NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	92		Excitement	4.5 [722]		MVP	Chris Bosh (MIA): +14.4%
Miami Heat	113		Comeback	1.1 [936]		LVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): -14.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.06	-0.00	9	62%	0.13	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Evan Turner	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.01	13	57%	0.10	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Elton Brand	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	8	60%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jodie Meeks	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	58%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Louis Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.10	0.00	0.10	16	58%	0.00	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Andres Nocioni	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.05	0.02	12	42%	-0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	0.01	6	33%	-0.05	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.19	0.00	0.05	19	67%	0.14	0	0.00	7	100%	0.02
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	6	69%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
LeBron James	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	0.01	0.07	17	74%	0.16	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	58%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	7	50%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	57%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Mickell Gladness	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrel Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	150%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	9	41%	-0.04	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	1.8	25.8	17.8	26.4	2.4	26.4	125.3
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +24.7%

MIA +1.7%

MIA +21.7%

MIA +0.5%

MIA +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIA	NBA	PHI	MIA	NBA
this game	16.5	15.0	15.6	101.1	122.8	102.8
season	15.6	15.5		101.0	105.6
opponent	15.8	16.1		98.8	97.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	18.2	18.0	16.0	14.0	16.5
MIA	13.1	16.2	16.7	14.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andres Nocioni	6	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.23	-8	-13	5	14.0	16.7	-2.66	9.5	15.4	-5.88
Lavoy Allen	18	19	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.05	-2	-19	17	12.9	17.4	-4.48	15.3	14.9	0.40
Tony Battie	19	20	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-20	19	14.0	17.1	-3.14	15.6	14.8	0.83
Jrue Holiday	60	62	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-22	23	16.3	16.8	-0.54	14.9	15.2	-0.25
Thaddeus Young	40	41	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.02	-6	-15	9	16.4	16.5	-0.06	15.1	14.9	0.22
Nikola Vucevic	47	46	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.02	-5	-16	11	16.7	16.2	0.50	15.3	14.7	0.57
Evan Turner	55	57	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	-11	1	16.1	17.1	-0.95	15.0	15.0	-0.05
Andre Iguodala	52	53	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.01	-13	-8	-5	17.2	15.5	1.74	14.7	15.4	-0.71
Louis Williams	59	58	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.13	-19	-2	-17	16.3	16.8	-0.51	15.4	14.3	1.07
Elton Brand	47	47	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.02	-16	-5	-11	18.5	14.4	4.10	15.3	14.7	0.61
Jodie Meeks	52	51	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.29	-26	5	-31	17.0	15.8	1.21	14.6	15.5	-0.84

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Battier	57	57	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.11	19	2	17	14.8	15.4	-0.65	16.7	16.1	0.63
Joel Anthony	56	57	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.07	10	11	-1	15.7	13.8	1.92	17.3	15.1	2.13
Chris Bosh	64	66	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.13	16	5	11	15.6	13.7	1.85	16.8	15.7	1.05
Mario Chalmers	62	62	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.14	16	5	11	14.7	15.5	-0.79	16.4	16.7	-0.30
Udonis Haslem	45	41	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.12	15	6	9	13.8	16.2	-2.39	16.2	16.7	-0.44
LeBron James	68	67	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.03	9	12	-3	15.0	15.1	-0.17	16.6	16.3	0.26
Norris Cole	30	29	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.03	5	16	-11	15.5	14.7	0.79	16.7	16.4	0.30
James Jones	29	28	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.05	6	15	-9	15.3	14.9	0.40	16.7	16.4	0.38
Mike Miller	41	40	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	20	-19	15.8	14.4	1.41	15.3	17.4	-2.07
Mickell Gladness	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	17	-13	9.2	15.3	-6.01	12.2	16.7	-4.43
Terrel Harris	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	17	-13	9.2	15.3	-6.01	12.2	16.7	-4.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 86, PHX 106	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.71,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
CHA 74, ORL 106	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
NYK 77, ATL 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.63,0.68,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.84,0.83,0.75,0.69,0.77,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%