NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	113		Excitement	5.4 [731]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): +22.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	104		Comeback	3.5 [263]		LVP	Bonzi Wells (POR): -16.5%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.22	0.21	0.05	0.04	14	86%	0.25	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.02
Mike Bibby	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	17	62%	0.12	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Vlade Divac	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	4	87%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	10	64%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Chris Webber	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.02	24	50%	0.05	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jim Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	42%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	9	39%	-0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.20	-0.01	0.04	20	74%	0.17	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	57%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.02	3	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	0.07	-0.02	0.06	10	70%	0.03	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	11	37%	-0.07	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	12	46%	-0.01	4	-0.10	4	25%	-0.04
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	-0.01	10	32%	-0.09	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	23.0	14.8	25.1	1.7	30.3	119.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +33.0%

SAC +6.6%

SAC +4.6%

SAC +4.5%

SAC +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	POR	NBA	SAC	POR	NBA
this game	14.0	15.1	15.5	114.1	105.1	101.6
season	14.0	16.0		104.4	104.3
opponent	15.7	15.7		101.8	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.7	12.2	13.2	17.3	14.0
POR	13.5	15.0	16.8	15.5	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Bibby	80	79	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.12	15	-6	21	13.8	14.7	-0.88	15.3	14.5	0.72
Peja Stojakovic	72	72	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.20	12	-3	15	14.1	13.7	0.37	16.1	12.6	3.43
Vlade Divac	62	61	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.26	8	1	7	14.3	13.4	0.94	16.0	13.7	2.37
Chris Webber	85	85	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.34	2	7	-5	14.1	13.0	1.13	15.2	14.6	0.64
Doug Christie	65	65	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.22	1	8	-7	13.9	14.0	-0.09	15.1	15.2	-0.13
Bobby Jackson	46	47	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.05	3	6	-3	13.8	14.1	-0.35	14.7	15.5	-0.76
Scot Pollard	22	23	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.08	7	2	5	14.1	13.9	0.16	14.3	15.4	-1.01
Jim Jackson	37	36	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	14	-19	14.1	13.9	0.13	13.1	16.3	-3.20
Keon Clark	26	27	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.07	2	7	-5	13.0	14.3	-1.26	14.0	15.5	-1.49

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff McInnis	33	33	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-11	13	14.8	15.3	-0.41	14.5	13.7	0.82
Derek Anderson	65	67	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.27	7	-16	23	15.2	15.1	0.10	14.1	13.6	0.51
Bonzi Wells	51	51	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.24	6	-15	21	14.8	15.5	-0.65	14.9	13.0	1.88
Zach Randolph	25	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-5	1	14.8	15.2	-0.43	13.2	14.2	-1.08
Arvydas Sabonis	27	27	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	-6	3	14.9	15.2	-0.37	15.6	13.4	2.18
Dale Davis	70	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-3	-3	15.5	14.3	1.15	13.4	15.4	-2.04
Antonio Daniels	26	24	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	6	-21	14.7	15.3	-0.58	13.9	14.0	-0.13
Ruben Patterson	54	54	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.07	-13	4	-17	15.8	14.4	1.40	13.1	15.0	-1.81
Rasheed Wallace	78	78	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.23	-8	-1	-7	14.9	16.0	-1.05	14.1	13.6	0.51
Damon Stoudamire	66	66	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.16	-11	2	-13	15.3	14.8	0.41	13.7	14.5	-0.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.59,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.46,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.26,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.02,0.05,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 110, NJN 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.38,0.23,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.32,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.11,0.04,0.06,0.01,0	94.6%
MIA 106, NJN 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%
UTA 114, CHH 93	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.76,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.18,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.0%