NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	100		Excitement	8.4 [184]		MVP	Stephon Marbury (PHX): +8.4%
Phoenix Suns	107		Comeback	554.6 [4]		LVP	Jonathan Bender (IND): -23.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brad Miller	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.00	15	66%	0.18	2	-0.14	8	87%	0.02
Kevin Ollie	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	2	33%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Austin Croshere	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	6	42%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	10	58%	-0.02	3	-0.07	4	25%	-0.03
Reggie Miller	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	15	49%	-0.06	3	-0.07	9	89%	0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.22,-0.22,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	16	38%	-0.12	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.06	-0.17	-0.00	6	50%	-0.03	3	-0.21	2	50%	-0.02
Jonathan Bender	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24	-0.10	-0.15	-0.01	9	50%	-0.05	4	-0.19	8	87%	0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,0.07,0.07,0,0.1,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.03	0.14	0.03	24	50%	0.16	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.09	0.02	15	56%	0.18	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Shawn Marion	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.00	16	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Dan Majerle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.01	15	56%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	9	45%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Alton Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	9	33%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	9	15%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.2	2.4	25.2	14.7	24.2	2.4	36.2	0.6	13.3	146.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	1.7	16.7	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +46.1%

IND -28.2%

IND -1.3%

PHX +37.0%

IND -3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHX	NBA	IND	PHX	NBA
this game	14.8	16.5	15.6	99.0	104.9	102.3
season	15.3	15.1		101.6	101.0
opponent	15.8	15.4		102.1	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
IND	12.7	15.8	16.5	14.1	16.4	14.8
PHX	16.6	17.8	16.3	15.3	16.9	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	29	31	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.09	4	-11	15	16.4	14.2	2.25	16.8	16.3	0.51
Brad Miller	81	81	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.16	6	-13	19	15.0	14.0	0.99	16.6	16.1	0.43
Austin Croshere	8	9	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.07	-6	-1	-5	14.9	14.8	0.04	17.0	16.4	0.57
Kevin Ollie	35	37	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.10	-3	-4	1	15.3	14.6	0.77	16.2	16.6	-0.37
Metta World Peace	45	46	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.04	-8	1	-9	15.8	14.1	1.73	16.5	16.5	-0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	77	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.21	-5	-2	-3	15.0	14.3	0.72	17.0	15.0	1.99
Jonathan Bender	81	82	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.41	0	-7	7	14.2	17.4	-3.25	15.9	19.0	-3.13
Jamaal Tinsley	69	68	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.40	-10	3	-13	14.1	16.4	-2.24	16.1	17.2	-1.09
Reggie Miller	80	80	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.32	-13	6	-19	14.4	16.5	-2.12	16.8	15.5	1.31

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tom Gugliotta	74	73	0.93	-0.43	1.36	0.37	19	-12	31	16.4	16.7	-0.37	14.9	14.8	0.08
Shawn Marion	79	80	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.39	13	-6	19	15.9	18.4	-2.52	14.5	16.0	-1.46
Stephon Marbury	78	78	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.35	7	0	7	16.2	17.4	-1.17	14.7	15.4	-0.71
Anfernee Hardaway	65	61	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.34	5	2	3	16.6	16.2	0.37	14.3	15.7	-1.46
Joe Johnson	48	51	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.02	8	-1	9	16.9	16.1	0.78	14.9	14.8	0.04
Bo Outlaw	36	33	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.35	-8	15	-23	16.2	16.7	-0.48	14.7	14.9	-0.21
Milt Palacio	29	28	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.07	3	4	-1	17.1	16.2	0.82	14.9	14.8	0.12
Dan Majerle	28	26	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.05	-3	10	-13	17.2	16.2	1.01	15.9	14.5	1.40
Alton Ford	11	12	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.06	-4	11	-15	17.5	16.4	1.09	15.9	14.7	1.22
Jake Tsakalidis	62	63	-0.32	0.82	-1.15	-0.18	-5	12	-17	16.6	16.3	0.34	15.3	14.0	1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.46,0.48,0.34,0.27,0.32,0.41,0.31,0.16,0.19,0.02,0.01,0,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.77,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 108, IND 114	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.74,0.69,0.59,0.56,0.72,0.54,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.1,0.02,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.45,0.9,1	90.4%
ORL 107, ATL 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.44,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.12,0.14,0.08,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.46,0.45,0.72,0.91,0.92,1	89.8%
CHI 86, CHA 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.56,0.66,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.25,0.42,0.23,0.26,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.17,0.16,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.91,0.99,1	88.8%