NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	96		Excitement	6.5 [472]		MVP	Rex Chapman (PHX): +23.3%
Atlanta Hawks	91		Comeback	2.6 [179]		LVP	Alan Henderson (ATL): -15.3%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rex Chapman	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23	0.17	0.06	-0.00	19	68%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.11	0.07	-0.00	8	81%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	-0.00	14	63%	0.16	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Bryant	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.04	0.01	6	64%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Hot Rod Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
George McCloud	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	7	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	14	31%	-0.05	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Antonio McDyess	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	6	17%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	12	38%	-0.04	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.14	-0.01	0.03	17	70%	0.13	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.02	0.00	14	52%	0.06	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	8	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	5	64%	0.00	4	-0.11	4	75%	-0.01
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.03	-0.04	12	33%	-0.01	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	8	62%	-0.07	4	-0.08	16	62%	-0.13
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	5	8%	-0.13	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	24.2	15.7	27.2	2.4	32.3	127.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +34.0%

ATL -0.8%

ATL -11.9%

PHX +23.5%

PHX +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	ATL	NBA	PHX	ATL	NBA
this game	15.9	15.4	15.6	104.3	98.9	102.5
season	15.0	16.1		105.3	105.3
opponent	16.0	15.9		101.5	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.4	12.9	16.7	19.4	15.9
ATL	13.4	15.9	16.8	15.6	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	81	81	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	1	3	16.1	14.5	1.58	15.8	12.4	3.41
Danny Manning	59	59	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.35	4	1	3	16.5	14.9	1.60	15.8	14.6	1.24
Rex Chapman	71	69	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.33	4	1	3	16.1	15.4	0.72	14.9	16.8	-1.88
Mark Bryant	44	44	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.30	0	5	-5	16.4	15.5	0.87	15.2	15.5	-0.32
Clifford Robinson	48	52	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.14	4	1	3	15.7	16.2	-0.47	15.6	15.1	0.52
George McCloud	34	33	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	2	1	15.0	16.5	-1.48	15.5	15.3	0.18
Steve Nash	45	46	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.14	1	4	-3	16.3	15.6	0.74	15.1	15.6	-0.48
Hot Rod Williams	45	42	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.03	4	1	3	15.1	16.7	-1.61	15.2	15.5	-0.24
Antonio McDyess	33	34	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.04	1	4	-3	15.4	16.2	-0.84	14.8	15.7	-0.87

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chucky Brown	34	33	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.04	1	-6	7	15.5	15.3	0.21	16.7	15.5	1.24
Alan Henderson	25	25	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.01	-9	4	-13	16.0	15.1	0.92	13.6	16.8	-3.15
Tyrone Corbin	71	71	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.28	0	-5	5	15.2	16.1	-0.94	16.4	14.3	2.14
Mookie Blaylock	72	73	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.29	0	-5	5	14.9	17.0	-2.15	16.0	15.5	0.51
Christian Laettner	66	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.18	-4	-1	-3	15.1	16.1	-1.04	15.5	17.0	-1.46
Dikembe Mutombo	71	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.34	1	-6	7	15.7	14.1	1.59	16.1	15.3	0.78
Eldridge Recasner	45	45	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.23	-6	1	-7	15.9	14.8	1.10	16.1	15.8	0.26
Steven Smith	76	75	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.41	-8	3	-11	15.3	15.6	-0.31	15.9	16.0	-0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.68,0.68,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.1,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 100, MIA 93	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.17,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.12,0.19,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.11,0.04,0,0	93.4%
UTA 102, TOR 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.27,0.19,0.11,0.06,0.02,0	93.4%
LAC 93, MIN 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.25,0.31,0.19,0.21,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.07,0.02,0	93.0%