NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	86		Excitement	9.5 [101]		MVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): +26.4%
Charlotte Bobcats	91		Comeback	8.0 [175]		LVP	Taj Gibson (CHI): -41.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.06	0.20	-0.00	8	69%	0.29	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	0.01	8	50%	0.08	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.05
Carlos Boozer	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	12	58%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.00	-0.06	-0.00	12	43%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
D.J. Augustin	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.07,0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.18,-0.17	0.00	-0.14	0.04	16	49%	-0.04	2	-0.13	3	67%	0.00
Joakim Noah	-0.22	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22	-0.05	-0.17	0.01	16	44%	-0.20	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.41	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.35,-0.35,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.41	-0.21	-0.22	-0.03	10	20%	-0.27	6	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.09	-0.00	10	54%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.02
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.00	4	80%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.04	0.04	16	51%	0.07	0	0.00	11	91%	0.12
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	13	38%	-0.01	1	0.01	3	33%	-0.00
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	8	31%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.08	0.01	8	44%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.12	-0.14	-0.00	14	31%	-0.15	2	-0.10	4	50%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.8	1.7	24.2	15.4	24.4	1.7	30.0	1.7	22.0	143.9
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	1.9	17.6	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +11.3%

CHA +15.5%

CHA +17.6%

CHA +3.2%

CHA +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CHA	NBA	CHI	CHA	NBA
this game	16.1	16.7	15.1	88.7	93.8	105.2
season	16.3	15.7		101.1	102.4
opponent	15.1	15.3		103.1	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHI	16.0	18.0	14.2	17.1	14.6	16.1
CHA	19.1	13.3	17.1	19.8	12.6	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Boozer	44	43	0.25	-0.75	1.00	-0.04	10	-15	25	15.1	17.0	-1.91	18.1	15.6	2.51
Nazr Mohammed	12	12	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.01	3	-8	11	16.7	16.0	0.63	14.2	17.0	-2.76
Kirk Hinrich	52	53	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	-2	-1	16.1	16.1	0.00	18.4	14.6	3.85
Tony Snell	5	5	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.03	-6	1	-7	20.8	15.9	4.94	12.4	16.9	-4.50
Jimmy Butler	87	88	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.44	7	-12	19	15.7	19.3	-3.55	17.2	11.8	5.39
Mike Dunleavy	80	78	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.43	3	-8	11	15.8	17.5	-1.65	16.2	18.5	-2.31
Taj Gibson	62	63	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.22	-15	10	-25	16.5	15.3	1.21	15.7	18.4	-2.73
Joakim Noah	76	76	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.43	-8	3	-11	16.3	15.5	0.75	17.1	15.3	1.77
D.J. Augustin	67	67	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.27	-16	11	-27	16.6	15.1	1.52	15.5	19.3	-3.86

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Henderson	63	60	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.45	11	-6	17	16.7	16.6	0.08	15.6	16.9	-1.30
Kemba Walker	75	74	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.47	7	-2	9	16.5	17.4	-0.96	15.5	18.1	-2.59
Al Jefferson	74	74	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.33	9	-4	13	17.4	14.2	3.27	16.3	15.5	0.78
Josh McRoberts	66	63	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.50	2	3	-1	17.0	16.0	0.94	15.9	16.6	-0.73
Chris Douglas-Roberts	56	56	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.34	4	1	3	16.1	17.4	-1.33	16.0	16.2	-0.23
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	41	41	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.02	1	4	-3	17.4	16.1	1.33	16.2	16.0	0.23
Cody Zeller	31	34	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.15	3	2	1	16.0	17.0	-0.94	16.6	15.9	0.73
Bismack Biyombo	23	23	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	9	-13	14.2	17.4	-3.27	15.5	16.3	-0.78
Luke Ridnour	22	23	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.11	-2	7	-9	17.4	16.5	0.96	18.1	15.5	2.59
Gary Neal	34	37	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.09	-6	11	-17	16.6	16.7	-0.08	16.9	15.6	1.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.56,0.66,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.25,0.42,0.23,0.26,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.17,0.16,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.91,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 90, NJN 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.43,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.43,0.34,0.08,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.73,1	89.8%
POR 115, PHX 118	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.34,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.64,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.47,0.36,0.19,0.27,0.31,0.46,0.14,0.26,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.83,0.95,1	89.8%
SAS 100, PHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.29,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.36,0.41,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.27,0.31,0.2,0.13,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.85,0.92,1	89.4%