NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	98		Excitement	10.4 [39]		MVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): +20.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	105		Comeback	25.3 [81]		LVP	Shawn Bradley (DAL): -37.8%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.07	0.01	13	70%	0.18	1	-0.02	7	57%	0.05
Khalid Reeves	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.02	14	55%	0.08	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Hubert Davis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	7	69%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.04
Samaki Walker	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.06	-0.01	7	43%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.02	3	50%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	-0.02
A.C. Green	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	8	40%	-0.03	2	-0.11	4	50%	-0.03
Dennis Scott	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18	-0.16	-0.02	-0.00	18	38%	-0.11	3	-0.06	9	100%	0.06
Shawn Bradley	-0.38	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.17,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.28,-0.28,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.3,-0.22,-0.22,-0.31,-0.38	-0.22	-0.18	-0.02	16	31%	-0.13	5	-0.24	4	75%	-0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.23,0.09,0.1,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.02	0.19	0.00	26	55%	0.30	3	-0.10	6	67%	-0.10
Tyrone Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.06	0.09	-0.01	8	44%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	16	54%	0.07	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.03
Ricky Pierce	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Lang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	15	53%	0.02	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	14	45%	-0.02	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.02	5	50%	-0.06	4	-0.09	6	67%	-0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	20.4	1.6	27.3	16.5	22.6	1.7	31.0	1.5	20.4	143.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	1.6	18.4	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +58.5%

DAL -46.7%

MIL +9.7%

MIL +26.2%

MIL +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MIL	NBA	DAL	MIL	NBA
this game	16.3	15.1	15.6	96.1	104.0	102.5
season	15.8	16.0		98.3	101.1
opponent	15.1	15.5		102.8	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DAL	13.0	16.6	18.0	20.6	11.9	16.3
MIL	16.0	14.7	14.1	16.2	14.1	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samaki Walker	36	37	0.19	-0.69	0.89	0.22	-1	-6	5	18.5	15.0	3.50	15.2	15.0	0.16
Khalid Reeves	64	64	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.13	9	-16	25	15.8	17.0	-1.17	15.7	13.9	1.84
Hubert Davis	37	36	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	-1	-5	17.0	15.8	1.15	14.8	15.2	-0.35
Robert Pack	30	29	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.02	-8	1	-9	17.0	16.0	0.99	14.1	15.5	-1.39
Dennis Scott	102	101	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.29	-7	0	-7	16.3	0.0	16.26	15.1	0.0	15.06
A.C. Green	77	78	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.63	2	-9	11	15.7	18.0	-2.35	15.4	13.9	1.54
Shawn Bradley	88	85	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.28	-10	3	-13	16.3	16.2	0.06	15.0	15.1	-0.08
Michael Finley	76	75	-0.86	0.36	-1.21	-0.45	-14	7	-21	15.5	18.5	-3.00	14.6	16.5	-1.89

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Hill	79	79	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.49	5	2	3	15.0	15.4	-0.45	16.7	14.6	2.14
Terrell Brandon	74	78	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.13	16	-9	25	14.2	17.3	-3.05	16.2	16.5	-0.36
Ray Allen	89	91	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.29	10	-3	13	14.8	16.8	-2.01	16.5	14.4	2.13
Glenn Robinson	100	100	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.33	7	0	7	15.1	11.0	4.10	16.2	18.5	-2.28
Ervin Johnson	50	49	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.04	14	-7	21	14.7	15.4	-0.71	18.8	13.9	4.83
Armen Gilliam	46	47	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	7	-7	14.9	15.2	-0.35	15.9	16.6	-0.65
Ricky Pierce	1	1	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	5	-3	16.0	15.0	0.95	16.0	16.3	-0.27
Michael Curry	17	16	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.07	-2	9	-11	15.5	15.0	0.49	13.4	16.8	-3.43
Elliot Perry	24	23	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.01	-7	14	-21	16.7	14.5	2.16	16.2	16.3	-0.06
Andrew Lang	25	26	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.02	-10	17	-27	17.6	14.2	3.43	12.2	17.7	-5.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.32,0.29,0.38,0.36,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.62,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.32,0.25,0.09,0.12,0.05,0.16,0.32,0.16,0.54,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 90, NJN 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.43,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.43,0.34,0.08,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.73,1	90.5%
MIL 102, ATL 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.26,0.19,0.09,0.08,0.21,0.32,0.28,0.46,0.24,0.16,0.57,0.85,1	90.3%
SAS 100, PHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.29,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.36,0.41,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.27,0.31,0.2,0.13,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.85,0.92,1	89.6%