inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 113 Excitement11.9 [23] MVPNemanja Bjelica (SAC): +49.2%
Miami Heat 118 Comeback32.4 [76] LVPDe'Aaron Fox (SAC): -47.3%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nemanja Bjelica0.490,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.26,0.26,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.490.140.360.011373%0.542-0.054100%0.02
Yogi Ferrell0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.050.080.00570%0.1300.0000%0.00
Buddy Hield0.100,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,0.02,0.22,0.22,0.10.020.090.011951%0.162-0.061100%0.01
Marvin Bagley III0.070,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.020.01-0.051356%0.122-0.051100%0.01
Cory Joseph0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.03-0.00367%0.0600.0000%0.00
Justin James0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dewayne Dedmon-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.03-0.00546%0.072-0.07367%-0.01
Harrison Barnes-0.040,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.030.011142%-0.0400.00475%0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09-0.04-0.07-0.011544%0.012-0.10250%-0.01
De'Aaron Fox-0.470,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.21,-0.23,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.19,-0.25,-0.14,-0.25,-0.47-0.20-0.27-0.002232%-0.315-0.1600%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bam Adebayo0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.480.48-0.020.500.01967%0.625-0.14667%-0.01
James Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.390.390.230.16-0.001196%0.3900.0010%-0.01
Kendrick Nunn0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.1,0.20.20-0.000.210.011760%0.386-0.188100%0.07
Duncan Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.19,0.150.150.010.140.001155%0.232-0.0800%0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.010.01387%0.071-0.032100%0.02
Kelly Olynyk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.010.00456%0.0100.001100%0.00
Meyers Leonard0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.010.01658%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Tyler Herro0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.04-0.05650%0.062-0.0700%0.00
Goran Dragic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.28-0.28-0.04-0.230.001650%-0.154-0.13475%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.11.827.015.028.01.836.82.417.9154.7
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.42.315.4134.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +82.2%
MIA +6.1%
SAC -23.4%
SAC -16.7%
MIA +1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACMIANBASACMIANBA
this game15.014.614.2104.6110.3109.6
season14.314.7109.0111.7
opponent14.514.5108.9110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
SAC14.514.614.717.812.515.0
MIA15.512.514.116.514.714.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dewayne Dedmon26260.29-0.791.080.116-111715.714.80.9016.014.11.94
Yogi Ferrell19180.20-0.700.910.171-6717.514.53.0515.614.41.25
Justin James010.01-0.510.530.010-550.015.0-15.013.014.7-11.68
Harrison Barnes7571-0.04-0.460.42-0.071-6713.318.9-5.6614.115.6-1.49
Buddy Hield8687-0.13-0.370.25-0.151-6715.114.80.3014.514.8-0.28
Cory Joseph3937-0.14-0.360.22-0.233-81114.615.2-0.5814.414.7-0.29
Nemanja Bjelica7275-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.32-50-515.214.50.7214.814.00.81
Bogdan Bogdanovic6766-0.580.08-0.67-0.38-72-916.013.32.7314.614.50.13
Marvin Bagley III7978-0.710.21-0.92-0.45-94-1315.015.1-0.0814.414.9-0.45
De'Aaron Fox7776-0.950.45-1.39-0.48-1611-2714.915.4-0.5314.414.9-0.47

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bam Adebayo78790.70-0.200.900.3213-82114.913.61.4015.314.31.00
Kendrick Nunn89910.53-0.030.550.2011-61714.514.8-0.3214.915.8-0.90
Duncan Robinson77770.430.070.360.3141315.212.82.4114.516.4-1.89
Meyers Leonard44430.410.090.330.3623-115.014.20.8113.316.1-2.80
Goran Dragic59610.260.240.030.1832114.015.2-1.2016.513.03.52
Derrick Jones Jr.60600.250.25-0.010.30-27-913.715.7-2.0214.315.9-1.56
James Johnson58590.180.32-0.140.1805-514.115.1-0.9815.514.41.06
Tyler Herro34350.180.32-0.150.21-16-715.913.92.0114.415.3-0.86
Kelly Olynyk5654-0.450.95-1.39-0.18-914-2314.514.7-0.2214.915.1-0.24


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.46,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.27,0.17,0.15,0.22,0.31,0.22,0.06,0.09,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.33,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 98, LAL 990.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.6,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.2,0.17,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.09,0.54,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.42,191.1%
TOR 101, CHI 1020.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.41,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.3,0.26,0.16,0.17,0.38,0.37,0.24,0.27,0.54,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.58,190.3%
DAL 98, MIL 1050.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.32,0.29,0.38,0.36,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.62,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.32,0.25,0.09,0.12,0.05,0.16,0.32,0.16,0.54,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.92,190.2%