inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 102 Excitement10.3 [47] MVPLuke Ridnour (MIL): +11.8%
Atlanta Hawks 106 Comeback14.7 [146] LVPJosh Smith (ATL): -12.8%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luke Ridnour0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.16,0.06,0.12,0.120.060.060.01881%0.192-0.0700%0.00
Andrew Bogut0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.01-0.011154%0.041-0.024100%0.03
Charlie Bell0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kurt Thomas0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Carlos Delfino-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.07-0.02-0.061242%0.033-0.062100%0.02
Ersan Ilyasova-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.00941%-0.031-0.02475%-0.01
Jerry Stackhouse-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.060.00-0.060.001459%0.094-0.166100%0.05
Brandon Jennings-0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.00530%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute-0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.0120%-0.032-0.0400%0.00
John Salmons-0.100,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.03,-0.10.17-0.240.042065%0.052-0.16989%-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marvin Williams0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.050.050.00570%0.0900.0000%0.00
Joe Johnson0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.14,0.07,0.080.08-0.060.11-0.022644%0.153-0.072100%0.03
Al Horford0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.010.001359%0.091-0.033100%0.03
Maurice Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.04-0.00475%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Joe Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00-0.00150%0.0100.00475%0.00
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00350%0.0100.00475%-0.01
Jeff Teague0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00367%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Mike Bibby0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.05-0.050.01825%-0.1100.0000%0.00
Jamal Crawford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.04,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.11-0.11-0.07-0.05-0.001438%-0.091-0.02989%0.13
Josh Smith0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.130.03-0.150.011365%0.195-0.32875%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game27.71.829.215.426.62.437.41.619.4161.5
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.72.039.8141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +1.5%
ATL +12.4%
ATL +34.3%
ATL +6.0%
MIL -4.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILATLNBAMILATLNBA
this game15.415.715.3100.0103.9106.0
season15.516.0103.3109.4
opponent15.815.5106.0101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIL16.415.514.517.511.815.4
ATL14.317.216.216.014.415.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jerry Stackhouse52530.19-0.690.890.113-71015.915.00.8715.615.8-0.20
Ersan Ilyasova5759-0.00-0.500.50-0.6522-264814.117.1-2.9517.912.75.21
Kurt Thomas2224-0.01-0.490.480.11-40-415.515.40.0216.215.60.67
Brandon Jennings5251-0.16-0.340.170.10-95-1415.715.20.4315.416.1-0.73
Luke Ridnour5051-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.485-91415.215.7-0.4316.115.40.73
Carlos Delfino6767-0.36-0.14-0.220.08-1511-2616.014.31.7615.117.0-1.88
Luc Mbah a Moute2827-0.37-0.13-0.240.22-2016-3616.715.01.7112.416.9-4.53
John Salmons9089-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.522-6815.713.71.9216.013.92.08
Andrew Bogut8078-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.490-4415.415.5-0.0215.616.2-0.67

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Al Horford75740.60-0.100.710.436-2815.616.1-0.4615.615.00.61
Joe Johnson84830.57-0.070.640.4540415.616.4-0.8615.614.90.67
Marvin Williams76770.53-0.030.550.4722016.114.71.3515.415.40.00
Josh Smith89890.460.040.420.4022015.914.90.9315.316.7-1.43
Jamal Crawford73740.280.220.070.116-2816.114.81.3215.016.7-1.71
Maurice Evans29270.090.41-0.310.18-37-1015.315.9-0.5515.015.6-0.60
Joe Smith11120.040.46-0.41-0.0222014.215.9-1.7414.915.5-0.59
Mike Bibby41410.030.47-0.44-0.125-1615.815.70.0318.113.64.52
Jeff Teague1515-0.000.50-0.500.06-26-815.515.8-0.2414.115.7-1.61
Zaza Pachulia2728-0.100.60-0.71-0.05-26-816.115.60.4615.015.6-0.61


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.26,0.19,0.09,0.08,0.21,0.32,0.28,0.46,0.24,0.16,0.57,0.85,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 107, CLE 1140.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.39,0.32,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.32,0.59,0.46,0.29,0.29,0.45,0.91,190.4%
DAL 98, MIL 1050.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.32,0.29,0.38,0.36,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.62,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.32,0.25,0.09,0.12,0.05,0.16,0.32,0.16,0.54,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.92,190.3%
MIA 108, IND 1140.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.74,0.69,0.59,0.56,0.72,0.54,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.1,0.02,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.45,0.9,188.1%