NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	100		Excitement	6.7 [492]		MVP	Luol Deng (MIA): +13.1%
Miami Heat	93		Comeback	1.9 [602]		LVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): -19.4%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Johnson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.01	0.00	5	100%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.03	0.08	-0.01	23	44%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Lance Stephenson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	5	90%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.07	0.03	19	47%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.02
Paul Pierce	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
JJ Redick	0.00	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	11	56%	0.07	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Cole Aldrich	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	45%	0.02	1	-0.03	5	20%	-0.07
Pablo Prigioni	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	4	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	14	21%	-0.20

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.03	-0.00	9	65%	0.13	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.04	-0.00	4	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	5	62%	0.04	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.19,-0.15,-0.12,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	17	41%	0.03	2	-0.06	7	57%	-0.04
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.03	0.04	13	65%	0.07	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	8	39%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Justise Winslow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	5	17%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dwyane Wade	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.07	0.00	20	38%	-0.09	4	-0.10	5	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.0	27.2	15.7	36.4	2.8	27.5	138.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +48.7%

MIA -12.0%

MIA -4.3%

LAC +17.5%

LAC +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIA	NBA	LAC	MIA	NBA
this game	15.0	16.2	14.9	108.7	100.0	105.1
season	14.8	15.5		106.6	104.5
opponent	15.1	14.9		103.1	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.2	15.9	12.2	19.2	15.0
MIA	16.8	16.1	15.9	15.8	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	66	66	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.36	6	1	5	14.5	16.2	-1.75	16.1	16.2	-0.10
JJ Redick	62	63	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.32	7	0	7	14.5	15.9	-1.32	16.3	15.7	0.62
Jamal Crawford	67	67	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.23	8	-1	9	15.3	14.2	1.01	15.2	18.5	-3.31
DeAndre Jordan	68	68	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.20	5	2	3	14.7	15.9	-1.21	16.1	16.4	-0.29
Luc Mbah a Moute	36	37	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.25	3	4	-1	15.7	14.5	1.22	17.7	15.1	2.53
Wesley Johnson	38	38	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	4	-1	13.2	16.2	-3.06	14.4	17.4	-2.97
Cole Aldrich	23	25	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	4	-1	16.4	14.5	1.88	16.4	16.1	0.29
Paul Pierce	39	41	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.00	4	3	1	15.5	14.6	0.88	17.9	14.8	3.09
Pablo Prigioni	27	27	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.05	0	7	-7	15.8	14.6	1.13	16.2	16.1	0.10
Lance Stephenson	34	33	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.01	-4	11	-15	15.9	14.5	1.39	15.8	16.3	-0.52

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Beno Udrih	25	25	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.03	2	-9	11	16.3	16.1	0.23	16.1	14.6	1.51
Hassan Whiteside	35	36	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.04	-5	-2	-3	15.1	16.8	-1.71	13.2	16.1	-2.93
Justise Winslow	55	53	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.19	2	-9	11	15.3	17.4	-2.10	14.6	15.5	-0.93
Amar'e Stoudemire	30	29	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.12	-1	-6	5	17.6	15.4	2.19	14.6	15.2	-0.62
Gerald Green	54	53	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.14	-7	0	-7	15.8	16.7	-0.89	16.2	13.3	2.99
Dwyane Wade	63	63	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.30	-2	-5	3	16.2	16.0	0.27	14.4	16.3	-1.89
Luol Deng	77	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.26	-5	-2	-3	16.2	16.0	0.18	14.7	16.4	-1.63
Chris Bosh	58	56	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.23	-10	3	-13	17.1	14.7	2.39	16.5	12.6	3.98
Goran Dragic	68	67	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.33	-9	2	-11	16.1	16.3	-0.23	14.6	16.1	-1.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.17,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.12,0.19,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.11,0.04,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 96, ATL 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.68,0.68,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.1,0.01,0	93.4%
PHX 110, NJN 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.38,0.23,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.32,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.11,0.04,0.06,0.01,0	93.3%
HOU 95, LAL 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.41,0.38,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.01,0.01,0	93.2%