NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	116		Excitement	5.8 [656]		MVP	Matt Carroll (CHA): +16.7%
Atlanta Hawks	110		Comeback	3.3 [193]		LVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): -13.2%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Carroll	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.17	0.13	0.04	-0.00	8	77%	0.17	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Melvin Ely	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.01	0.00	13	78%	0.18	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12	0.06	0.07	0.01	18	59%	0.19	3	-0.07	10	80%	0.02
Alan Anderson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.03	0.01	11	60%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Primoz Brezec	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	9	70%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Burleson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	3	83%	0.05	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	6	44%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.02
Lonny Baxter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	6	56%	0.00	4	-0.10	4	25%	-0.05

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	-0.01	-0.03	13	68%	0.14	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.01	0.02	14	67%	0.11	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.01
Anthony Grundy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.03	7	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Royal Ivey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donta Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Esteban Batista	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	15	49%	0.04	4	-0.11	5	60%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.15,-0.14,-0.16,-0.17,-0.15,-0.13	-0.13	0.01	-0.10	0.04	26	56%	0.03	6	-0.16	10	70%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.4	29.5	15.4	26.4	1.7	39.8	139.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +32.1%

CHA +7.2%

ATL -5.7%

CHA +20.4%

ATL -4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	ATL	NBA	CHA	ATL	NBA
this game	14.5	15.5	15.6	120.8	114.6	104.4
season	14.8	15.6		100.5	103.9
opponent	15.5	15.4		109.3	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.9	12.2	16.2	13.6	14.5
ATL	15.9	16.1	18.1	12.6	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alan Anderson	70	71	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.27	11	-5	16	14.8	14.0	0.80	15.8	14.4	1.38
Raymond Felton	80	81	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.30	8	-2	10	14.8	13.0	1.85	15.9	13.1	2.83
Primoz Brezec	53	54	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.27	5	1	4	15.2	13.8	1.36	16.9	13.7	3.19
Gerald Wallace	51	50	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.06	12	-6	18	13.8	15.3	-1.49	15.9	15.0	0.88
Melvin Ely	64	63	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.30	-2	8	-10	14.9	13.7	1.19	16.0	14.5	1.48
Matt Carroll	50	50	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.24	-2	8	-10	14.0	15.1	-1.09	13.3	17.8	-4.46
Jumaine Jones	53	54	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.22	-2	8	-10	14.6	14.5	0.10	15.9	14.9	0.98
Lonny Baxter	6	5	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.04	4	2	2	11.2	14.8	-3.60	16.0	15.4	0.57
Jake Voskuhl	35	34	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	9	-12	15.5	14.0	1.44	14.4	16.1	-1.71
Kevin Burleson	18	18	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.00	-1	7	-8	11.8	15.2	-3.40	11.5	16.4	-4.87

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Grundy	8	10	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.02	4	-10	14	16.4	15.4	1.00	13.0	14.7	-1.72
Donta Smith	35	36	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.12	4	-10	14	14.3	16.1	-1.89	15.1	14.2	0.96
Esteban Batista	38	40	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.08	-2	-4	2	15.7	15.3	0.42	14.8	14.4	0.40
Tyronn Lue	70	69	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.24	1	-7	8	14.5	18.0	-3.54	14.3	15.2	-0.90
Royal Ivey	23	22	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.05	-6	0	-6	18.0	14.6	3.40	16.0	14.1	1.89
Zaza Pachulia	61	60	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.31	-5	-1	-4	15.4	15.5	-0.09	14.2	15.1	-0.82
Marvin Williams	79	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.20	-9	3	-12	16.1	12.4	3.77	14.3	15.7	-1.42
Josh Smith	78	79	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.29	-7	1	-8	15.3	16.1	-0.74	14.5	14.5	0.01
Joe Johnson	88	87	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.30	-10	4	-14	15.4	16.4	-1.00	14.7	13.4	1.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.32,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.09,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 97, HOU 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.61,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.08,0.1,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0	94.4%
PHX 110, NJN 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.38,0.23,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.32,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.11,0.04,0.06,0.01,0	93.8%
CHI 117, MIA 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.36,0.37,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.33,0.23,0.25,0.34,0.2,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.6%