NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	93		Excitement	6.1 [594]		MVP	Sam Cassell (LAC): +16.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	84		Comeback	1.6 [389]		LVP	Troy Hudson (MIN): -15.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.16,0.15,0.16	0.05	0.11	0.00	11	52%	0.16	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Corey Maggette	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.03	0.04	18	67%	0.18	4	-0.10	9	89%	0.02
Quinton Ross	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	44%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Elton Brand	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	18	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Walter McCarty	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	12	50%	0.06	3	-0.10	2	0%	-0.00
Daniel Ewing	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	10	40%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	-0.00	0.05	18	60%	0.12	2	-0.08	12	58%	-0.01
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.02	15	49%	0.05	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	11	41%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	3	62%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	0.03	9	45%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	7	36%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richie Frahm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	0.00	7	20%	-0.08	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	26.2	16.4	25.3	2.5	32.6	127.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +35.3%

LAC +0.0%

LAC +10.5%

MIN -0.8%

LAC +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIN	NBA	LAC	MIN	NBA
this game	15.1	16.0	15.6	101.1	90.3	104.4
season	15.2	16.1		103.9	101.0
opponent	15.9	15.5		103.1	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.8	13.4	13.2	18.0	15.1
MIN	15.5	17.1	16.8	14.7	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Cassell	59	61	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.18	17	-8	25	14.5	16.1	-1.57	16.1	16.0	0.11
Elton Brand	77	80	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.15	15	-6	21	15.0	15.6	-0.61	16.1	15.7	0.41
Corey Maggette	79	80	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.19	13	-4	17	15.2	14.6	0.55	16.2	15.2	0.94
Cuttino Mobley	81	82	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	-2	13	14.8	17.2	-2.38	15.6	19.1	-3.46
Chris Kaman	62	63	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.22	-1	10	-11	15.8	13.6	2.16	15.8	16.6	-0.87
Chris Wilcox	34	33	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.07	4	5	-1	14.4	15.5	-1.07	16.6	15.7	0.92
Walter McCarty	11	10	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	9	-9	13.9	15.2	-1.34	15.4	16.1	-0.72
Quinton Ross	24	24	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.11	-6	15	-21	15.8	14.8	0.95	17.0	15.7	1.29
Daniel Ewing	16	16	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	13	-17	16.3	14.8	1.48	15.1	16.2	-1.11
Howard Eisley	17	16	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.02	-4	13	-17	15.9	14.9	0.98	16.8	15.9	0.93

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashad McCants	29	28	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.24	9	-18	27	16.9	15.6	1.29	18.2	13.7	4.50
Trenton Hassell	47	44	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-7	5	17.1	15.0	2.11	15.1	15.1	-0.04
Mark Madsen	9	10	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.02	-2	-7	5	15.7	16.1	-0.42	13.3	15.3	-2.00
Michael Olowokandi	45	44	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.07	-4	-5	1	16.7	15.4	1.25	15.3	14.9	0.36
Marko Jaric	70	69	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.22	0	-9	9	15.7	17.1	-1.44	15.6	13.7	1.86
Eddie Griffin	48	48	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.17	-5	-4	-1	15.4	16.7	-1.25	14.9	15.3	-0.36
Richie Frahm	20	21	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.10	-8	-1	-7	15.4	16.2	-0.82	13.5	15.5	-2.03
Troy Hudson	49	50	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.17	-8	-1	-7	15.8	16.3	-0.48	15.1	15.0	0.07
Kevin Garnett	84	82	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.22	-7	-2	-5	16.1	15.7	0.42	15.3	13.3	2.00
Wally Szczerbiak	64	64	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.01	-18	9	-27	15.6	16.9	-1.29	13.7	18.2	-4.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.25,0.31,0.19,0.21,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.07,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 102, TOR 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.27,0.19,0.11,0.06,0.02,0	94.1%
LAL 97, MIN 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.3,0.17,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.31,0.15,0.09,0.05,0	93.5%
SAS 91, MIN 85	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.04,0	93.1%