NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	106		Excitement	5.7 [646]		MVP	David Lee (GSW): +9.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	98		Comeback	3.1 [301]		LVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): -10.8%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	0.00	15	55%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Carl Landry	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	-0.02	8	71%	0.12	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.00
Stephen Curry	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	12	63%	0.11	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Harrison Barnes	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.02	15	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Charles Jenkins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	3	40%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Festus Ezeli	0.02	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	9	65%	0.02	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	6	15%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Klay Thompson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.03	0.02	14	40%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alexey Shved	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.03	-0.02	17	58%	0.12	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.02	9	70%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	-0.02	0.03	9	69%	0.09	3	-0.08	8	75%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	10	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Malcolm Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Stiemsma	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.05	-0.05	0.07	16	61%	-0.01	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.02
Luke Ridnour	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	11	36%	-0.04	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.7	27.0	14.8	25.2	2.3	36.5	132.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +37.0%

MIN -6.8%

GSW +20.9%

MIN -3.7%

GSW +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	MIN	NBA	GSW	MIN	NBA
this game	15.6	14.9	15.4	114.0	102.1	104.1
season	14.6	15.6		104.6	101.3
opponent	14.9	15.3		103.4	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.6	16.5	16.2	14.5	15.6
MIN	15.7	17.0	15.8	11.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Lee	65	67	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.12	18	-10	28	14.9	17.3	-2.41	15.8	12.8	3.05
Stephen Curry	53	58	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.01	19	-11	30	15.4	15.9	-0.52	15.8	13.4	2.38
Harrison Barnes	69	70	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.18	11	-3	14	14.9	17.6	-2.67	15.1	14.4	0.69
Klay Thompson	52	52	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.01	17	-9	26	15.9	15.2	0.77	16.0	13.5	2.47
Festus Ezeli	30	31	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.11	4	4	0	15.2	15.8	-0.64	16.4	14.2	2.22
Carl Landry	56	58	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.23	-3	11	-14	16.5	14.2	2.26	14.0	16.2	-2.19
Charles Jenkins	13	11	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	8	-8	12.2	16.1	-3.92	11.4	15.3	-3.98
Richard Jefferson	24	26	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.08	-3	11	-14	17.6	14.9	2.67	14.4	15.1	-0.69
Draymond Green	22	23	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.05	0	8	-8	15.2	15.7	-0.55	13.5	15.3	-1.79
Andris Biedrins	32	32	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.20	-9	17	-26	17.1	14.8	2.32	14.2	15.2	-1.09
Jarrett Jack	49	52	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.34	-14	22	-36	15.8	15.4	0.37	13.4	16.7	-3.27

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malcolm Lee	38	38	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.27	12	-20	32	15.6	14.4	1.15	14.9	16.1	-1.24
Lou Amundson	26	25	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.07	3	-11	14	16.4	14.3	2.06	17.7	14.8	2.84
Josh Howard	26	26	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.10	1	-9	10	15.3	14.7	0.63	17.5	14.9	2.58
Greg Stiemsma	32	32	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.08	-5	-3	-2	16.2	14.2	1.95	15.2	15.8	-0.68
Alexey Shved	66	64	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-4	0	13.9	17.1	-3.22	16.4	13.8	2.58
Dante Cunningham	57	55	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.18	-6	-2	-4	14.4	15.7	-1.32	15.5	15.8	-0.32
Derrick Williams	77	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.21	-8	0	-8	14.2	17.5	-3.29	15.2	17.2	-2.02
Andrei Kirilenko	79	76	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.21	-12	4	-16	14.7	15.6	-0.85	15.1	18.1	-3.01
Luke Ridnour	79	75	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.07	-21	13	-34	15.4	12.5	2.86	15.2	17.3	-2.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.43,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.24,0.16,0.03,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 110, NJN 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.38,0.23,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.32,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.11,0.04,0.06,0.01,0	94.2%
PHI 93, CHI 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.62,0.67,0.76,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0	93.7%
NOH 94, POR 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.14,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.5%