inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 111 Excitement4.9 [784] MVPDanilo Gallinari (OKC): +23.4%
Oklahoma City Thunder 140 Comeback1.0 [1060] LVPBruno Fernando (ATL): -6.4%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
John Collins0.230,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.210.030.011687%0.262-0.0400%0.00
Cam Reddish0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.140.02-0.021177%0.171-0.00450%-0.02
Trae Young0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.040.022050%0.091-0.021283%0.03
De'Andre Hunter0.050,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.050.01-0.091242%0.052-0.0000%0.00
Jeff Teague0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.010.00764%0.071-0.0300%0.00
Charles Brown Jr.0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00275%0.0010.0000%0.00
Treveon Graham0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Damian Jones-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.000.02267%-0.0000.002100%0.02
Kevin Huerter-0.000,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.00642%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Vince Carter-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.01425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Brandon Goodwin-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.01-0.03629%-0.011-0.022100%0.01
Alex Len-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.020.0030%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Bruno Fernando-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.0210%0.002-0.0600%0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.230.230.050.051093%0.271-0.037100%0.03
Mike Muscala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.230.150.06-0.027100%0.2300.0000%0.00
Dennis Schroder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.090.040.021660%0.1110.00367%-0.01
Nerlens Noel0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.040.01-0.04677%0.092-0.0010%-0.01
Hamidou Diallo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.00-0.01660%0.061-0.023100%0.00
Luguentz Dort0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.01-0.00383%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Chris Paul0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.010.021364%0.094-0.092100%0.01
Darius Bazley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.02761%0.0110.00425%-0.03
Kevin Hervey00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Deonte Burton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02260%0.0000.001100%0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.02-0.000.041653%0.053-0.081377%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.01.726.514.730.11.731.2130.8
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.4134.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +36.8%
OKC +4.8%
OKC +14.5%
ATL -6.2%
OKC +0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLOKCNBAATLOKCNBA
this game14.713.514.2108.8137.3109.6
season13.814.3106.6108.8
opponent14.514.0107.6113.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL14.015.214.715.014.7
OKC12.714.814.712.213.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Charles Brown Jr.770.00-0.500.500.03-1-282717.714.53.229.313.8-4.55
Alex Len3231-0.01-0.490.48-0.134-333713.415.3-1.8613.513.5-0.05
Vince Carter2121-0.03-0.470.450.06-3-262314.914.70.1812.613.8-1.13
Treveon Graham910-0.06-0.440.380.12-6-231715.614.60.928.914.0-5.12
Kevin Huerter6666-0.09-0.410.320.29-13-16313.716.7-3.0214.312.12.26
Trae Young7271-0.13-0.370.250.29-14-15114.216.0-1.8714.411.52.83
De'Andre Hunter6363-0.18-0.320.130.37-19-10-914.714.8-0.1714.312.22.17
Bruno Fernando2728-0.21-0.290.080.20-14-15117.813.64.2113.213.6-0.37
John Collins6060-0.30-0.20-0.100.31-21-8-1313.716.2-2.4714.312.32.02
Damian Jones2122-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.04-9-201116.014.41.6812.013.9-2.00
Brandon Goodwin2830-0.36-0.14-0.220.08-15-14-116.414.12.3111.814.2-2.44
Jeff Teague4643-0.41-0.09-0.310.06-16-13-315.114.40.6413.213.7-0.54
Cam Reddish5858-0.42-0.08-0.350.10-18-11-714.914.50.3813.313.8-0.53

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hamidou Diallo60610.500.000.50-0.4131-23312.415.0-2.6015.014.30.71
Dennis Schroder64640.460.040.43-0.091910913.912.91.0014.714.8-0.16
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander81800.430.070.36-0.302542113.712.90.8314.615.1-0.48
Darius Bazley43430.340.160.18-0.302271511.914.7-2.7914.914.60.25
Mike Muscala42390.280.230.05-0.191613313.413.6-0.2414.714.7-0.08
Danilo Gallinari60600.220.28-0.06-0.071019-914.512.12.4214.415.2-0.85
Nerlens Noel52550.170.33-0.17-0.10920-1114.412.61.7614.614.8-0.17
Chris Paul58610.120.38-0.26-0.231217-514.412.41.9514.615.0-0.39
Kevin Hervey770.000.50-0.50-0.03128-279.313.8-4.5517.714.53.22
Deonte Burton770.000.50-0.50-0.03128-279.313.8-4.5517.714.53.22
Luguentz Dort3633-0.020.52-0.540.01-130-3113.713.40.3114.215.0-0.74


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.76,0.69,0.66,0.76,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.6,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.81,0.87,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 86, PHX 1060.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.71,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.9%
PHI 92, MIA 1130.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,194.4%
TOR 75, OKC 910.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.77,0.74,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.78,0.84,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.4%