inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 108 Excitement9.7 [86] MVPDamon Jones (MIA): +41.6%
Indiana Pacers 114 Comeback116.7 [12] LVPKeyon Dooling (MIA): -13.1%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Damon Jones0.420,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.420.260.160.011396%0.4200.002100%0.02
Steven Smith0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.001150%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Alonzo Mourning-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.001100%0.041-0.0400%0.00
Shandon Anderson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.00250%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal-0.030,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.14,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.090.04-0.021853%0.155-0.18922%-0.08
Michael Doleac-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Dwyane Wade-0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,-0.04-0.050.060.053053%0.125-0.151060%-0.03
Qyntel Woods-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.030.0010%-0.021-0.0400%0.00
Udonis Haslem-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.00845%-0.012-0.06475%0.01
Keyon Dooling-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13-0.04-0.10-0.01520%-0.1300.0000%0.00

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephen Jackson0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.19,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.31,0.310.31-0.120.39-0.032845%0.404-0.09956%-0.07
Anthony Johnson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.030.110.011262%0.232-0.102100%0.00
Reggie Miller0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.120.120.100.040.021870%0.223-0.108100%0.04
Fred Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.03-0.00675%0.112-0.0600%0.00
Dale Davis0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.040.040.07-0.010.01587%0.131-0.095100%0.04
James Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jeff Foster0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.02-0.00267%0.031-0.052100%0.02
Austin Croshere0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.03-0.02650%-0.012-0.042100%0.01
Eddie Gill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.01-0.0030%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Scot Pollard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.04-0.050.00433%-0.051-0.051100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.61.826.615.728.62.528.52.618.2149.1
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.41.917.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +33.7%
IND +18.2%
IND +4.4%
MIA -7.9%
IND +1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAINDNBAMIAINDNBA
this game15.715.315.5104.9111.8104.0
season15.716.8107.9101.9
opponent15.515.5101.6101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIA15.015.713.618.616.415.7
IND17.115.014.616.512.015.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Qyntel Woods20190.18-0.680.860.151-7818.115.12.9915.115.4-0.28
Alonzo Mourning890.15-0.650.800.034-101411.916.0-4.1414.815.4-0.61
Udonis Haslem79790.03-0.530.560.001-7815.914.91.0616.212.24.02
Shandon Anderson39400.01-0.510.520.13-4-2-215.715.7-0.0415.815.00.85
Steven Smith3030-0.10-0.400.29-0.131-7815.315.8-0.5016.215.01.23
Michael Doleac2020-0.14-0.360.220.01-5-1-415.615.7-0.0514.015.7-1.66
Keyon Dooling5452-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.24-82-1016.914.32.6015.415.20.22
Shaquille O'Neal8886-0.540.04-0.58-0.37-60-615.715.40.3415.315.7-0.49
Dwyane Wade8887-0.540.04-0.59-0.43-4-2-215.417.6-2.2415.017.3-2.34
Damon Jones7878-0.570.07-0.64-0.45-4-2-214.718.7-3.9515.116.1-0.98

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dale Davis68710.75-0.251.010.4012-61814.516.9-2.4115.915.20.77
Anthony Johnson75770.72-0.230.950.4011-51614.717.1-2.3715.915.00.87
Stephen Jackson83830.69-0.190.880.458-21015.016.9-1.9815.417.0-1.63
Reggie Miller73730.56-0.060.630.309-31215.215.8-0.5915.316.6-1.33
Scot Pollard58590.360.140.230.0411-51615.315.4-0.1716.814.22.55
Austin Croshere41390.170.33-0.170.22-28-1016.914.32.5414.916.1-1.19
James Jones1313-0.040.54-0.58-0.01-17-815.215.3-0.1216.215.60.62
Eddie Gill2524-0.060.56-0.63-0.00-28-1016.315.01.2515.815.60.19
Jeff Foster3737-0.280.78-1.07-0.02-915-2415.215.4-0.1414.316.5-2.21
Fred Jones3739-0.380.88-1.25-0.17-713-2017.214.32.8716.415.31.12


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.74,0.69,0.59,0.56,0.72,0.54,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.1,0.02,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.45,0.9,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 100, PHX 1070.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.46,0.48,0.34,0.27,0.32,0.41,0.31,0.16,0.19,0.02,0.01,0,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.77,0.96,190.4%
MIL 90, NJN 920.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.43,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.43,0.34,0.08,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.73,189.9%
NOH 98, SAS 1050.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.54,0.43,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.25,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.46,0.55,0.54,0.77,0.98,189.4%