NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	110		Excitement	6.5 [476]		MVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): +27.7%
New Jersey Nets	104		Comeback	2.5 [707]		LVP	Devin Harris (NJN): -12.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.28	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.15	0.14	0.02	15	75%	0.38	4	-0.11	14	64%	-0.03
Leandro Barbosa	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.05	0.02	18	54%	0.10	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03	-0.01	0.04	0.00	8	65%	0.14	5	-0.11	10	70%	-0.03
Boris Diaw	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	11	48%	0.07	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Raja Bell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	6	79%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	9	40%	-0.01	3	-0.06	7	57%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	10	27%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sean Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	9	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	10	55%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	22	57%	0.17	5	-0.16	12	75%	-0.01
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	5	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	6	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	0.03	19	47%	-0.01	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	15	41%	-0.02	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	42.2	15.6	27.7	2.0	37.2	151.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +52.8%

NJN -2.5%

NJN -0.1%

NJN -3.7%

PHX +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	NJN	NBA	PHX	NJN	NBA
this game	14.4	14.5	15.4	111.1	104.0	105.7
season	13.8	15.4		111.1	101.8
opponent	15.5	15.6		107.1	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.8	14.1	15.4	15.6	14.4
NJN	13.9	16.5	13.4	14.4	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leandro Barbosa	61	63	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.04	21	-15	36	13.6	15.8	-2.20	15.1	13.5	1.62
Shaquille O'Neal	70	72	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.15	12	-6	18	13.7	16.1	-2.36	14.8	13.6	1.20
Amar'e Stoudemire	91	91	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.33	6	0	6	14.6	12.9	1.70	14.4	15.9	-1.52
Steve Nash	80	81	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.34	3	3	0	14.5	14.3	0.15	14.3	15.2	-0.86
Raja Bell	89	88	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.40	1	5	-4	14.4	15.1	-0.74	14.4	15.7	-1.31
Gordan Giricek	49	51	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.12	-1	7	-8	14.9	14.0	0.92	13.4	15.7	-2.36
Boris Diaw	55	54	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.23	-12	18	-30	15.7	12.9	2.83	15.2	13.7	1.47

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeSagana Diop	5	5	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.02	-1	-5	4	20.2	14.2	5.99	15.6	14.4	1.23
Sean Williams	52	50	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.15	4	-10	14	14.5	14.5	0.06	15.2	13.6	1.59
Marcus Williams	37	36	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-4	2	16.1	13.6	2.54	14.1	14.6	-0.51
Bostjan Nachbar	44	45	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-1	-4	14.3	14.7	-0.34	14.5	14.4	0.10
Nenad Krstic	33	34	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-8	2	-10	14.9	14.3	0.64	13.1	15.1	-1.96
Vince Carter	85	86	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.29	-4	-2	-2	14.4	15.1	-0.73	14.4	14.8	-0.39
Josh Boone	81	81	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.32	-3	-3	0	14.3	15.5	-1.25	14.5	14.1	0.40
Devin Harris	74	73	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.36	-4	-2	-2	13.8	16.5	-2.69	14.8	13.5	1.21
Richard Jefferson	89	85	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.32	-7	1	-8	14.3	15.8	-1.47	14.2	15.6	-1.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.38,0.23,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.32,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.11,0.04,0.06,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 113, POR 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.59,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.46,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.26,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.02,0.05,0,0	94.6%
GSW 106, MIN 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.43,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.24,0.16,0.03,0.01,0	94.2%
CHA 116, ATL 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.32,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.09,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.02,0	93.8%