	13	-5	18	15.1	13.7	1.43	14.8	13.3	1.55
Grant Williams	52	52	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	7	-6	14.4	14.1	0.34	13.1	14.6	-1.48
Tremont Waters	31	30	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.17	-4	12	-16	14.0	14.4	-0.36	12.8	14.3	-1.43
Enes Kanter	33	33	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.01	1	7	-6	14.4	14.2	0.16	14.2	13.7	0.59
Javonte Green	39	38	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.18	-7	15	-22	15.3	13.6	1.66	13.8	13.9	-0.09
Carsen Edwards	15	15	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	12	-16	13.5	14.4	-0.92	13.2	14.0	-0.75
Semi Ojeleye	30	30	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	0.04	-11	19	-30	12.6	14.9	-2.28	12.6	14.4	-1.76

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Goodwin	35	35	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.19	8	-16	24	12.0	14.8	-2.85	15.2	13.8	1.39
Vince Carter	37	38	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-9	10	13.8	13.9	-0.05	15.2	13.7	1.43
Treveon Graham	36	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	-2	-4	13.8	13.8	-0.02	15.1	13.8	1.28
Damian Jones	35	35	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.06	-8	0	-8	15.9	12.7	3.20	14.2	14.3	-0.04
Jeff Teague	78	77	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.16	-10	2	-12	14.1	13.1	0.99	14.1	14.6	-0.43
John Collins	79	82	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.30	-7	-1	-6	13.8	14.1	-0.37	14.6	13.0	1.57
Kevin Huerter	84	84	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.26	-9	1	-10	14.3	11.9	2.37	14.1	14.8	-0.72
Trae Young	78	79	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.15	-13	5	-18	13.7	14.3	-0.64	14.2	14.6	-0.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.28,0.36,0.27,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.09,0.14,0.34,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.04,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 100, MIA 93	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.17,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.12,0.19,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.11,0.04,0,0	93.7%
PHX 105, GSW 97	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.54,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.01,0.01,0	93.6%
SAS 92, HOU 84	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.03,0.04,0	93.5%